Health Care has a 100% win rate in the back half of midterm election years.
Not 80%. Not 90%. ONE HUNDRED PERCENT.
I looked at every midterm year since 2006.
Here's how each sector performed from July to December:
1. Health Care $XLV: +8.46% avg, 100% win rate
2. Industrials $XLI: +7.18%, 80%
3. Materials $XLB: +6.71%, 60%
4. Financials $XLF: +6.68%, 80%
5. Cons. Discretionary $XLY: +6.35%, 60%
6. Cons. Staples $XLP: +6.29%, 80%
7. Utilities $XLU: +6.18%, 80%
8. Technology $XLK: +6.08%, 60%
9. Energy $XLE: +3.26%, 60%
10. Real Estate $XLRE: -7.94%, 0%
The S&P 500 $SPY averaged: +5.95%.
Three things nobody is talking about:
1. Health Care outperforms EVERY sector in midterm H2. Not tech. Not discretionary. Health Care. Five for five.
2. Tech drops to #8. The darling of every other year becomes middle of the pack when midterm volatility kicks in (60% win rate).
3. Real Estate has NEVER been positive Jul-Dec in a midterm year. 0 for 2. Negative every single time.
2026 is a midterm year.
The rotation is underway. It always does.
@GavinNewsom Before you tax the most monetarily successful man EVER who has created 2 of the most successful companies in American history, can you please explain how you have spent taxpayer dollars wisely in your own state?
Stop asking for more money from ANYONE until you spend it correctly
HERE IS THE FULL SPACEX $SPCX SHARE UNLOCK TIMELINE
Right now only 4.9% of shares are in the free float.
Here is how that changes over the next 14 months:
Early unlock window (Jul - Dec 2026):
Aug 8: 11.8%
Aug 20: 15.2%
Sep 9: 17.7%
Sep 24: 20.1%
Oct 9: 22.6%
Oct 24: 25.1%
Nov: 27.6% β 37.5%
Dec 8: 40.0%
On Day 366, June 12, 2027: Elon's 46.1% stake becomes eligible ... The free float jumps from 50.8% to 96.9% in a single day.
By September 2027 the float reaches 100%.
This idea isn't isolated $AAOI
Rosenblatt a couple weeks ago put out a report and highlighted a general consensus among buysiders that $AMD was in talks with $AAOI about becoming a customer
Any kind of agreement/investment from $AMD would be a major catalyst for $AAOI stock .
This is speculative. Not a confirmed relationship
$AAOI coiling and eyeing $250β275 zone.
> A possible MACD cross forming.
> RSI at 54 and just crossed above 52.
> Bullish SMA uptrend remains intact.
> Clean bounce off the EMA 9.
The Neighboring Price Bands are holding as dynamic support while price coils. With that orange curve kicking in and momentum starting to turn, the next leg higher looks loaded if we can clear the recent consolidation zone.
Eyes on a sustained move through $200+. Risk defined below the bands / recent lows.
-BP
Not financial advice.
So let me get this right. Please retweet.
Trump sayvdwal w Iran will be signed this weekend.
Iran say deal done.
And people shorting.
You are a complete idiot if you were short