James Krider, M.D., applying 15 years of stock & options trading experience to help educate others. Founder of ProbabilityTraderPro. Not financial advice.
Public model validation:
I am posting my top probability-based stock signals in real time and tracking each one over the next 5 trading days.
The purpose is simple: forward validation. No backtest. No cherry-picking. Every posted pick will be followed up with actual results, winners and losers included.
Win = positive 5-trading-day return.
Not personalized financial advice.
New high-probability signals:
$NVDA 96.2%
$AA 96.2%
$TJX 92.6%
$W 92.4%
$LLY 91.8%
$BURL 91.0%
$SNPS 88.5%
$STX 87.8%
$DIS 87.6%
$TEVA 87.5%
$NXPI 87.4%
$TTWO 87.4%
Cumulative live results (474 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 50.8% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 62.4% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 66.5% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 73.0% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +5.79% avg best close return by 5D
• +1.28 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 93.7% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 75.7% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 78.6% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
New high-probability signals:
$DIS 94.9%
$TPR 94.3%
$AMBA 93.6%
$AA 93.3%
$BURL 93.3%
$HWM 92.1%
$STX 91.6%
$ADI 91.1%
$NEM 88.7%
$WPM 88.2%
$WDC 87.7%
$SLV 86.9%
Cumulative live results (449 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 50.8% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 62.6% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 66.6% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 72.4% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +5.88% avg best close return by 5D
• +1.43 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.0% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 75.3% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 79.0% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
PTP V5 Daily Update — July 1, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$TJX 97.7%
$NVDA 96.8%
$NEM 96.8%
$PAAS 96.7%
$COST 95.7%
$STX 92.9%
$WDC 92.3%
$TPR 92.1%
$SLV 91.4%
$ADI 91.2%
$SMH 89.8%
$TMUS 86.7%
Cumulative live results (425 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 51.8% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 63.3% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 66.8% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 73.4% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +5.98% avg best close return by 5D
• +1.66 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.1% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 75.3% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 80.0% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — July 1, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$TJX 97.7%
$NVDA 96.8%
$NEM 96.8%
$PAAS 96.7%
$COST 95.7%
$STX 92.9%
$WDC 92.3%
$TPR 92.1%
$SLV 91.4%
$ADI 91.2%
$SMH 89.8%
$TMUS 86.7%
Cumulative live results (408 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 52.5% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 64.2% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 67.6% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 74.3% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +6.10% avg best close return by 5D
• +1.79 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 93.9% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 76.0% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 79.6% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 29, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$PAAS 97.9%
$TJX 96.0%
$TPR 95.3%
$NOW 94.5%
$SLV 93.3%
$GAP 93.2%
$SMH 92.5%
$AVGO 89.9%
$LITE 88.2%
$NXPI 87.3%
$NVDA 86.4%
$MU 85.8%
Cumulative live results (388 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 52.8% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 64.9% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 68.3% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 74.5% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +6.24% avg best close return by 5D
• +1.88 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.1% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 76.8% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 79.3% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 29, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$PAAS 97.9%
$TJX 96.0%
$TPR 95.3%
$NOW 94.5%
$SLV 93.3%
$GAP 93.2%
$SMH 92.5%
$AVGO 89.9%
$LITE 88.2%
$NXPI 87.3%
$NVDA 86.4%
$MU 85.8%
Cumulative live results (370 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 54.6% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 67.0% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 70.3% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 75.9% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +6.54% avg best close return by 5D
• +2.12 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 95.4% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 78.4% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 80.5% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 26, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$NOW 98.7%
$CBOE 95.4%
$TPR 94.2%
$PAAS 92.3%
$SLV 92.2%
$WPM 88.9%
$SMH 88.5%
$NEM 88.0%
$FTAI 87.7%
$AA 87.3%
$TJX 86.8%
$NVDA 86.0%
Cumulative live results (349 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 56.4% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 68.8% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 72.2% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 78.2% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +6.85% avg best close return by 5D
• +2.55 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.3% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 80.2% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 82.5% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 26, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$NOW 98.7%
$CBOE 95.4%
$TPR 94.2%
$PAAS 92.3%
$SLV 92.2%
$WPM 88.9%
$SMH 88.5%
$NEM 88.0%
$FTAI 87.7%
$AA 87.3%
$TJX 86.8%
$NVDA 86.0%
Cumulative live results (349 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 56.4% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 68.8% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 72.2% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 78.2% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +6.85% avg best close return by 5D
• +2.55 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.3% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 80.2% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 82.5% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 25, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$NOW 98.6%
$TJX 98.6%
$QQQ 96.7%
$NVDA 96.4%
$TPR 95.9%
$PAAS 95.5%
$LITE 94.7%
$SMH 94.6%
$CCJ 93.0%
$SLV 92.7%
$WPM 89.9%
$KGC 89.7%
Cumulative live results (329 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 58.1% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 70.8% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 74.5% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 78.7% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.11% avg best close return by 5D
• +2.82 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.4% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 80.5% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 83.0% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 24, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$PAAS 98.4%
$NOW 97.8%
$LITE 95.0%
$TPR 93.8%
$NVDA 93.8%
$SLV 93.1%
$CCJ 89.4%
$WDAY 87.3%
$WPM 86.8%
$V 86.4%
$GLW 86.4%
$LVS 84.6%
Cumulative live results (311 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 60.1% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 73.0% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 76.8% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 81.4% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.41% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.16 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.5% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 80.4% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 83.9% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 23, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$NVDA 98.9%
$PAAS 97.9%
$TPR 94.7%
$WDAY 92.1%
$CCJ 91.1%
$SLV 90.0%
$LITE 89.4%
$LVS 88.3%
$PANW 86.4%
$GLW 86.2%
$PNC 84.7%
$DIS 83.3%
Cumulative live results (288 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 62.2% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 76.0% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 80.2% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 85.1% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.73% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.62 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.2% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 80.9% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 86.8% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 22, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$PAAS 98.3%
$COST 98.2%
$LITE 97.7%
$WDAY 93.3%
$TPR 92.4%
$NVDA 91.2%
$WPM 88.1%
$SLV 88.0%
$GAP 87.2%
$CCJ 86.9%
$GLW 83.7%
$LVS 81.4%
Cumulative live results (264 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 61.7% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 76.5% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 81.1% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 86.4% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.83% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.73 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 95.8% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 80.7% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 87.5% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 17, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$PAAS 96.9%
$NEM 95.6%
$AVGO 94.4%
$NVDA 93.1%
$GAP 90.3%
$CAH 88.9%
$WPM 88.6%
$BURL 88.1%
$GLW 85.6%
$TSM 85.5%
$PANW 84.9%
$SLV 83.1%
Cumulative live results (217 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 58.5% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 75.1% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 80.2% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 84.8% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.33% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.36 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.9% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 77.9% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 86.2% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
Did you trade $ADTX or $CAST today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 17, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$PAAS 96.9%
$NEM 95.6%
$AVGO 94.4%
$NVDA 93.1%
$GAP 90.3%
$CAH 88.9%
$WPM 88.6%
$BURL 88.1%
$GLW 85.6%
$TSM 85.5%
$PANW 84.9%
$SLV 83.1%
Cumulative live results (217 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 58.5% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 75.1% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 80.2% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 84.8% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.33% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.36 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.9% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 77.9% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 86.2% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 15, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$WDC 97.7%
$NEM 95.4%
$PAAS 92.6%
$NVDA 91.5%
$DIS 91.0%
$VKTX 89.8%
$CCJ 89.5%
$HWM 88.8%
$FTAI 88.6%
$KGC 87.6%
$SLV 87.1%
$CLS 86.8%
Cumulative live results (181 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 54.7% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 70.7% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 75.7% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 81.2% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.40% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.20 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.5% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 76.8% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 84.5% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
Did you trade $RGNT or $CAST today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 12, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$WPM 94.2%
$NRG 92.7%
$LITE 92.0%
$WDC 91.2%
$SLV 89.6%
$TNA 88.3%
$HWM 87.7%
$GNRC 87.6%
$CCJ 86.6%
$CLS 83.2%
$SMMT 82.3%
$ACN 82.0%
Cumulative live results (171 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 54.4% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 69.6% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 74.9% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 81.3% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.66% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.31 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 94.2% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 76.6% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 83.6% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
Did you trade $SPCX or $TSLA today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!
TP V5 Daily Update — June 11, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$CCJ 96.9%
$WPM 96.9%
$LITE 96.1%
$PANW 94.0%
$ACN 93.6%
$NRG 91.9%
$GAP 91.7%
$WDC 90.0%
$NEM 88.7%
$COST 88.5%
$NVDA 88.1%
$MU 87.0%
Cumulative live results (165 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 55.2% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 68.5% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 72.7% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 79.4% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +7.90% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.36 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 95.8% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 77.6% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 84.8% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
Did you trade $PPCB or $GELS today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 10, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$WDC 96.4%
$WPM 95.5%
$ACN 95.5%
$LITE 94.3%
$COST 90.1%
$NVDA 87.3%
$PANW 87.0%
$NEM 86.9%
$PAAS 85.1%
$VKTX 82.1%
$ALB 81.3%
$LRCX 80.1%
Cumulative live results (154 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 56.5% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 70.8% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 75.3% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 81.8% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +8.24% avg best close return by 5D
• +3.57 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.1% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 77.3% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 87.0% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
Did you trade $CPOP or $VSME today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!
TP V5 Daily Update — June 9, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$ACN 95.1%
$WDC 93.7%
$PNC 92.8%
$WPM 91.6%
$TMUS 87.2%
$LITE 86.4%
$PANW 83.8%
$PAAS 81.8%
$AAPL 80.5%
$COST 79.8%
$NXPI 78.6%
$NEM 78.5%
Cumulative live results (145 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 58.6% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 70.3% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 74.5% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 81.4% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +8.80% avg best close return by 5D
• +4.21 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.6% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 79.3% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 89.7% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRSRc
Did you trade $CCTG or $CHAI today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!
PTP V5 Daily Update — June 8, 2026
New high-probability signals:
$NEM 95.1%
$ACN 94.0%
$TMUS 91.3%
$WPM 91.2%
$CCJ 89.3%
$DIS 89.1%
$WDC 86.7%
$GLW 84.7%
$GNRC 83.9%
$MU 83.6%
$PANW 82.9%
$ADSK 78.5%
Cumulative live results (134 signals reached the official 5D test):
• 60.4% official 5D close-to-close win rate
• 72.4% confirmed close wins by 10D
• 76.9% confirmed close wins by 20D/to date
• 83.6% confirmed close/high recovery by 20D/to date
• +9.19% avg best close return by 5D
• +4.59 pts 5D excess vs SPY
• 96.3% hit breakeven intraday in 5D window
• 79.9% hit +2% intraday in 5D window
• 91.0% CSP strike survival rate
5D = official model horizon. Confirmed wins by 10D/20D include strict 5D wins plus later close recoveries (high adds intraday touches). 20D values reflect signals matured to date.
See daily probability forecasts across 300+ stocks, live validation results, and CSP strike levels:
https://t.co/Z91bsaRl1E
Did you trade $TDIC or $SUNE today? If you are day trading these tickers, give our options trading a try also. Higher probabilities!