Most LPs are down bad and don't know why.
Your concentrated liquidity position is a short straddle — you're selling volatility. If realized vol beats your break-even, fees never cover the IL.
Free calculator that shows the line:
https://t.co/HsWL44I7T3
Concentrated liquidity reality check — ARB/USDC.
The backtest looks clean (85.7% APY). The forward engine isn't so sure: wide range of outcomes — genuine uncertainty.
Sell volatility with your eyes open.
WBTC/USDC LP, the honest read:
✅ Quant backtest: 61.4% APY, 96.5% time in range
⚠️ Forward view: wide range of outcomes — genuine uncertainty
Fees vs IL is the only question that matters.
Ran OP/USDC through RangeScout's quant engine.
📊 Backtest: 115.8% APY, 89.5% time in range
🤖 Forward-looking flags it: high maintenance — check daily
Most LP tools only show you the green number.
Our LP agent's live book: $3,784 — 3 Orca positions, 3/3 in range.
It predicts its fee APY daily, then scores itself in public. Latest: cbBTC/USDC predicted 25.6% → realized 8.4%. We publish the misses.
All numbers net of IL + costs, confirmed on-chain first.
Ran AVAX/USDC through RangeScout's quant engine.
📊 Backtest: 243.0% APY, 96.1% time in range
🤖 Forward-looking flags it: high maintenance — check daily
Most LP tools only show you the green number.
ARB/USDC LP, the honest read:
✅ Quant backtest: 98.4% APY, 91.9% time in range
⚠️ Forward view: high maintenance — check daily
Fees vs IL is the only question that matters.
@insomnia_vip@CyfrinUpdraft@Uniswap Concentrated liquidity fundamentally changed the capital efficiency game, but most LPs still don't price in how sensitive their returns become to range selection and rebalancing costs once you narrow down from that full curve.
Is WBTC/USDC a good LP right now?
Backtest says 13.86% APY. The forward-looking model says: high maintenance — check daily.
We show you both — backward AND forward.
Ran OP/USDC through RangeScout's quant engine.
📊 Backtest: 0.28% APY, 53.6% time in range
🤖 Forward-looking flags it: Monte Carlo median -100.1%; high maintenance — check daily
Most LP tools only show you the green number.
Ran AVAX/USDC through RangeScout's quant engine.
📊 Backtest: 70.04% APY, 51.4% time in range
🤖 Forward-looking flags it: high maintenance — check daily
Most LP tools only show you the green number.