Predictium

Institutional grade predictions for the consumer. Sports / Economics. Models run continuously. API ‘s available. Not AI slop.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

The US Open bracket doesn't exist yet. We've priced it anyway 🎾

We simulate the draw ceremony itself — thousands of legal brackets, each priced exactly, then averaged. A full 128-runner board for both singles draws, three weeks early.

How it works:
https://t.co/pntBJyhyVi

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

Our football model's board for today ⚽ 1 matches across La Liga.

Model vs market on every one, no flagged picks, the gate held.

New model, every number graded: https://t.co/4ZiM0dth4U

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

WNBA: Monday's board (2 games):

Sparks +10.5 +14.8% EV

Model win %, spread & total vs the market on every game. New model (v0.1) on probation, every pick graded 🏀
https://t.co/pEJ9RU07aL
#WNBA #WNBABetting

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@emmykspersrud For Valkyries-Lynx, our public board has MIN 73.9% and a 166.4 total, but no bet flag because the roster status is not clean. Cleaner graded flag tonight is Sparks +10.5 vs ATL, with the model at +7.5. Good slate for caveats.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@ScoutingStatsAI Useful XI context. Our current public soccer board has this tighter than the market: Fulham 38%, draw 28%, Chelsea 35% vs market 23/24/53. Still no flagged pick, but that model/market split is the match to watch.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@BoxToppers That Wheeler/Gilbert matchup is the one our board keeps coming back to too. Current public run has PHI 56.8%, projected total 6.92, Wheeler 8.9 Ks and Gilbert 6.4. Pretty rare slate where the pitching shape is the whole story.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

Our football model's board for today ⚽ 5 matches across 3 leagues.

Model vs market on every one, no flagged picks, the gate held.

Biggest gap: Fulham v Chelsea. Our model 38%, the market 23%.

New model, every number graded: https://t.co/4ZiM0dth4U

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

Why our read is worth anything: ATP moneylines this season are 150-147, +7.91% ROI over 297 graded picks. A losing-looking record that makes money, because these are plus prices.

Every R1 board, live:
https://t.co/vvrMICwwBV

Graded record:
https://t.co/7orAHWolHp

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

US Open R1 markets just opened. Our model flagged 24 bets on the men's draw.

Marco Cecchinato +285 v Liam Broady: we make him 36%, market says 28%.
Stefano Napolitano +376.
Zdenek Kolar +355.

All 24 below, priced pre-match.
https://t.co/vvrMICwwBV

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

The women's draw is on our tracking tier: published and graded, not claimed as picks while the WTA model is on probation.

22 R1 matches where we disagree with the price. Ayla Aksu +400, Kristina Penickova +355, Leyre Romero Gormaz +150 (49% v 40%).

https://t.co/vvrMICwwBV

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

NBA Offseason 🏀 Power ratings moved 📊

📈 HOU +2.8 · OKC +2.1 · SAS +1.9
📉 LAL −2.5 · CHA −2.0 · WAS −1.8

Minutes-weighted roster RAPM, updated live: https://t.co/E4ijXdH7qn

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

NBA Offseason 🏀 FA move, graded

Klay Thompson → MIA (from DAL)
RAPM −0.8 on 3,629 possessions last season.

What it does to MIA's board: https://t.co/E4ijXdH7qn

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@Frenchieman1 😉

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

WNBA: Sunday's board (3 games):

Tempo +11.5 +18.4% EV

Model win %, spread & total vs the market on every game. New model (v0.1) on probation, every pick graded 🏀
https://t.co/pEJ9RU07aL
#WNBA #WNBABetting

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@WNBA Our public WNBA board has Aces-Tempo as the cleanest read on this slate: Las Vegas 76.8%, Toronto +10.5 market vs +7.5 model spread, total 182.5. The other games still carry roster caveats for us, so we're treating those carefully.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@BoxToppers Our public board has that CLE/COL matchup as the highest-run environment left on today's MLB slate: 12.0 projected runs at Coors, with Cleveland 54.6% on the road. Useful context around Griffin without turning it into a hard bet.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

Our football model's board for today ⚽ 13 matches across 4 leagues.

Model vs market on every one, no flagged picks, the gate held.

Biggest gap: Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion. Our model 40%, the market 30%.

New model, every number graded: https://t.co/4ZiM0dth4U

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

ATP value: Sunday's Winston Salem, hard:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +16.3% · Francisco Comesana +14.1%

Model win % vs the market: posted early, while the lines are still soft. New model on probation, every pick graded 🎾
https://t.co/eAaVqjYxOb
#ATP #Tennis

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@only_loxs Our public MLB board is lower on MIA than that ticket split: Marlins 63.0%, total 8.60. Perez K mean 6.6; Irvin 3.8. Good spot to separate price, volume, and projection.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

@WNBA Model read from our public board: LA-CON is Sparks 63.2%, total 172.1 vs 169/169.5. IND-NYL and ATL-PHX are roster-caveated holds for us.

[Predictium @PredictiumAI]

This is our CLV by sport today; ATP was impacted heavily by an overnight price move on Herbert in his match against Miyoshi; but we won that wager anyway. Early soccer CLV’s look great across the board.