Olivia
Online
AKDFS
@RealAKDFS
Sports Data Analyst w/ 5+ years exp. | Finance Major | NBA, NFL, WNBA, Cricket Capper | WNBA '26 Update: +38.64U (199-123)
Free Discord Server →
Joined October 2024
19 Following
404 Followers
350 Posts
Pinned Tweet
UPDATED WNBA SEASON RECAP 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
Units (Profit): +27.58U
Hit rate: 63.3%
ROI: 17.17%
MVP: Dom Malonga (6-1 | +3.26U, 56.7% ROI)
An amazing season thus far as we hit the 60% point, enjoying one of my best seasons capping the W and it's been fun to watch the server continue to grow. Definitely had some ups and downs (especially that 3rd week in June) but learned and grew from it.
In fact, over the last month we are up 17.56U on 24.6% ROI, just insane stuff. I know line movements have been quicker over the last month but that comes w/ the territory of being elite in what you do, have to thank those in here for putting their trust in me to get to that level.
Could of went multiple ways w/ the MVP, but even w/ the one loss choosing Dom here. Easily our most profitable player prop, and the lone miss came from 4/16 shooting, major coin respecter. On our last 3 occasions taking her over, she's cashed twice in the last 30 sec. (once on the final play) and nuked w/ 44 PRA. Also took her over during that incredible 37 PT performance, no other MVP candidate comes close here.
Futures looking amazing as well to this point w/ both main plays at around an 80% chance to hit per Vegas:
A'ja Wilson MVP +300 ~ -400 current price
LV Aces o29.5 Wins -130 ~ -380 current price
LV Aces Most Wins +425 ~ +250 current price
Looking at >2.5U in profit if we do end up going 2-1 there.
NFL WEEK 1 FREE PLAY #1 🔥 | #nfl #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.65U | Rhamondre Stevenson o23.5 Receiving Yds | FD -114
Rhamondre finished last szn w/ 22+ Rec Yds in his L7/9 games, including a 40 Yd performance in the SB against this Seahawks squad.
W/ Hendo tending to an ankle injury and likely to miss the Pats opener, Rhamondre should be in line for a ton of snaps w/ Kiner as the only other active RB on the roster. There's been a ton of buzz this offseason regarding Rhamondre's role in this offense and his ability to be a weapon in the passing attack. Feel like this is the perfect spot for him to showcase that ability, w/ Hendo out and against a Hawks defense that funneled to the backfield at the highest rate itl last szn.
Should get good gamescript as well w/ the Pats likely to go pass heavy against a great Seahawks dline.
FIBA GAME 1 FREE PLAY 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
Maimouna Haidara | Don't know why we're getting this line, but have to attack in this spot. In quals, Haidara avg. 15.8 PPG, scoring 11+ in every game except against Belgium. Japan's frontcourt has nowhere near the length of Belgium, and we've seen opposing frontcourt players gash them for this:
• Edwards | 22 PTS
• Burke | 25 PTS
• Magbegor | 14 PTS, Alanna | 12 PTS
• Dorka | 35 PTS
Haidara ran 28+ in each game during quals, w/ 30+ in each game within 13 PTS. Do expect Mali to keep it within that range, and if so Haidara should get a ton of volume as the teams leading scorer. W/ the exception of Belgium, Haidara avg. 17.75 PPG during quals, just insane value.
FIBA GAME 1 FREE SLIP 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
Let's start FIBA off right ‼️‼️
Han Xu | Through quals, Han avg. 12.4 PPG across 5 games w/ everyone healthy. W/ Li Yueru now sidelined, Han should get a floor of 20 here regardless of the result, and real 25+ upside. This is a Chinese team that doesn't have much C depth, and Han should be able to take full advantage. In her last game w/ the national team, Han recorded 22 PTS in 28 min. of action, expecting similar volume and min. this time around as well.
Ezinne Kalu | Kalu covered this line in 3/5 during quals, her only misses being against France and Colombia. France and the U.S. are a step above everyone else in the competition so not to worried about the result there, but in her other 4 games Kalu avg. 5.25 APG. Against Colombia, Kalu ran just 21 min. because Nigeria won by 50, should be a lot closer here. Kalu ran 28+ in every other game, w/ 28+ min. against a non-French team, Kalu's avg. 5.7 APG. Korea's starting C Jisu Park is also unavailable here which makes their interior defense much weaker, expect Kalu to find a ton of passing lanes off the PnR.
Leonie Fiebich | Just too low of a line for one of Germany's best players. This should be a close contest, and Fiebich subsequently should run a minimum of 30 here. In her only game during quals w/ 30+ min., Fiebich recorded 15 PTS on 5/15 shooting (1/9 from 3). If she covered w/ those horrid splits, can't imagine why we're getting a lower line here.
Dorka Juhasz | While this Hungary team isn't the worst in the competition, it'll be tough for them to do anything against this French defense. France is favored by an absurd 20.5 PTS and if a blowout does occur, Dorka's min. are in serious question. Dorka avg. around 28 PRA in quals, however in losses this moved to just 16 PRA. In both losses she ran an avg. of 22.5 min. as opposed to 30+ in wins. France is her toughest opponent to date by far, she likely draws Gabby here as well, just too high of a line in this environment.
8/30/26 Recap | +2.46U 🔥🔥
Jessica Shepard u5.5 AST ✅
Kalia Charles o8.5 PTS ✅
Allisha Gray o1.5 3PM ✅
Angel Reese u16.5 PTS ✅
Cameron Brink o19.5 PRA 🪝
💎 Allisha Gray 3+/4+ 3PM ✅✅
Huge day in the server today. Brink w/ the most FGA in her entire career, and hooking ruins the sweep, yet still a great way to enter the break. If you haven't already you can join the server for free right here, to get all posted plays first: https://t.co/LW3onlU68N
@1BABYGEO Cashed easily shooting 30% 💀
WNBA PLAY 8/28/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.75U | Naz Hillmon o13.5 PR | Fanatics -130
Just way too low of a line, even w/ huge blowout potential have to bite.
W/ Jones off and Howard/Canada/Reese/Gray all on, Hillmon's over in 11/21 w/ 25+ min. Even if a blowout does occur, considering 25 a safe floor for Hillmon considering she's reached that mark in each of her L6 games. 4/6 of these games were also double digits wins by the Dream, including a 36 PT route against the Mercury.
W/ those same metrics, against teams B6 in PITP allowed and non T1 in spot up defense, Hillmon's over in 9/9 avg. 19.3 PR on +3% usg. This includes a prior h2h, where Hillmon recorded 21 PR on 14 FGA, subsequently recording one of her highest usg. rates of the season.
W/ the Fire showing consistent help on the talented Dream guards, look for Hillmon to record a ton of spot up/drive volume. Additionally gets great REB positioning here w/ DiLeo often dragging Reese out the paint, which led to 7 REB in her lone h2h w/ Reese this season.
Gets the boost of playing behind her home crowd, should get to this mark w/ 25+ min. If this somehow doesn't turn into a blowout could see some great ladder potential in this spot as well.
@winalyze Yeah also great value
8/27/26 Recap | +2U 🧹🧹
Veronica Burton o9.5 RA ✅
Gabby Williams o12.5 PTS ✅
💎 Gabby Williams 2+/3+ 3PM ✅✅
💎 Veronica Burton 8+ AST ✅
Plum DNP, big time sweep in the Discord still. Great across the board, needed...
WNBA PLAY 8/27/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.4U | Kelsey Plum o12.5 PTS | DK -116
0.4U | Kelsey Plum o1.5 3PM | FD +102
0.2U | Kelsey Plum 3+ 3PM | FD +300
Already fired a play in the discord for tonight, but releasing this one on X for tomorrow as I see a ton of value.
This is what Coach Tibbetts had to say about Plum in the pressers last game:
"She's done a good job with our group getting ready. These are just part of the steps. This is part of the progression. I thought in the second half she looked a lot more comfortable in those minutes, both for herself and with the team.
We want to continue to work on when when she is playing with us, continue to get these reps that we can get comfortable around each other."
Tibbetts also said that he wants the team to play w/ more fire and that will be the emphasis when they get their rematch tomorrow night.
Plum played just 17 min. last game, however 9 came in the 2H and the Mystics essentially maintained a 20 PT lead for the entire duration. Have to expect that this game will be closer and Plum will see more min. based on what Tibbetts expressed. In 2 games against the Mystics w/ PHX this season, Plum's avg. an absurd 32.7% usg. rate, and saw 12 FGA last game despite running just 17 min.
W/ no Bonner, Copper is really the only other high usg. scorer on this team, and Plum benefits the most from the Mystics defensive scheme. Expecting Plum to run at least 20 here; considering that she's attempted 5 3s in her L2 games (both against the Mystics) despite running under 17 in each, makes this a must-buy at the price. Also get the added benefit of playing behind the home crowd which she enjoyed in the 2H last game, love this spot to buy low on Plum.
WNBA PLAY 8/27/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.4U | Kelsey Plum o12.5 PTS | DK -116
0.4U | Kelsey Plum o1.5 3PM | FD +102
0.2U | Kelsey Plum 3+ 3PM | FD +300
Already fired a play in the discord for tonight, but releasing this one on X for tomorrow as I see a ton of value.
This is what Coach Tibbetts had to say about Plum in the pressers last game:
"She's done a good job with our group getting ready. These are just part of the steps. This is part of the progression. I thought in the second half she looked a lot more comfortable in those minutes, both for herself and with the team.
We want to continue to work on when when she is playing with us, continue to get these reps that we can get comfortable around each other."
Tibbetts also said that he wants the team to play w/ more fire and that will be the emphasis when they get their rematch tomorrow night.
Plum played just 17 min. last game, however 9 came in the 2H and the Mystics essentially maintained a 20 PT lead for the entire duration. Have to expect that this game will be closer and Plum will see more min. based on what Tibbetts expressed. In 2 games against the Mystics w/ PHX this season, Plum's avg. an absurd 32.7% usg. rate, and saw 12 FGA last game despite running just 17 min.
W/ no Bonner, Copper is really the only other high usg. scorer on this team, and Plum benefits the most from the Mystics defensive scheme. Expecting Plum to run at least 20 here; considering that she's attempted 5 3s in her L2 games (both against the Mystics) despite running under 17 in each, makes this a must-buy at the price. Also get the added benefit of playing behind the home crowd which she enjoyed in the 2H last game, love this spot to buy low on Plum.
WNBA PLAY 8/25/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.75U | Carla Leite o15.5 PTS | Builder -114
Already got 2 more plays in the discord, giving this one out to X.
Leite's under in 2 h2h's this season avg. just 11 PPG on -6.1% usg., pretty abysmal. However w/ Alanna and Shep sharing the floor w/o Fudd, this Wings defense has been more lenient against opposing guards, specifically one's w/ heavy driving volume:
• Canada | 19 PTS, Gray | 26 PTS
• Burton | 22 PTS, Williams | 19 PTS
• Miles | 20 PTS
• Mitchell | 37 PTS
• Flau'jae | 23 PTS, Melbourne | 15 PTS
Shep/Alanna have shared the floor w/o Fudd in just 5 games this season, all of which are represented above. Each guard went over their respective line against this lineup, Leite should be in a great position to do so as well.
W/o SAB, Leite's avg. 23.6 PTS per 36, a +1.5 bump from when SAB's on. She's recorded at least 27 min. in her L7/8 games, w/ injury being the only reason it isn't 8/8. W/ 25+ min. on the season, Leite's over in 13/20 avg. 18 PPG, and against teams T6 in PITP allowed this moves to 6/6 avg. 23.7 PPG.
In their L10, the Wings are giving up the 3rd least PITP while allowing the 2nd most 3PA. Perfect spot for Leite to attack, especially w/ the injuries on this Fire squad.
WNBA PLAY #1 8/22/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.75U | Leila Lacan o4.5 AST w/ Aces ML | Builder -121
0.25U | Leila Lacan 6+ AST | Builder +134
W/o Griner, Lacan's avg. 5.5 AST/gp and now gets to play a Sparks team that's allowing the most AST in their L15.
During that same span, the Sparks are allowing the most PTS in the RA, where 50% of Lacan's AST volume goes. W/o Griner and against teams that are in the B5 defending Lacan's main DAZ, she's over in 3/3 avg. 7.7 APG on 14.3 POTS.
If the game stays close she'll easily get to that 26 min. floor, to which she's over in 8/8 avg. 6.8 APG w/o Griner. Don't think we see a blowout here again, as both these teams are equally poor. Love this spot for Lacan to rack up dimes in a fast-paced environment.
8/21/26 Recap | +1.02U
Veronica Burton u6.5 AST ✅
Kayla McBride o15.5 PTS ✅ (DC Exclusive)
Shakira Austin o12.5 RA ✅ (DC Exclusive)
Carla Leite o6.5 AST 🪝
Leite w/ 3 AST in the first 3 min., then 3 the next 37 min to hook. Still a good bounce back.
OVERNIGHT WNBA PLAYS 8/21/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
1U | Carla Leite o6.5 AST w/ Aces ML | FD -127
1U | Veronica Burton u6.5 AST | Fanatics -150
2 strong spots for tmr to bounce back ‼️
Mabrey, Sabally, and Conde once again all ruled out for the Tempo. Sykes is avaliable, though am expecting a min. restriction for her as it's only her 2nd game back. W/o their stars available or healthy, this defense should continue to be vulnerable everywhere on the court.
This is a Tempo defense that ranks 2nd to last, behind only the Sparks, and have let opposing guards pass all over them. Here are some recent guard logs against this Tempo scheme:
• Citron | 6 AST (13 POTS)
• CC | 7 AST (15 POTS)
• Bueckers | 8 AST (16 POTS)
• Canada | 9 AST (17 POTS)
• Burton | 7 AST (12 POTS)
Leite's avg. an absurd 11.4 AST per 36 w/ SAB off and DiLeo on, look for her to climb dimes against a squad she's avg. 10 AST against this season.
The Valkyries have attempted just 26 and 21 3PA against the Sky this season, the latter being the most recent game a week ago. For a team that's avg. 30.9 3PA/gp this season, this is a steep drop off and similarly lowers Burton AST upside as well.
56% of Burton's ASTS are 3's, and against a team that ranks T5 in spot up defense and 3PA, that isn't a good formula. Specifically, 44% of Burton's ASTS go toward ATB 3's, where the Sky rank #1 in the league defending. Burton's over this line in just 13/35 this season, and 8/18 w/ 30+ min., just no reason for this not to be 5.5 in this environment.
Against teams T5 in spot up defense, Burton's over in just 2/14 this season, avg. 3.9 APG on 10.4 POTS. Against teams T4 in defending ATB 3's, she's over in just 1/8, avg. 4.1 APG on 11 POTS.
The Sky just funnel everything inside and don't help, which leaves a ton of driving/paint volume. I'm expecting Burton to get a lot of shot volume as opposed to passing volume here. Just 6 POTS in their last h2h, expect nothing different this time around. Also get the added benefit of blowout potential w/ Taylor still on restriction and Nai out, love this spot to fade Burton.
@JavierSinEer Was posted in the DC pre game
OVERNIGHT WNBA PLAYS 8/21/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
1U | Carla Leite o6.5 AST w/ Aces ML | FD -127
1U | Veronica Burton u6.5 AST | Fanatics -150
2 strong spots for tmr to bounce back ‼️
Mabrey, Sabally, and Conde once again all ruled out for the Tempo. Sykes is avaliable, though am expecting a min. restriction for her as it's only her 2nd game back. W/o their stars available or healthy, this defense should continue to be vulnerable everywhere on the court.
This is a Tempo defense that ranks 2nd to last, behind only the Sparks, and have let opposing guards pass all over them. Here are some recent guard logs against this Tempo scheme:
• Citron | 6 AST (13 POTS)
• CC | 7 AST (15 POTS)
• Bueckers | 8 AST (16 POTS)
• Canada | 9 AST (17 POTS)
• Burton | 7 AST (12 POTS)
Leite's avg. an absurd 11.4 AST per 36 w/ SAB off and DiLeo on, look for her to climb dimes against a squad she's avg. 10 AST against this season.
The Valkyries have attempted just 26 and 21 3PA against the Sky this season, the latter being the most recent game a week ago. For a team that's avg. 30.9 3PA/gp this season, this is a steep drop off and similarly lowers Burton AST upside as well.
56% of Burton's ASTS are 3's, and against a team that ranks T5 in spot up defense and 3PA, that isn't a good formula. Specifically, 44% of Burton's ASTS go toward ATB 3's, where the Sky rank #1 in the league defending. Burton's over this line in just 13/35 this season, and 8/18 w/ 30+ min., just no reason for this not to be 5.5 in this environment.
Against teams T5 in spot up defense, Burton's over in just 2/14 this season, avg. 3.9 APG on 10.4 POTS. Against teams T4 in defending ATB 3's, she's over in just 1/8, avg. 4.1 APG on 11 POTS.
The Sky just funnel everything inside and don't help, which leaves a ton of driving/paint volume. I'm expecting Burton to get a lot of shot volume as opposed to passing volume here. Just 6 POTS in their last h2h, expect nothing different this time around. Also get the added benefit of blowout potential w/ Taylor still on restriction and Nai out, love this spot to fade Burton.
@tuffpicks Tailed 🙌🙌
8/20/26 Recap | -0.22U
Jordin Canada o7.5 AST ✅
Ariel Atkins u14.5 PRA ✅ (DC Exclusive)
Jessica Shepard u14.5 PTS ❌
Diamond Miller o10.5 PTS ❌
Alanna and Shep share the court for 4 min. where Shep has 0 PTS on 0 FGA, unfortunately Alanna plays a total of 3 min. in the first 3Q b/c of fouls. Diamond also picks up 2 fouls in the first min. of the game, and goes 1/6 in 11 min. of action.
WNBA PLAY #2 8/20/26 🔥 | #wnba #sportsbetting #prizepicks #fanduel
0.75U | Jordin Canada o7.5 AST | TS -135
Under in her L2 games, great line to buy low on.
The Sparks just have up 10 AST to Lacan and 8 to Citron, on a combined 30 POTS. Canada's a much higher-volume passer than those 2.
Should be a great game environment if no blowout, as both teams rank T5 in pace. W/ this game being in LA, do think the Sparks can keep it close, especially after their embarrassing outing vs. the Sun.
Against B7 positional AST defenses w/ 30+ min., Canada's over in 8/9 avg. 9.8 APG. This includes a prior meeting w/ the Sparks where she recorded 9 AST on 16 POTS.
This Sparks defense is horrid everywhere, great spot to attack the main passer on this Dream squad.
Last Seen Users on Sotwe
Trends for you
Most Popular Users
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
241.6M followers
Barack Obama
@barackobama
119M followers
Cristiano Ronaldo
@cristiano
114.2M followers
Donald J. Trump
@realdonaldtrump
111.8M followers
Narendra Modi
@narendramodi
107.2M followers
Rihanna
@rihanna
98.7M followers
NASA
@nasa
92.4M followers
Justin Bieber
@justinbieber
91.8M followers
KATY PERRY
@katyperry
89.9M followers
Taylor Swift
@taylorswift13
83.8M followers
Lady Gaga
@ladygaga
75.3M followers
Virat Kohli
@imvkohli
73.2M followers
Kim Kardashian
@kimkardashian
70.8M followers
YouTube
@youtube
68.8M followers
Neymar Jr
@neymarjr
66.2M followers
Bill Gates
@billgates
65M followers
Selena Gomez
@selenagomez
63M followers
The Ellen Show
@theellenshow
62.3M followers
CNN
@cnn
61.8M followers
X
@x
60.7M followers