Angels @ Rangers
Angels are one of the worst road underdog teams in the MLB at 13-25 which is no surprise. Texas has Eovaldi on the hill and he is an absolute dog in this spot as a home favorite.
Our model has the Rangers with a 2% edge or 11 cent mark. Nothing crazy here, just small value.
4 games I'm looking at today | July 9
As you can from yesterday, we were looking at the Phillies in the morning and ended up taking the Reds in VIP, which cashed. Remember, the ProvenWinner Predicts model is a baseline or starting point.
If you want to play our biggest games, comment "PRIVATE" and one of our team members will reach out to you.
Diamondbacks @ Padres
Padres were our Black Chip Private play of the day yesterday, if you're looking for today's top play and bet large comment "PRIVATE"
Diamondbacks have the edge here, but a very slight one at that. Books have them as a slight dog at +105, I have them as a slight favorite at -102 (1.5% edge)
A's @ Tigers
Sportsbook Line : Tigers -135
PW Predicts line : Tigers -184
65% win probability for the Tigers and an 8% edge.
Understanding the math behind the work is so important, or you can just get the model and make this part of your process.
Sportsbooks has the Cubs as +110 underdogs, we have them as a -142 favorite. This makes the Cubs a 58% win probability and 52 cent edge according to the ProvenWinner Predicts model.
4 games I'm looking at today | July 9
As you can from yesterday, we were looking at the Phillies in the morning and ended up taking the Reds in VIP, which cashed. Remember, the ProvenWinner Predicts model is a baseline or starting point.
If you want to play our biggest games, comment "PRIVATE" and one of our team members will reach out to you.
⚾ GAME #3
Phillies @ Reds
Vegas Line: Phillies +120
ProvenWinner Predicts Model: Phillies -151
Why I'm Watching:
Philadelphia continues to rate as one of the strongest teams on today's board. While the market has the Phillies as an underdog, our model projects a strong favorite. Keeping a close eye on this one...
⚾ GAME #3
Phillies @ Reds
Vegas Line: Phillies +120
ProvenWinner Predicts Model: Phillies -151
Why I'm Watching:
Philadelphia continues to rate as one of the strongest teams on today's board. While the market has the Phillies as an underdog, our model projects a strong favorite. Keeping a close eye on this one...
@TheLineAudit I hear ya, but a significant edge for the Phillies today even against Burns. Professionals make adjustments, doesn't mean history is going to repeat itself just because of a good outing a few days ago against the same team...