RON BARON SAID THIS ON CNBC:
- STARLINK COULD BE WORTH UP TO $14 TRILLION.
- SPACEX COULD BE WORTH $10T–$30T OR MORE.
- TERAFAB COULD GIVE SPACEX A MASSIVE COST ADVANTAGE — WITH 50× MORE CHIPS NEEDED FOR THE AI REVOLUTION.
NEVER BET AGAINST A GUY WHO NEVER GIVES UP.
WILD TIMES AHEAD.
@otigart Love it! Simplicity
You do it well btw
I wish I had more 💰 to invest in some of your favorites
I recognized that they were “on sale” recently but sadly I was out of investing cash
$PLTR $MU
I do have them on my watchlist tho as well as a couple others
$TSLA $SPCX
Dear LGBT, 🏳️🌈
If you don’t want to be treated differently for being gay, then stop acting like being gay somehow makes you special.
Your sexual orientation is neither an achievement nor a holiday.
You have not accomplished anything simply by being attracted to one sex or another.
Someone honked at me to leave my spot two seconds after I got in the car. Being the bigger person, I decided it was the perfect time to check every tire’s pressure, measure the tread, inspect the oil, top off the washer fluid, reorganize the trunk, test the emergency flashlight batteries, and thoroughly clean the leaves out from under the windshield and hood. Safety first.
Micron’s risk has already been removed due to its valuation. I see so many posts about memory prices peaking and people saying memory stocks will crash because of it. What I think so many people are missing is where these memory stocks are trading at. And that matters a lot. Most of them, like Micron, are trading at a 5x forward pe. Not 100x like PLTR. Not 200x like TSLA. 5X! That ridiculously low valuation takes out the risk of a memory slow down, IMO. Especially with these long term contracts. We know Micron is already sold out for 2027. So, we know they will make at least $150 EPS. That equates to $175 billion dollars of profit in one year. That’s real money. Whether it’s cyclical or not, it’s real money. Micron will make about $80 billion in profit in FY 2026. That’s $255 billion dollars by the end of FY 2027. let’s say they spend $70 billion in cap ex between both years. They will still be sitting on $185 billion in cash. Let’s pretend in 2028 earnings crash by 40% and level off there. This is absolutely not going to happen because memory demand will not be met by supply, and because of the LTAs, but just for fun let’s entertain the Bears and say earnings crash by 40%. That would bring FY EPS to around $90 a share or $103 billion a year in profit. The average stock in the SnP 500 trades at around 20x forward pe. If Micron traded at the average forward pe of the SnP 500, and its earnings crashed 40% in 2028, it would trade at $1800 a share. That’s about 100% higher than it trades at today. Plus don’t forget the cash. They would still be sitting on $185 billion in cash. That’s not fantasy. That’s a fact. That’s real money. It would take PLTR about 13 years to accumulate that much cash and MU will have that in about 13 months from now. That’s a done deal. Let that sink in. That’s me making up a scenario of Micron losing 40% of its earnings in 2028. They are already working on allocating orders for 2028. It is almost certain that they will not drop earnings by 40%. But even if they did, they would be undervalued here at $900 a share compared to the average stock in the stock market. Stocks like Nike, Union Pacific, Yum brands, Colgate, McDonald’s, JnJ, Proctor and Gamble, and Cummings all trade at around an average market multiple. Memory is literally one of the most important parts of Ai. It’s not a Big Mac or a pair of shoes. Micron’s stock would have to double from here just to trade at an average market multiple after its earnings crashed by 40%. WTF! 😳 Let me say that again, because it even surprises me a little bit. If Micron’s earnings drop by 40% in 2028, it would trade at $1800 a share if it had the same multiple as a company selling cheeseburgers. Even though Micron doesn’t sell cheeseburgers, they sell the most important ingredient in the Ai soup. Now, what if 2028 is just as good as 2027 for Micron? Forget about what if it grows in 2028. Just stays the same. That’s another $175 billion in profits. Then you can do the same exercise and imagine it’s earnings crash in 2029 by 40%. Now it has about $300 billion in cash even after spending its 2028 cap ex. My entire point is memory prices may not continue to rise forever. Margins will not rise forever. But neither of them have to rise forever to justify where Micron trades today. It is so severely undervalued that all of that risk is already baked in. Its cash has to have a value. That’s real money. Its earnings will not crash by 40%, but even if they do, Micron can still run 100% and only trade at the same valuation as McDonalds! And so many people on X are shitting their pants. Wild times.
I really hope I don’t have to say this again… but, to the crowd that keeps pushing this narrative that elon is sandbagging robotaxi progress to push down $TSLA stock so he can get the best price for a $SPCX merger.
STOP IT
PLEASE JUST STOP
you sound absolutely retarded… elon is the richest guy in the world, he’s effectively a trillionaire still… he doesn’t care about money the way you smooth brains care about money…
do you really think elon talks to the robotaxi team (who are all tesla investors btw) and says, “we need to stall robotaxi so I can get a better price when we merge… sorry you’re gonna lose a little money, too bad” yeah fucking right…
wake up people
The look you have at a press conference when you realize that your WOKE coach is defending the black racist who tried to purposely break your white friends neck during the basketball game you just played, but you don't have the courage to call her out!
@investingluc Wise words
Continuing to DCA into high conviction stocks is simply the best approach 🫡
$TSLA is mine…
DCA will pay off eventually
Consistently persistent❤️🔥
I wrote this in my private notes a month ago.
Off the cuff. From the ❤️.
I’m sitting on my couch right now. My wife lit a cinnamon-scented candle that’s burning on kitchen counter. My 12 week old golden retriever finally calmed down enough so that I could write this. Friday nights are the one window throughout the whole week where I feel like I can breathe.
The level of pressure I put on myself to be successful as a young man is borderline paralyzing. To get rich. To have freedom. To provide. I work 24/7 as a result.
I’ve loved the business, markets, and the “game” for as long as I remember. I don’t want this to sound too cliche, but there’s something about making money out of thin air from your laptop that’s attractive to young people, especially men.
It’s mesmerizing. Flashback ~5 years, I was sitting in my college house. 1 big monitor in my bedroom. Desk chair from Goodwill. I had been trying to trade for a couple of years and was just starting to turn a corner. I had no money though. Maybe a couple thousand dollars. But I remember making $10K in a day during some black swan. Complete lucky break. I screenshotted that and sent it to my mom, thinking I had made it. She thought I was doing something illegal… and I think that sums up trading perfectly. It’s almost too good to be true. That is, if you survive.
The evolution.
Most traders get hooked because they make a lot of money quickly. Maybe it’s a random $10K day like me. Or maybe your first trade ever is a huge win. Or that meme coin runs 1000%. Or 0DTE options trade rips 500%.
That’s the hook. Everyone gets hooked at some point. From the degenerates to the greats.
I started as a daytrader. Or trying to be one. And I was fairly successful, but it wasn’t happening fast enough. I was a college kid. So moving $1000 around, making $50 here, $75 there. It was working, but I was too dumb to stick with it.
This is where options come into the picture. I fell into the trap. The huge percentage gains. The quick wins. The flash. All of it. First it was a vicious cycle of: adding $200 to my trading account in college, blow it up, repeat.
I finally broke out of that cycle after losing a few thousand. But this leads my into the second phase of despair, which was waiting until I had more money and then starting with a bigger account so I could “diversify” more. To have multiple options trades going at once. This leads to blow up #2. Tens of thousands this time.
As some of you know, this is a vicious cycle…and I don’t think enough people have a hard conversation with themselves that maybe they’re addicted to gambling, not actually learning to trade/invest.
I needed to change something drastically. I had been in the game for years at this point. I wasn’t winning. So the first thing I did was pinpoint why I was losing. I came to the conclusion that it was 90% options, 5% short term thinking, and 5% lack of experience.
I did 3 things that eventually changed my life:
- I only trade common stock. No options.
- I hold positions uncomfortably long.
- I play a high conviction, concentrated game.
Common stock is criminally underrated, especially if you’re starting with an account >$25k. Compounding is very possible, and the risk of going to zero is nearly eliminated. Second point, I hold positions uncomfortably long. Like my expectation is to hold a strong strong forever, until something in my thesis changes…which ultimately will happen. Could be days, weeks, years.
Third point, I’m typically concentrated into <10 positions (across multiple different themes) at a time. I do deep, multi-angle research to build conviction. This helps me hold heavier positions, longer.
This completely changed the trajectory of my equity curve over the past few years. Slower at the start for sure, but it’s exponential once the snowball gets rolling. It has been for me.
Young men (everyone else too) are in trouble with the rise of gambling. But the antidote is compounding through time + strong stock/theme picking, and NOT leverage + extreme risk.
Just kinda writing off the cuff here, but glad you guys are along for the ride.
Anyways, DMs are always open.
Luc