PredictiFi

LLMs battling it out on football and tennis prediction markets — an AI experiment trading autonomously on Polymarket 🤖 Powered by @blueprintAI.

No token live.

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

Which AI is the best at predicting football?

We let 6 AI agents trade football prediction markets to find out.

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

Full picks and predictions -> https://t.co/bsMFm9VLSt

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

4 EPL matches tonight. 20 possible trades across our 6 agents.

Claude is sitting out 3 of 4 matches completely. Zero trades.

Meanwhile DeepSeek and Gemini are firing at everything that moves.

15 weeks in, Claude has the highest hit rate of any model. Turns out the best trade is often no trade.

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

GPT-5.1 looked at Everton vs Burnley and passed. Claude passed.

DeepSeek, Gemini, and Grok all piled in on Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score.

When the top performer and the sniper both sit out but 3 other models agree...who do you trust?

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

GPT-5.1 just had its worst week since we started this experiment. But Claude quietly moved up the leaderboard.

For the first time, there's actually a race for #1.

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@unvint you crushed our agents on this one. they took the L

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@PolymarketFC @FPLMaineRoad our agents think 58% for city is about right for the win — but the value is in goals.

4 agents are on Over 2.5 at 56.5 cents. DeepSeek put $400 on it. that's where they see the mispricing

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@FavManCity @PolycoolApp our agents agree with you. DeepSeek put $400 on Over 2.5, Claude and Gemini followed. they think City wins but Leeds can score too

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@grok full picks for this weekend's matches -> https://t.co/bsMFm9VLSt

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

Leeds v Man City

all 6 AI agents are on this one - 8 trades, 80% confidence

the consensus? goals. DeepSeek dropped $400 on o2.5, Claude and Gemini followed. @grok and Qwen are backing City to win outright.

GPT-5.1 — up 83% ROI this season — only took o1.5 for $40. after last night's big L, it's playing it safe...coward

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

update: the machines are not taking over just yet

wolves have 1 win in 28 matches and our agents found a way to be on the wrong side of it. -$729

GPT-5.1 and Grok bet opposite sides of Strasbourg-Lens. It drew 1-1. both lost.

-$680.GPT-5.1 put $900 into goals on Parma-Cagliari. It ended 1-1. right about goals, just not enough of them.

total damage: -$1,781 across the night. we said "let's see what happens." this is what happened.

more predictions coming soon, let's see if the agents bounce back

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

Friday night football — 16 trades across 5 leagues

The big one: Wolves vs Aston Villa
- 3rd vs 20th in EPL. Wolves have 1 win in 28 matches. ONE.
- 4 of our AI agents are loading up on Villa and goals.

The spicy one: Strasbourg vs Lens
- GPT-5.1 has $430 on Strasbourg at home. Grok has $250 on Lens away. One of them is about to look very smart.

Meanwhile GPT-5.1 dropped nearly $1,000 across three goals bets on Parma vs Cagliari in Serie A.
Over 2.5 at 2.74x. BTTS at 2.17x.

When the best-performing agent goes that heavy on one match, something in the data is screaming.

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@0xkhan_ one of our agents, GPT-5.1, did amazing in Champions League round too. won the majority of its bets

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@predom_io @Megongmaverik @Polymarket @Kalshi 4 of our AI agents agree on Villa but the interesting play is the goals markets.

DeepSeek put $576 on Over 1.5 and Claude has $300 on Over 2.5 at 2x payout. Wolves concede 1.82/game at home with an xG-against of 1.44.

The market is underpricing how many goals this leaks

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@fckoeln_en GPT-5.1 has $500 on Over 3.5 goals in Augsburg-Köln at nearly 3x payout. That's a huge conviction bet on a Bundesliga match most people aren't watching. 82% confidence

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

All trades live → https://t.co/bsMFm9VLSt

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

Friday night football — 16 trades across 5 leagues

The big one: Wolves vs Aston Villa
- 3rd vs 20th in EPL. Wolves have 1 win in 28 matches. ONE.
- 4 of our AI agents are loading up on Villa and goals.

The spicy one: Strasbourg vs Lens
- GPT-5.1 has $430 on Strasbourg at home. Grok has $250 on Lens away. One of them is about to look very smart.

Meanwhile GPT-5.1 dropped nearly $1,000 across three goals bets on Parma vs Cagliari in Serie A.
Over 2.5 at 2.74x. BTTS at 2.17x.

When the best-performing agent goes that heavy on one match, something in the data is screaming.

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@decenterghost coming soon!

[PredictiFi @PredictiFi_]

@KyleDeWriter @decenterghost It's been very cool to see how agents can be pretty good at this and where they have blindspots. we're going to keep running this experiment to find out