Poly Sapiens

Prediction markets explorer
Free on-chain data & tools
Community discussions | DYOR | Not financial/investment advice

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

Fastest Free scanner for prediction market arbitrage

Manually flipping between tabs to hunt mispricings? Pure pain.
Ignoring? Bigger pain

>Polymarket + Predict fun, 3 more soon
>Free to use
>Sports🧐

Created by @zloynasistemy & @PolySapiens

https://t.co/rb7RQe7Kp7

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[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@robertjdenault If there were more people like you the USA would be poor as f

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@zachxbt @maruushae I got like 100s of account on some above, what I can say:

KCEX - 100% scam

Other - trying to be honest at least. Even if they catch you on something stupid - they let you go

Toobit was ok, but recently got sybilled too hard to keep it clean and turned into user blocks...

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

The crypto attention narrative will completely change from Polymarket to AI agentic projects in 3.. 2..

Basically, that what we all wanted to see here, a new economy over wrapped gambling

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: a16z raises $2.2 billion crypto fund to invest in projects linking crypto with AI & traditional finance.

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

Quick question for the sharp bettors: real mistake or different settlement rules on Polymarket?

All the Web2 books (Pinnacle included) have Fake do Biru as a massive favorite (~1.15), while Polymarket is showing basically a coinflip at 53% / 50%.

Is that a misstake?

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

Prediction markets are great, but the hype phase is already behind us. Arbitrage and botting are getting much harder as LLMs improve every day

Perfect time for CT to move on to something that actually aligns with real societal needs not just gambling

X, @praxisnation & @tempo

[Nikita Bier @nikitabier]

Crypto has had a rough year. Maybe we should launch something to fix it.

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@Absoluto92 @01Exchange Yeah, CT is way too smart farming that base rewards. By the end, $drift also had point, nobody promised a linear distribution, could be tiers easily

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@securezer0 Damn solid. I hope one day we will see pinnacle api here as well

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@securezer0 Yes, perp’s teams don’t have cash for such moves. Predict looks healthier

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

This is not a Prediction Market meta, but..

@predictdotfun 52% for 300m$, and it’s fucking on most perps

@variational_io - $300M → 37%
@pacifica_fi - $300M → 20%
@Dreamcash - $100M → 52%
@grvt_io - $50M → 91%
@etherealdex - $50M → 37%
@reya_xyz - $70M → 41%
@ventuals - $100M → 21%
@extendedapp - $150M → 63%
@StandX_Official - $200M → 34%
@inkonchain / @nadoHQ - $250M → 68%
@ostium - $300M → 24%

Only $INK is bigger than predict fun? Why doing perps..

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@ProMint_X I think if you ever had this kind of situation, you would have an opposite situation in some point, where you lock in your TP and SL not triggered
Dispersion works both ways, still truly neutral?

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

“I will create more accounts on @01Exchange starting this week”

We all know what happens when everybody becomes smart. A lot of folks noticed that point distribution is not linear. Time to stop

Reminder: they did not promise you a linear conversion by the end. Think about it..

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

The only real way to farm perps right now

Influencers won’t share it - their link gets nuked instantly

Meta: multi-account + abuse

Good projects never distribute points linearly. PT = base reward

100 accs × 50k > 1 acc × 5M

Abuse projects before they abuse you

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@torzyk87 @01Exchange @variational_io I know it’s a different team, they’ve mentioned that on ct at around echo sale time. But if that’s fair, even tho, they look really aligned in 2026 and possibly will launch one token
So 01 has nothing to do with ff and ect

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@durov @ReclaimTheNetHQ Did you guys ever think about launching your own satellites, like Starlink? Or maybe starting some e-sim company

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@Rizzy_az @ProMint_X Yeah. 01 is built by a separate team(as they report on X), but hopefully will have one token. So it’s public for 2m$ + testnet + social activities since 2023 + traders. I would expect like 5% airdrop allocation from this project

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@torzyk87 @01Exchange @variational_io Check the year mate. If you did analysis on project TGE's over the past years like I did, you would also be confident about that
>Latest rise 2023... And after that rise, they couldn't launch and ran out of money. Obviously requested funds durring ICO meta
They already failed

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@LeooMidas Sure mate, but at current fair FDV valuations all this projects are already. In fact, poly still overpricing this perps and most will tge under if the team won't commit some crime like $EDGE
https://t.co/Gg72uoK7NA

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

Odd on poly market for variational fdvs look broken af

Worth buying “NO” for 3B+

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@LeooMidas Hi bro, please move all perps to tier s

https://t.co/KbTTU8GLpB

[CapyOnChain @capy_onchain]

Perp valuations on Polymarket got absolutely nuked.

Just look at the lowest FDV tiers the market is pricing in right now:

@Dreamcash - $20M → 80%
@DecibelTrade - $20M → 74%
@grvt_io - $50M → 91%
@etherealdex - $50M → 31%
@reya_xyz - $70M → 41%
@variational_io - $100M → 87%
@ventuals - $100M → 21%
@extendedapp - $150M �� 63%
@StandX_Official - $200M → 34%
@inkonchain / @nadoHQ - $250M → 68%
@ostium - $300M → 24%
@pacifica_fi - $300M → 17%

A few months ago, these kinds of numbers would’ve looked absurd.

Now even the bear case is being priced like the base case.

That’s how brutally the market has repriced the entire perp narrative.

Which of these projects do you think the market is still underpricing, if any?

[Poly Sapiens @PolySapiens]

@capy_onchain @Dreamcash @DecibelTrade @grvt_io @etherealdex @reya_xyz @variational_io Points farmers still pricing their bags at 5-month-old hype valuations

Reality check: for most perp DEX campaigns, buying the FDV market outright gives cleaner upside than grinding volume for diluted points

This will be exteremly painful for most. $LIT was the last