Puget Point Capital

Macro | Microstructure | Institutional Positioning
Running a live investor journal (charts + data)
Economic breakdowns ⋅ Gamma exposure. Not Financial Advice

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

Daily Readout
$SPX Market Maker Exposure
$SPY

GEX / VEX / CEX
Gamma, Vanna, Charm

Target This week: 7550
Date range 6/8/26 - 6/12/26
(Bottom Row)

Targets Next Week dependent on this week
Bull: 7550
Bear: 7150
Date range 6/15/26 - 6/19/26
(Mid Row)

Upper 25Δ Call: ~7,400–7,450
Lower 25Δ Put: ~7,150–7,250

here's our 25 delta for this week and next as well which still falls in line with what we said yesterday. the only thing that changed is the upside of 7600-7650 lost some volume and looks to be readjusting to 7400-7450. 7600 is still there but they're looking like they're trying to stay near the money right now.

we still look like were going to run back up to 7350 and continue to build out the 7100-7150 range as IV compresses

there's been several flips on the tape today so it's recalibrating after today's move lower darkpools still rule the tape for now. let's see how it plays out and where we close today. I'll hold my target at 7550 this week but tomorrow i might adjust it down based on the info im reading.

for now be carful of a whipsaw

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@anadoluagency @grok do they have a goal or an ask? Are they trying to chase off imagrants besides this issue is there another issue I'm not aware of about imagrants there?

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@FirstSquawk Not even trippin gold has already done its job it can fall another 1k and we're still looking okay.

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@Tasnimnews_EN Not to shift the focus but it's 1million not 100 thousand. Regardless that's a ridiculous number to put on a paper note. You might as well reformat your currency.

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@Tasnimnews_EN @grok are we talking about a reaper drone or we talking about a little military drone

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@Deee_luul The police there messed up and didn't report the findings correctly. Nobody pays attention to @nypost anyway.

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@ShadowofEzra @grok how much funding does Lindsey graham collect from Israeli funded organizations? And who are his top 5 individual doners and how much have the invested in keeping him in his position.

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@Tasnimnews_EN @grok confirm if there are any damages or casualties

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

I'm working on a report right now talking more about how the fed has missed the window cut rates and how they now missed the window to hike rates back in q3 q4.

The yen carry is cooked I haven't even been tracking probabilities on cuts and hikes this has been obvious since 2024

Now, regardless of what happens a recession is pretty much guaranteed. We just need to figure out time and how deep it goes

If we get our recession as of now my target is 3800-4200 $spx $spy

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@Been_Trumped @tvheidihatch @KUTV2News @grok Anything that enhances someone's capabilities and makes things more effective is a military tool.

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@tvheidihatch @KUTV2News @grok can you verify formation, altitude, speed, are they equipped with munition? Cross reference with near by air fields and military bases coms on training and local law enforcement. Be brief, be detailed, prioritize bullet point formats.

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@financialjuice Who's JD Vance?

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@grok Russian speakers right i knew it was a big enough number to matter 15% still let's my theory stand.

india and israel - sure got it thanks for clearing that up lots going on in the world

china - Russia - everything im talking about is speculation. were working with info thats public

The thought is like this
- its unlikely we'll rebuild iran
- its unlikely iran will just give us half of their oil
- its unlikely that iran will concede because the nation could potentially collapse if they surrender or make a deal
- The terms that have been made public is designed to fail there's so much that can be taken as iran didnt keep their side of the bargin or israel didnt keep their side of the bargin. Irans terms are just totally unrealistic to begin with as well.

so the unlikely theories are a little more likely than we think in the off chance we do take half of irans oil and have some sort of hand in iran imo.

also i totally forgot to mention chinas involvement in africa and somalia

there's just too many moving peace's that would prevent US pretty much jacking half their oil.

but the idea is that the US wont be directly attacked china and russia would find ways to choke us through choking other nations

@grok /mode:extreme use reasoning and take your time to research the idea completely. no government will lay it out like this we have to infer based on what we do know and what would likely be the next move

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@skelegod131591 @clashreport @grok fact check me

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

they, wont do anything to us directly or do anything in iran to prevent it. but I could see Russia using tactical nukes on Ukraine and Germany might get involved then I can see china following through on their taiwan plan.

strange enough I think india might even be forced to work with russia a little closer. and a weird lose connection i thought of bibi just said last week that they're becoming closer and closer with india and here in the US, israel is on our shit list politically and domestically. plus i think a quarter of israel is russian too.

its a messy web of connections and a butterfly effect people aren't putting together.

@grok fact check me

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@KobeissiLetter @Pharrell you record sooner or later pt.2? getting close for another recession

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

@clashreport well, this is extremely bad news..

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

SPACEX IPO Oversubscribed Several Times

it's a strange dynamic

1. its overvalued, however they provide a service that's extremely hard to deliver and based on all the reports in the industry seems like they deliver both quality and frequency nobody else can do

2. Everyone should be aware that the insiders have already bought so this will mostly be retail and MM on the bid. insiders will be heavy on the ask.

3. algos will algo. momentum drives momentum and retail investors get FOMO.

4. Mag 7 will get hit hard with everyone allocating capital to these ipo's

5. if we're in the same range or higher when this drops $SPY will likely dump if we're below 7150 theres a chance institutions buy mag 7 while everyones rebalancing to buy spacex which would hold the market up.

6. if you're not actively managing your portfolio and have 10+ years minimum hold time usually then yeah totally make sense to buy.

you're damned if you do you're damned if you don't

[Puget Point Capital @PugetPointCap]

Iran Revokes World Cup Fan Ticket Allocation