Bitcoin cierra oficialmente en negativo el 2025.
Históricamente, siempre después de un año en negativo, llega un año positivo.
Por otro lado, oficialmente se rompe el patron de 3 años en positivo consecutivos, 1 año en negativo, dandole fin al ciclo de 4 años.
#Ethereum against BTC bottomed exactly at the same level as previous cycle.
Right now, it’s around the exact support from where it pumped 170% in just 7 weeks, printing seven weekly green candles in a row, followed by a slow distribution phase.
You know what's coming .
‘So you think $ETH will hit a new ATH, but $BTC won't? How is that possible?’
Well, that’s the pattern we see at the end of each cycle 💁♂️ 👇
There’s always a Bearish Divergence between $ETH and $BTC at the top of the cycle. It’s called ‘liquidity rotation’ 😉
$ETH prints a Higher High while #BTC prints a Lower High.
‘But Sir, back in previous $BTC tops $ETH was holding up pretty well.’
No, it was not! 😁 👇
-39% in December 2017
-23% in April 2021
-27% now in October 2025
We just had our final correction on #ETH before entering price discovery 🔥🚀
Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!?
IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, only about the average price level in a halving cycle, assuming a fundamental phase transition (as described in the S2FX article, on my website in the bio). So IMO the top could very well be in 2026, or 2027, or 2028 ... actually I am much more interested in the average price level than the top (or the bottom).
What I do know is: there has not been a fundamental bitcoin phase transition yet in this cycle. Realized price (grey line) has not diverted from 200 week moving average (black line), RSI has not been 80+ (red) etc. Either the big jump has yet to come, or we have transitioned into a more stable price regime, dominated by institutions, fund mandates (e.g. 1%-10% btc) and rebalancing (sell after pump and buy after dump, to keep exposures within mandate). Both scenarios are very bullish for bitcoin. Also, IMO there can not be a big bear market without a big jump (red RSI 80+ and grey realized price diverting from black 200wma).
Están ocurriendo cosas, las cuales llevan a presumir cambios en el ciclo de “4 años para #bitcoin”
Las compras institucionales (ETFs + empresas), superan en + de 7 veces la nueva oferta de $BTC , en 2025:
🎯Instituciones: +944.330 BTC
🎯Minados: +127.622 BTC
Algo similar ocurrió en 2024, pero antes sucedía lo contrario👇🏻 🤯
Eso NO desaparece las correcciones, pero si las reduce de tamaño y extensión… muy ligadas al ritmo de la macroeconomía ✍️
Si estás leyendo esto ahora mismo, muy probablemente leas más contenido en X sobre el mercado de criptomonedas y Bitcoin.
Te pido un favor 🙏 Soy consciente que hay muchos análisis ahora mismo que comparan el momento actual con 2021...😱
Responde a este post y los etiquetas, me gustaría leer sus argumentos.
Muchas gracias ❤️
🚨 INÉDITO 🚨
#Ethereum rozando los $5,000 en pleno bullrun…
⚡️ y el gas en mínimos históricos.
En 2021, cada subida de $ETH venía con comisiones de $200+.
Hoy, la red arde de actividad… pero las fees casi no existen.
Esto no es el mismo mercado, es Ethereum 2.0 en acción. 🔥
#ETH #Crypto