Practical Options Speculation

Practical Optionist

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

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[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS CEO, CFO significant insider purchase. „BUY ahead of Q2 earnings. Looking into Q2, we expect a clear sequential improvement from Q1, upside scenario we believe is not fully reflected in cons expectations. Lanxess fair value EV/Ebitda EUR 47, an upside of plus 180%.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS „We also see that the pricing level now in China is moving upwards, which is a clear difference to the last 12 months. When the pricing level in China moves upwards, you can assume that, then of course, pricing in the European area is also being positively impacted.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“. @tiefseher

@Finanz_Spass @Der_Boersianer @memyselfandi006

Siemens Energy $ENR Long plus 22% geschlossen.

Manager Magazin ���spin-off while retaining a 40% stake“. Plus 5% €170.

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“ plus 83%.

1. Long, Siemens Energy, plus 22%.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“. @tiefseher

@Finanz_Spass @Der_Boersianer @Michael_Kissig @memyselfandi006

Siemens Energy Long, Runde 2.
Vincorion short geschlossen plus 20%.

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“ plus 61%.

1. Long, Siemens Energy, @ 139 new buy.
2. ⁠Short, Vincorion +20%.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

BASF $BAS „BASF: upgrade to BUY. New TP 56 EUR. Q2 results 29 July, as we expect a stellar quarter, driven by the positive effects of the ongoing Strait of Hormuz closure, as customers rush to secure supply. Q2 adj. EBITDA forecast of EUR2,333m up 46% YOY (consensus at 2,07bn).“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

BASF $BAS Strong Q2. „May looks more like April than it looked like March. This, what you call panic buying, I would say this was certainly a certain insecurity in value chains, in particular in Europe. Overall, I would say May looks like a continuation of a fairly strong April.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“. @tiefseher

@Finanz_Spass @Der_Boersianer @Michael_Kissig @memyselfandi006

Siemens Energy Long, Runde 2.
Vincorion short geschlossen plus 20%.

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“ plus 61%.

1. Long, Siemens Energy, @ 139 new buy.
2. ⁠Short, Vincorion +20%.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“. @tiefseher

@Finanz_Spass @Der_Boersianer @Michael_Kissig @memyselfandi006

Investments werden bei plus 20% geschlossen. Vincorion short neu plus 11%.

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“ plus 52%.

1. Long, Siemens Energy, @ 144 buy
2. ⁠Short, Vincorion +11%

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

BASF $BAS Strong Q2. „May looks more like April than it looked like March. This, what you call panic buying, I would say this was certainly a certain insecurity in value chains, in particular in Europe. Overall, I would say May looks like a continuation of a fairly strong April.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

BASF $BAS „We are optimistic for the second quarter. We see pricing power across many of our businesses that will now unfold in the second quarter. Now in the second quarter, I think the pricing power that is now coming up will unfold. Short-term, we are optimistic. No shortages“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Tate & Lyle $TATE Sugar on top: All-cash purchase price of £5.95 per Tate & Lyle, acquisition multiple of 8.8x FY2026 adj. EBITDA. The transaction implies a total enterprise value of approximately £3.7B ($5.0B).

[WSJ Business News @WSJbusiness]

Tate & Lyle In Talks With Ingredion Over $3.7 billion Takeover Offer https://t.co/uYhngYu461

[WSJ Business News @WSJbusiness]

AkzoNobel Rejects $14.5 Billion Nippon Paint, Sherwin-Williams Takeover Bid https://t.co/rSgaBfyKPH

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Wacker Chemie $WCH M&A, Siltronic $WAF previous GlobalWafers bid € 125. Wacker selling at 14x 12m forward Ebitda 👌 at the higher end of the range of precedent transactions in the sector. June 1, 2026, to raise its prices up to 15% for resins, dispersions, & dispersible polymer.

[Rubber News @RubberNews]

Wacker Chemie A.G. is raising prices by up to 15 percent on resins, dispersions and dispersible polymer powders, driven by higher raw material and logistics costs. https://t.co/vbAuknFhSF

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Umicore $UMI, Evonik $EVK, Lanxess $LXS, Braskem $BAK „Es wird zu einer starken Konsolidierung kommen", sagte Kullmann. „Zuerst in der Grundchemie, aber perspektivisch auch in der Hochtechnologie-Chemie." „ebenso eine Übernahmewelle.“ European chemicals sector M&A consolidation.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Umicore $UMI „not 1 kilogram of germanium leaving China.“ Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, Thales, Saab, Leonardo face cost inflation, delays in scaling, and strategic risk. Hensoldt is the most exposed as germanium is critical for optronics, sensors & thermal systems (tanks, air defense).

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Braskem $BAK

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Braskem $BAK „We will see greater stress when it comes to obtaining feedstocks, and many companies are going to end up short on feedstocks. This in turn will translate into higher prices because if you have a permanent increase in feedstocks, then you need to raise your prices.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS It was one of the most bullish Chemicals week in 3 years - despite the risk of geopolitical events. Investors want to lean into this chemicals rally. Positioning is short / underweight. There are massive earnings upgrades coming in 2Q/ 3Q - cue Evonik, BASF.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Braskem $BAK „We will see greater stress when it comes to obtaining feedstocks, and many companies are going to end up short on feedstocks. This in turn will translate into higher prices because if you have a permanent increase in feedstocks, then you need to raise your prices.“

[WSJ Business News @WSJbusiness]

Tate & Lyle In Talks With Ingredion Over $3.7 billion Takeover Offer https://t.co/uYhngYu461

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Brenntag $BNR „But without the feedstock & also with feedstock that is massively more expensive at the moment, I see China at this stage, not out full blast on export and going everywhere. So it has an impact on competition in Latin America & Europe & other places at this stage.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS It was one of the most bullish Chemicals week in 3 years - despite the risk of geopolitical events. Investors want to lean into this chemicals rally. Positioning is short / underweight. There are massive earnings upgrades coming in 2Q/ 3Q - cue Evonik, BASF.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Umicore $UMI „Germanium prices are up 50% ytd and have tripled since Jan 2025, driven by Al-related fiber demand, Chinese export restrictions, and Congolese stockpiling. About half of Umicore's germanium feedstock is sourced through its own recycling operations below-spot costs.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Umicore $UMI „not 1 kilogram of germanium leaving China.“ Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, Thales, Saab, Leonardo face cost inflation, delays in scaling, and strategic risk. Hensoldt is the most exposed as germanium is critical for optronics, sensors & thermal systems (tanks, air defense).

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Sumco (3436) „Silicon wafer market 2Q, 300 mm wafers are expected to see strong demand for leading-edge logic & DRAM for AI applications,
demand for NAND use is also projected to grow in line. 200 mm demand is expected to remain weak, there are some signs of recovery in demand.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS It was one of the most bullish Chemicals week in 3 years - despite the risk of geopolitical events. Investors want to lean into this chemicals rally. Positioning is short / underweight. There are massive earnings upgrades coming in 2Q/ 3Q - cue Evonik, BASF.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“. @tiefseher

@Finanz_Spass @Der_Boersianer @Michael_Kissig @memyselfandi006

Investments werden bei plus 20% geschlossen. Vincorion short neu plus 11%.

Wikifolio „Inverse Eckert“ plus 52%.

1. Long, Siemens Energy, @ 144 buy
2. ⁠Short, Vincorion +11%

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Clariant $CLN „If that were not to happen, then actually you have a much more challenging scenario on feedstock because what you see is now there is shortages in Asia. If actually the Strait of Hormuz would not open by midyear, you will see actually shortages in Europe as well.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS It was one of the most bullish Chemicals week in 3 years - despite the risk of geopolitical events. Investors want to lean into this chemicals rally. Positioning is short / underweight. There are massive earnings upgrades coming in 2Q/ 3Q - cue Evonik, BASF.

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Evonik $EVK „We see quite a pickup in, let us say a much weaker competition from Asia. That is something, that is transferred into better pricing in Europe. There is less supply. Most of the capacity, besides ours is sitting in Asia, there is less supply from Asia on that side.“

[Practical Options Speculation @Practical_Opt]

Lanxess $LXS It was one of the most bullish Chemicals week in 3 years - despite the risk of geopolitical events. Investors want to lean into this chemicals rally. Positioning is short / underweight. There are massive earnings upgrades coming in 2Q/ 3Q - cue Evonik, BASF.