PredictWise

PredictWise aggregates, analyzes, and creates predictions on politics, sports, finance, and entertainment. Also @DavMicRot/@KonitzerTobias

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

@PredictWise is hiring a Senior Data Engineer in New York City, San Francisco https://t.co/REh4hudiBz

[Giovanna Fernandes @gioamorim]

This is exactly why I changed careers to #DataScience. I wanted my work to have a positive impact and I’m so glad to be accomplishing this at #PredictWise 👇🏽👩🏽‍💻

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

2/4 Break grounds in combining attitudinal/survey data with behavioral/telemetry data to build stronger, more accurate, more dynamic Machine Learning models of political attitudes

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

4/4 Finding new ways in validating and re-validating our Machine Learning models in the field in rigorous randomized control trials. And, above all, pushing for always-on data pipelines, now that 2020 is (firmly) behind us more important than ever

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

3/4 Re-think identity resolution, and the related precision-recall trade-off, to build high-precision data bases of unregistered Americans and using this data to power text banks with accurate cell-phone numbers, and mobile-first advertising campaigns

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

1/4 In the 2020 cycle, @PredictWise was at the forefront of technological innovation, bringing sophisticated data to bear on behalf of progressives up/down ballots. @NikhGarg has written up all that he and @gioamorim accomplished last year: https://t.co/JGgJtmMZND

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

4/4 Our targeting leads to measurable results (far beyond the typical “we worked with campaign A, and campaign A won”). Together with TruthNotLies, we moved a Trump 2016 universe away from Trump (stat. significant; RCT). Thank you for all @PredictWise to making this possible!

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

2/4 Better targeting: our scores are based on always on survey AND behavioral data collection, dynamic Bayesian Machine Learning built on GPUs, and projection/extrapolation built on CuBLAS, allowing us to score all Americans within hours

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

3/4 Platform independent technology means that our targeting fed right into demand-side platforms, not just Facebook, providing a crucial alternative when Facebook shut down political ads, and performing better

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

1/4 In the 2020 cycle, @PredictWise was active at the national level, and in all major states. We helped progressives w/
1. Better targeting through machine learning and always-on data collection
2. Platform-independent technology
https://t.co/vaIYxzhy4n

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

Check out https://t.co/hHNkiQ3KBK for open positions @PredictWise !

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

PredictWise is hiring a Senior Data Engineer in New York City, San Francisco https://t.co/REh4hudiBz

[David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot]

4 suggestions Democrats by @KonitzerTobias (1) fund spending off-cycle, rather than all at end of election campaign (2) move digital beyond Facebook for stability & reach (3) understand why voters support causes & parties (4) address them directly & continuously all cycle long

[PredictWise @PredictWise]

Our thoughts on what to learn from this election...

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

While these have been long 36+ hours with lots uncertainty left, I believe there are lessons from the election -- 4 pathologies Dems would do well to address. Thread 1/5 - full piece @PredictWise https://t.co/ig2DD5dGDI

[PredictWise @PredictWise]

The whole team @PredictWise has paved the way for a new era of digital outreach, focused on thinking beyond Facebook. Hard to overstate the impact of this work, especially over the last few weeks of the cycle. Thank you!

[Nikhil Garg @NikhGarg]

Wrapped up my last delivery for the cycle earlier this morning. Can't overstate how much working on the election @PredictWise have kept me (somewhat) sane these past 7 months! More soon on the cool and impactful stuff we did.

[David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot]

Hat-tip to @KonitzerTobias @PredictWise who are tracking 250+ questions each week, all geared towards underlying issues & values, to better understand true nature of electorate, rather than fleeting position on short-term policy debates.

[David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot]

4 biggest policy issues of 2020: healthcare/COVID, economy, racial justice, climate change. Lots of polls try to capture snapshots of sentiment on these policies. @PredictWise has been tracking underlying sentiment for on these topics for years. Here are a few thoughts:

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

new research @PredictWise : estimating size of news audiences, or the number of viewers for Trump's covid briefing, with surveys just does not work -- behavioral data is needed: https://t.co/ptMJ1HZnKU

[tobias konitzer @KonitzerTobias]

Proud to officially launch SIGNAL, our digital audience builder @PredictWise, allowing you to target at intersection of attitudes & behaviors (real time location? check! Reaching COVID-decree adhering Republicans? check!) Read more here https://t.co/xYzcnY2d2z

[David Rothschild 🌻 @DavMicRot]

.@PredictWise has run a battery on risk & investing for a few years, and I am annoyed that this concept of "We all Benefit" from the stock market going up has not shifted in the face of reality: yet.