Temporary Fix π οΈ
While we appeal the ban on our main handle, please use this link:
π https://t.co/rultL9wFnU
Rest assured: All your data, settings, wallets, and subscriptions are SAFE and fully accessible here. Nothing is lost. π
We hope to get the main bot back soon, but for now, we are live here.
@Andrey_10gwei Cool analysis, we came to the same conclusion. Will they arrest him like they did the previous insider who won $400k betting that Maduro would be out? π
That is such a massive red flag for anyone actually looking at the chain.
It completely gives them away. An experienced crypto trader might send a $10 test transaction when interacting with a new bridge or a complex smart contract just to be safe. But doing a $10 test withdrawal from a centralized exchange, followed by $5,000, and then repeating that exact same $10 test withdrawal a week later? It screams, "I have no idea how blockchain works and I am absolutely terrified of sending my money into the void."
Psychology plays an important role in decision-making.
π§΅Did we just find the DeepSeek insider on Polymarket? π΅οΈββοΈ
We detected a cluster of wallets with a 100% historical win rate betting on the release date.
The on-chain trail suggests high-level sophistication.
Here is the breakdown of the investigation π
@rohitgolu2007 100% real. Private forensics tools like this already exist for the whales, no doubt. The blockchain is an open book. You just need a couple of algorithms, basic logic, and the ability to process massive data to see who is pulling the strings.
@Ignat2058729 Thanks man! For now, it will only investigate the markets you actively add to your tracking (limits depend on your sub). We are looking into how to scale this infrastructure to scan all of Polymarket 24/7 in future updates.
@croixrl True. We can't guarantee 100% that it's an insider (no one can, and doxxing people is illegal anyway), but let's be real- the probability of this exact on-chain pattern being a random coincidence is very low.
8/ The Verdict βοΈ
The smart money has already taken its position. They are betting heavily on a very specific timeframe.
π What do you think: Will DeepSeek actually launch before Feb 28th?
(Disclaimer: This thread is for informational purposes only. NFA. DYOR.)
5/ How We Caught Them ποΈβ
π¨οΈ Most analytics tools only look at volume on prediction markets.
Our new algorithm combines Polymarket data with deep on-chain tracing to catch these exact "Smart Money" patterns.
Currently in beta. Rolling out exclusively for Pro Plus users very soon. β³
This probably wonβt be a popular take but I actually like the Polymarket insider trading.
Before prediction markets, the Warsh stuff would have leaked to like 2-3 global macro funds who would position to make billions in PnL. Now one guy is greedy and destroys the Polymarket order book to make like 300k, and in return we all know whatβs up.
Found a potential Russian insider. π΅οΈββοΈπ·πΊ
Someone just bet on the Central Bank of Russia lowering the key rate.
The Alpha:The deposit came from HTX. This is a good choice using a Chinese exchange to bypass sanctions is exactly how local russian whales move liquidity right now.
Wallet:
https://t.co/MhpVdBwuXU
Deposit Wallet: https://t.co/VUEnGh289Q
How we found it: Our new algorithm doesn't just look at volume- it analyzes on-chain provenance and in real time!
π We are releasing this detection tool for Pro Plus users soon. Currently in beta testing.
Unlikely. Letβs break it down. π
Real deposit address: https://t.co/3sz4QIkBCO
Funds arrived to that address from here: https://t.co/h6paxRwotv
On this address, he participated in the MegaETH sale, and connected with deposit address https://t.co/uNuBcnXrUd. Deposit was made from Bitget exchange.
He is also connected to other multi-accounts that participated in the MegaETH sale, which were also funded via Bitget. Links: https://t.co/EAD9dVpBcX
https://t.co/JQlDqctqmg
https://t.co/pSiDlMd3Nh
Ask yourself: would a person depositing from Bitget be linked to the Trump administration or other government agencies? While also participating in the MegaETH sale?
Unlikely. But DYOR.
Unlikely. Letβs break it down. π
Real deposit address: https://t.co/3sz4QIkBCO
Funds arrived to that address from here: https://t.co/h6paxRwotv
On this address, he participated in the MegaETH sale, and connected with deposit address https://t.co/uNuBcnXrUd. Deposit was made from Bitget exchange.
He is also connected to other multi-accounts that participated in the MegaETH sale, which were also funded via Bitget. Links: https://t.co/EAD9dVpBcX
https://t.co/JQlDqctqmg
https://t.co/pSiDlMd3Nh
Ask yourself: would a person depositing from Bitget be linked to the Trump administration or other government agencies? While also participating in the MegaETH sale?
Unlikely. But DYOR.
This account was created 40 minutes ago.
He already has a $160k position on a US strike on Iran today.
This is the only market he is betting on, does he know something?
@PredictFolio We identified the real deposit address feeding the Relay bridge.
The funds trace back to Coinbase. This suggests the user is likely US-based, given the exchange's strict KYC requirements.
His real deposit address:
https://t.co/xjMjHSmgtj