PI

Buy and sell political futures.

PSAs:
- 95% ≠ Certainty
- Forecasts ≠ Future
- Turnout = Outcome

[PI @PredictIt]

Tomorrow, you’ll wake up to a new PredictIt.

With a refreshed look and new features, our redesigned platform is faster, cleaner and more intuitive than ever—while delivering the same expert insights you know and trust.

Don't just see it coming, PredictIt.

[PI @PredictIt]

Where do you think prediction markets are headed? Let us know your thoughts in the comments👇

[PI @PredictIt]

Prediction markets are reshaping how we understand political outcomes, and no one knows that better than the people who built the system.

PredictIt Co-Founder and CEO John Aristotle Phillips took the stage at #SBCSummit Americas a couple weeks ago to talk about what’s next for the industry.

[AP Race Calls @AP_RaceCalls]

WASHINGTON (AP) — Brad Lander wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in New York's 10th Congressional District. #APRaceCall at 9:04 p.m. EDT. https://t.co/TS3eIpQI5W

[AP Race Calls @AP_RaceCalls]

WASHINGTON (AP) — Claire Valdez wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in New York's 7th Congressional District. #APRaceCall at 9:23 p.m. EDT. https://t.co/TS3eIpQI5W

[Jake Sherman @JakeSherman]

Trump endorsed Evette. Although he later said he was endorsing both Evette and Wilson.

Alan Wilson is the son of longtime GOP Rep. Joe Wilson.

[Zachary Donnini @ZacharyDonnini]

Polls close in New York City in 5 minutes. Early vote results (a lot of votes) should report very quickly (within 5 minutes), but they may not tell the full story.

Many voters made their choices late, and past elections have shifted after the initial early vote drop.

[The PredictIt Podcast @PredictItPod]

Still some YES contracts out there https://t.co/I2dJgQ5lHd

[The Redistrict Network @RedistrictNet]

#NEW: Georgia lawmakers end special session without redrawing the state's legislative and congressional maps. https://t.co/k9DAC5eeDy

[Aaron Blake @AaronBlake]

Big shift in Texas. UT poll shows Talarico going from +8 in April (42-34) to -1 now (42-43).

Why? Paxton consolidated the GOP.

In April, Paxton got 63% of GOP voters, with 10% going to Talarico.

Now, Paxton gets 84%, with 5% for Talarico.

Talarico still leads big w/ indies.

[Zachary Donnini @ZacharyDonnini]

On the ground in NY-12, several Alex Bores voters pointed to his focus on technology and AI as a key reason for backing him.

One voter said it was important to have “someone who understands technology in Congress,” while others specifically cited AI as part of their decision.

[The PredictIt Podcast @PredictItPod]

Some room between the two numbers here https://t.co/6VGR0urFlz

[The PredictIt Podcast @PredictItPod]

Was reading the Vico Future Monitor from last week and thought this tidbit was interesting and noteworthy

[PI @PredictIt]

👀👀👀

[Politics UK @PolitlcsUK]

🚨 BREAKING: Donald Trump says Keir Starmer will resign as PM after he "failed badly" on immigration and energy

[The Times and Sunday Times @thetimes]

🔺 EXCLUSIVE: Sir Keir Starmer will this afternoon be told by members of his cabinet that it is time to set out a timeline for his departure in the wake of Andy Burnham’s victory in Makerfield https://t.co/J4bJ26A0Ei

[The PredictIt Podcast @PredictItPod]

https://t.co/6GB6GeV9M1

[The PredictIt Podcast @PredictItPod]

TLDR: The public is happy about the deal (if it stands)

[Caitlin Byrd @MaryCaitlinByrd]

TRUMP endorses both ALAN WILSON and PAMELA EVETTE for SC governor, writing in part --> "I can’t hurt one of them by only Endorsing the other, so, therefore, I am going to Endorse, for Governor of South Carolina, both Pam Evette and Alan Wilson!" #scpol #scnews #scgovrace #chsnews

[The New York Times @nytimes]

Breaking News: Leaders in the Georgia House of Representatives said they would not take up redistricting during a legislative session that had been set to start this afternoon — and that had been called expressly to erase majority-Black districts. https://t.co/fXYkl9fPmJ

[The PredictIt Podcast @PredictItPod]

Bright flashing warning signs for any Mamdani endorsee or non-establishment candidate. Links below to these markets🧵

[PI @PredictIt]

Trump potentially endorsing both candidates in the SC GOP gubernatorial primary runoff like

Who’s going to take the Republican spot in the election for governor in the Palmetto State this fall: Evette or Wilson?

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

WaPo: Trump mulls co-endorsement in South Carolina as governor’s race proves tight

An endorsement of both candidates, Pamela Evette and Alan Wilson, would be the latest example of the president hedging his bets to avoid a fight with conservative activists.

https://t.co/bFDo3b4FuZ