Norway is the headline the value is in the fine print
Norway is the clear favorite on Polymarket with a 79%
The country has taken the most golds at the last three Winter Games
The United States sit at only 17% despite a deep delegation
Germany and Italy are almost ignored by the market although some models still like them
A Norway ticket looks safe but offers very little upside
That is why the more interesting angles are cheap lottery shots like Germany or Canada
Predicting the twelfth Starship flight.
Markets actively assess the flight success.
Booster explosion probability remains quite high.
Speculations about launch dates are growing.
Most traders favor late May timing.
Successful splashdown looks highly probable today.
Tower catch seems unlikely this time.