Ref Effect

Attempting to track the effect penalties make on games. Currently still a work in progress. Ideas/Suggestions welcomed. Data from: ESPN

Made by: @ausp3

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Buccaneers @ Lions game caused a 11.24% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Bills @ Dolphins game caused a 7.16% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Rams @ Lions game caused a 15.78% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Rams @ Lions game caused a 7.27% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Rams @ Lions game caused a 10.62% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Broncos @ Seahawks game caused a 12.57% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Vikings @ Giants game caused a 10.22% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Vikings @ Giants game caused a 7.68% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Jaguars @ Dolphins game caused a 9.68% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Jaguars @ Dolphins game caused a 9.72% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Jaguars @ Dolphins game caused a 15.66% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Texans @ Colts game caused a 7.12% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Texans @ Colts game caused a 7.94% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Cardinals @ Bills game caused a 7.15% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Cardinals @ Bills game caused a 7.04% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Steelers @ Falcons game caused a 7.13% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Packers @ Eagles game caused a 8.57% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Packers @ Eagles game caused a 8.8% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Ravens @ Chiefs game caused a 9.05% change in win probability

[Ref Effect @Ref_Effect]

The following play with a penalty in the Vikings @ Lions game caused a 7.95% change in win probability