As AI affects some sectors more (ICT, Professions), others may become bottlenecks.
How much can this limit the gains from AI, through a Baumol growth disease? Our answer is “very little”, unless workers and capital reallocation is highly sluggish and preferences rigid. 1/3
New paper out! 🚀
We forecast AI productivity impacts for OECD+G20 countries and study the role of trade 🌍
Can countries benefit from AI through trade, even with low domestic adoption? We find that despite cheaper imports, low adoption reduces competitiveness and net benefits
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
⚡ Energy prices are rising again in Europe.
What does that mean for firms’ productivity?
In a recent paper, we find a clear pattern: short-term pain, potential long-term gains. 🧵
📢now forthcoming in ECMA!
The Class Gap in Career Progression: Evidence from US Academia
Class is rarely a focus of research or DEI in elite US occupations.
Evidence suggests it should be: we find a large class gap in at least one occupation - tenure-track academia...🧵