Tim Bale

aka @timbale.bsky.social Teach politics at @QMPoliticsIR. New book: "The Conservative Party After Brexit: Turmoil and Transformation"

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

Peter Bale. Born Bristol, 12.7.1937 Scholarship boy. Aircraftman. Botanist. Biology teacher. Exercise physiologist. Wing three-quarter. Opera-lover. Sun-worshipper. Liberal-socialist. MS-patient. My Dad. Died Eastbourne, 15.7.2020.

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

https://t.co/XXZ4GvWwPe

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

“You call that statesmanship? I call it an emotional spasm.”

My sceptical (but not Eurosceptical) take for the @NewStatesman

https://t.co/xR3b4l2EKH

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

The evidence that changing PM can help win you a majority at the next election is, shall we say, mixed.

Yes: Eden to Macmillan, Thatcher to Major, May to Johnson.

No: Macmillan to Home, Wilson to Callaghan, Blair to Brown, Cameron to May, Johnson to Truss, Truss to Sunak.

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

Thanks @Peston. For those interested in reading further, here's the report in full: https://t.co/X0ucaklcp4

[Robert Peston @Peston]

Quite literally, our political parties are aging and dying (research by Tim Bale et al ⁦@QMUL⁩)

[Biteback Publishing @BitebackPub]

And back on the shelf: two definitive classics, newly updated

🔴British Labour Leaders edited by Charles Clarke and @TobySJames
🔵British Conservative Leaders edited by Charles Clarke, Toby S. James, @ProfTimBale and @PatrickDiamond1

[Iain Dale 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇬🇧 ⚒️ @IainDale]

COMING ON 18 SEPTEMBER

British By-Elections 1789-2025 - The 88 By-Election Campaigns That Shaped Our Politics

Preorder a signed copy
https://t.co/fKj4wSF686

Full list of by-elections and essay authors below.

Parliamentary by-election happens when a seat in the House of Commons becomes vacant between general elections, whether the sitting MP dies, resigns, goes bankrupt, is convicted of a crime or is subject to a recall petition. Whatever the circumstances, by-elections have long provided some the most dramatic moments in British parliamentary history.

In this latest volume of political essays, Iain Dale picks the most consequential by-elections of the modern era and presents a series of thoroughly researched, and absorbing essays by some of the finest political writers working today.

Middlesex 1769 Robin Eagles
Co Clare 1828 Richard Gaunt
Preston 1830 Gordon Pentland
Manchester Withington 1867 Peter Kellner
Colchester 1870 Luke Blaxill
Northampton 1884 Simon Barrow
Mid Lanark 1888 Baroness Pauiine Bryan
Oldham 1899 Alex Puffette
Barnard Castle 1903 David Laws
Norwich 1904 Duncan Brack
Colne Valley 1907 Gerard Hetherington
Manchester NW 1908 Pippa Caterall
North East Derbyshire 1914 Gordon Marsden
Merthyr Tydfil 1915 Sir Vernon Bogdanor
Clare East 1917 Richard Grayson
Spen Valley 1919 Roger Gough
Paisley 1920 Hugh Gault
Woolwich East 1921 Nan Sloane
Cardiganshire 1921 Russell Deacon
Newport 1922 Stephen Williams
Mitcham 1923 Lewis Baston
Westminster Abbey 1924 Lord Lexden
Smethwick 1926 James Bird
Westminster St George's 1931 Sir Robert Buckland
Fulham East 1933 T G Otte
Oxford 1938 Simon Heffer
Kinross & West Perthshire 1938 Amy Gray
Bridgwater 1938 Alun Evans
Maldon 1942 Will Timmins
West Derbyshire James Heale
Motherwell & Wishaw 1945 Richard Finlay
Bournemouth 1945 David Hencke
Carmarthen 1957 Roger Awan-Scully
Torrington 1958 Michael McManus
Orpington 1962 Lord Norton
Bristol Souh East 1963 Lee Evans
Kinross & West Perthshire 1963 Andrew Holt
Stratford upon Avon 1963 Scarlett Maguire
Roxburgh, Selkirk & Peebles 1965 Sir Peter Riddell
Leyton 1965 Richard Johnson
Carmarthen 1966 Sam Blaxland
Kingston upon Hull North 1966 Nick Thomas-Symonds
Hamilton 1967 Mike Russell
Sutton & Cheam 1972 Connor Hand
Rochdale 1972 Alistair Burt
Lincoln 1973 Julia Langdon
Govan 1973 Gerry Hassan
Woolwich West 1975 Amber Whapshott
Walsall N 1976 John Barnes
Workington 1976 Michael Mullaney
Ashfield` 1977 Robert Waller
Grimsby 1977 John Bowers
Garscadden 1978 Mark Peel
Liverpiool Edge Hill 1979 Lord Chris Rennard
Fermanagh & South Tyrone x2 1981 Toby Harnden
Crosby 1981 Matthew Cole
Warrington 1981 Paul Linford
Glasgow Hillhead 1982 Andrew Marr
Bermondsey 1983 Sir John Curtice
Darlington 1983 Francis Beckett
Chesterfield 1984 Greg Rosen
Greenwich 1986 Nigel Fletcher
Govan 1988 Gerry Hassan
Eastbourne 1990 Tim Bale
Eastleigh 1993 Mark Garnett
Christchurch 1993 Michael Crick
Newbury 1993 Elinor Goodman
Dudley W 1994 Lucia Henwood
Winchester 1997 Jack Brown
South Antrim 2000 Richard Bullick
Brent East 2003 Joe Pike
Haltemprice & Howden 2008 Robert Evans
Glasgow East 2008 Lesley Orr
Crewe & Nantwich 2008 Lord Stephen Parkinson
Clacton 2014 Tim Shipman
Richmond Park 2016 Aggie Chambre
Batley & Spen 2016 Mathew Hulbert
Copeland 2017 Chris Whiteside
Hartlepool 2021 Alia Middleton
Batley & Spen 2021 Emma Burnell
Chesham & Amersham 2021 Rosie Campbell
North Shropshire 2021 Corey Froggatt
Southend West 2022 Iain Dale
Mid Bedfordshire 2023 Henry Riley
Selby & Ainsty 2023 Edward Young
Rutherglen 2023 Mark McGeoghegan
Rochdale 2024 Sunder Katwala
Runcorn - 2025 - Harry Horton

[The Loop. A Political Science Blog from @ECPR @ECPR_TheLoop]

➡️ In response to @ProfTimBale's recent article for @ECPR_TheLoop on stopping the use of the term #HardRight, Federico Taddei argues that the term isn't the problem but how journalists misuse the categories political science has worked hard to define.👇
https://t.co/sD14JNlZFq

[steve richards @steverichards14]

Consequences:

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

@klewis1993 @DaveHill @OnLondon @AndrewBoff @philipjcowley Only a matter of time 😉

[Dave Hill @DaveHill]

Writing for @OnLondon Prof @ProfTimBale warned Tories that copying #Reform will not work for them. Yesterday, Labour held an east London council seat while the Tories, despite having a strong local candidate in @AndrewBoff, finished 4th and last, behind Reform. @philipjcowley

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

After 50-yrs I've finally had it with the Today prog. It's not the presenters; it's the papers review which is now unlistenable because (inevitably given market share) it's dominated by headlines from increasingly hyperbolic, obsessive titles, leaving me cursing in the shower.

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

@johnbowman02 @robfordmancs Beginning to think it might have been no-one - apart perhaps from Nigel Farage....

[Robert Ford @robfordmancs]

I have some good news for election nerds - "The British General Election of 2024" will be out this autumn, and if you're quick you can grab a 25% pre-order discount from Waterstone's by ordering your copy by 31st July, just enter code SUMMER25

[Robert Ford @robfordmancs]

Here's the page for the book at Waterstones: https://t.co/TfkZv2E4fq

[Josh Babarinde OBE MP @JoshBabarinde]

Eric go fix your research skills - and your racism.

[Matthew Sweet @DrMatthewSweet]

Marks and Spencer was founded by Michael Marks (מיכאל מאַרקס) a Yiddish-speaking refugee from Belarus. Few of his original colleagues spoke much English. I imagine they faced a lot of racism, but not, thankfully for them, from employees of @GBNEWS.

[Matthew d'Ancona @MatthewdAncona]

Rise of the far Right - and the resurrection of Corbyn

@The2Matts from @TheNewWorldmag

https://t.co/YJOsEvqVAH

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

@BBCMarkEaston You've aged well! Best of luck with your new chapter (as long as it doesn't include vox pops 😉).

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

Serious wannabe AOC + Bernie energy (not saying that won't help them, though).

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

Answer would appear to be yes - very relevant research for anyone who listened to @campbellclaret and @RoryStewartUK discuss the need for education to accompany the extension of the franchise on @RestIsPolitics https://t.co/IvzR9pj9qz