Reid Thornton

Focus on relative strength/weakness-based position building strategies from the past decade. Continuously share the stocks I am monitoring and choosing to trade

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

From a 300% Surge in 90 Days to the Next Trading Plan: The "Structural Breakout" Logic Born of 15 Years of Real-World Experience 🧵📈🚀
Wall Street never lacks "shooting stars"—fleeting traders—but it is desperately short on hardcore traders capable of navigating both bull and bear markets with mastery.
Over the past quarter, the market witnessed a pullback in high-valuation tech stocks and a shakeout in AI infrastructure plays. By keenly tracking macro cycles and upstream supply chain data, I achieved a net asset value surge of over 300% in actual trading over a 90-day period.
US markets spend 80% of the time range-bound and 20% of the time in explosive breakout mode. With over 15 years of experience in short-to-medium-term US equity trading and asset management, I deeply understand this: True risk control isn't about sitting in cash; it’s about identifying absolute structural advantages—situations involving "structural realignment" combined with "unlimited upside potential."
🎯 [The Next 90 Days: 300%–400% Structural Capture Plan Officially Launches]
Trading is a rigorous game of probability and odds. If you want to break free from the cycle of passively chasing highs and panic-selling lows, join me in capitalizing on the explosive opportunities of the next 90 days.

#USStocks #RealWorldTrading #AlphaReturns #TechnicalAnalysis #AIStocks #StockTrading #InvestmentAdvisor

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

US Market Update: Earnings season off to a rocky start amid memory chip sector spillover and diverging results among major banks 🧵📉

📗 All three major US indices are under downward pressure. The market is grappling with two competing forces: digesting a flurry of Q3 earnings reports from major banks like JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs, while also contending with negative sentiment spilling over from the overnight plunge of South Korean memory chip giants.

➡️ With the sell-off in memory chips triggered by the slump in Korean stocks and the mixed earnings results from major banks, will tech stocks face a shakeout? Let’s discuss.

#USStocks #USEarnings #Semiconductors #ChipStocks #JPMorgan #RiskManagement

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$AAPL
$AAPL hits an all-time high: Market cap crosses the $5 trillion milestone! HomeView launches a new narrative for the smart home and AI ecosystem 🧵🍏🚀

$AAPL surged nearly 2% in early trading, once again hitting a record high and successfully crossing the historic $5 trillion market cap threshold—a milestone in the history of global capital markets.

With $AAPL standing at this historic $5 trillion starting point, where do you think its next valuation target lies?

#USStocks #AAPL #HomeView #AI #StockMarketStrategy

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

📊 Closing Summary: Divergent Index Performance
• Dow Jones: 51,850.55 (+0.38%) ⬆️ Leading the market
• S&P 500: 7,807.24 (-0.06%) ↔️ Fluctuating at high levels
• Nasdaq: 27,245.90 (-0.44%) ⬇️ Tech stocks under short-term pressure

The market's core logic remains clear: robust corporate earnings growth continues to be the bedrock of this bull market.

📌 Two key milestones to watch for short-term trends:
1️⃣ Wednesday's CPI Data: Driven by rising energy prices, headline CPI for September is likely to face upward pressure, testing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
2️⃣ Major Bank Q3 Earnings: Banking sector results will serve as the first litmus test for the "US economic soft landing" narrative and consumer resilience.

#USStocks #Stocks #Investing #CPIData $SPY

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$ASTS

After an emotional sell-off triggered by the delay of Blue Origin’s New Glenn launch, $ASTS staged a strong intraday rebound of over 5%. Today, Deutsche Bank officially upgraded the stock from "Hold" to "Buy"!
Deutsche Bank’s valuation model highlights that the value of $ASTS’s space-based communications spectrum is sufficient to cover the portion of its enterprise value exceeding the $10-per-share core baseline.

In the commercial space "Direct-to-Cell" sector, $ASTS’s spectrum holdings and patent moat remain the top choice for institutions seeking high-alpha returns.

With Deutsche Bank turning bullish and the $10+ per-share spectrum assets providing a valuation floor, are you staying on the sidelines or choosing to buy?

#USStocks #ASTS #CommercialSpace #DeutscheBank #StockAnalysis #AlphaReturns #StockTrading

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

Intraday Macro Analysis: US and Japanese stock markets are exhibiting a pattern of "wait-and-see" sentiment alongside sectoral divergence. With the three major indices showing mixed results, institutional capital is pulling back and awaiting a clear market direction ahead of two major macro catalysts:
🔹 Macro Focus 1: Wednesday's September CPI release. Expectations point to headline CPI rising to 3.6%–3.7%, while core CPI is projected to slow to 2.5%. This structural divergence in inflation data will directly anchor the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later this month and is the fundamental reason for today's subdued trading volume.
🔹 Macro Focus 2: High expectations for the Q3 earnings season. Financial giants such as JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Wells Fargo are set to report. S&P 500 Q3 earnings growth forecasts have been revised upward to the 25%–30% range, making the market highly sensitive to earnings guidance.
The computer hardware sector slumped 2.5% intraday, with stocks like $MU, SK Hynix, and SanDisk falling 2%–3%. This pullback validates the pressure—stemming from ChangXin Memory Technologies' recent technological breakthrough—to reshape the supply landscape and short-term price premiums for memory chips.

➡️ I expect the trend of volatility with a bearish bias to persist through the close. The underlying logic behind the "strong Dow, weak Nasdaq" dynamic is the inverse correlation between crude oil prices and tech stock valuations. In the final hour of trading, close attention should be paid to oil price fluctuations and turnover in chip stocks: a spike in oil prices would intensify the pullback pressure on the Nasdaq, whereas rising expectations for bank earnings will continue to provide a "value floor" for the Dow.

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

Key Focus This Week: Three core assets have reached institutional "pivot buy" points, establishing an asymmetric risk-reward profile (R:R > 3.5x) 🧵📈🚀
With market volatility intensifying this week, keep a close watch on these three high-alpha stocks poised for a structural breakout:
🔹 $CRWV: A pullback below the critical $79.00 support zone would trigger an institutional "contrarian" entry signal, targeting a rebound into the $90.00+ valuation expansion channel.
🔹 $AAOI: A dip below the psychological $100.00 level would present a secondary accumulation opportunity, setting the stage for a rally into the $120.00+ primary uptrend zone.
🔹 $ASTS: A pullback touching the tight $53.00 support level represents a classic high-conviction add-on point, with an upside target of $80.00+.

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$APLD
Secures massive 810MW hyperscale cloud leasing contracts! $APLD delivers explosive earnings results beating expectations; Wall Street sets bullish price targets of $55–$64. 🧵📈🚀

The company has signed three long-term lease agreements with an investment-grade North American hyperscaler, locking in a massive 810MW of critical IT compute capacity; the deal offers industry-leading certainty and involves a counterparty with top-tier credit quality. 600+ MW coming online soon & a 2030 vision: Over 600MW of new data center capacity is set to go fully operational within the next 12 months, with plans to reach a total operational scale of 3.5–4.0 GW by 2030—a growth trajectory that currently leads the entire AI compute leasing sector.

#USStocks #APLD #AICompute #DataCenter #TechnicalAnalysis #AlphaReturns #BreakoutPattern

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$RKLB
$RKLB has confirmed a "double-bottom" formation! Having broken through the institutional accumulation zone of $65–$75, the bullish price targets are set at $80–$90. 🧵📈🚀
With the achievement of key milestones in Neutron rocket propellant testing and manufacturing, the company is rapidly positioning itself to capture the medium-class commercial and defense launch markets, significantly expanding its total addressable market (TAM) across the entire value chain.
Securing contracts for military satellite prime contracting and space services—projects characterized by high profit margins—effectively locks in explosive earnings growth for the coming years.

#USStocks #RKLB #CommercialSpace #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskRewardRatio

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$LYB
$LYB is presenting an exciting dual-opportunity window characterized by "solid fundamentals" and a "strong margin of safety." The company is accelerating the divestiture of its low-margin traditional refining operations to focus entirely on high-value-added circular polymers and eco-friendly recycling technologies. Wall Street investment firms are currently re-evaluating the stock, shifting its valuation benchmark upward to reflect its status as a "specialty chemicals/environmental technology" company.

Do you think $LYB will lead the charge in the major upward trend of the green chemical industry transformation? What is the optimal entry point right now? If you would like to discuss the best strategies for $LYB, please feel free to contact me.

#USStocks #LYB #ChemicalSector #ValueInvesting

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

OpenAI’s ARR figure revised down to $20B! High valuations in the AI ​​compute supply chain face a second round of repricing; Oracle shares plunge over 5% 🧵📉🚨

The rally in tech stocks and AI-related equities faced a wave of sell-offs today! AI leader OpenAI revealed to investors that its annualized run rate (ARR) stood at nearly $50 billion as of the end of September—a figure that falls short of the market's optimistic $70 billion forecast by approximately $20 billion.

With the tech sector pulling back following the revision of OpenAI’s ARR to $50 billion, is this a sign that the AI ​​bubble is about to burst?

#USStocks #OpenAI #Oracle #AICompute #TechStocks #USStockTechnicalAnalysis #AlphaReturns #MacroAnalysis

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$MSFT
The stock closed the week at a new all-time high with strong momentum! Investment banks have reaffirmed their "Outperform" rating on Microsoft and raised the price target to $550.00.

#USStocks #MSFT #AlphaReturns #BreakoutPattern

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

The three major U.S. stock indices rebounded to close higher on Friday, buoyed by heavyweight technology stocks, as traders digested a turbulent week. Even amidst a sharp shakeout in AI-related stocks, the broader market demonstrated resilience by bouncing back from its lows.

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

After a week of relative quiet regarding macroeconomic data, the market is set for some high-impact, heavyweight news next week! The most critical focal point—and the one with the greatest potential to move markets—is undoubtedly the upcoming September CPI release

#USStocks #CPI

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

On Friday, $AAPL shares faced selling pressure. Due to soaring upstream memory chip costs and concerns that price hikes could dampen demand, Apple has officially notified key suppliers to cut component orders for the new iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max.

#AAPL #TechStocks

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$MRNA
I opened a position at $140.00, primarily because the stock had been trading sideways near that level for several weeks, and 13F filings showed healthcare funds were building positions. Today, it broke through $210.00!
Can $MRNA successfully breach the $230 mark?
#USStocks

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

The Federal Reserve might pause after a 25-basis-point hike in December, opting instead to implement two rate hikes in subsequent meetings to ensure inflation accelerates back toward the 2% target.

#美股 #美联储 #加息预期 #宏观分析 #美债收益率 #美股交易

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

The next 300% major rally is gearing up! Are you ready? 📩🔥

Over the past three months, our swing trading strategy has delivered real-world results—a cumulative gain of over 300%! From initial position building to decisive profit-taking, every step is clear.
#USStockTrading

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

🔮 (Friday) Market Outlook and Forecast: For the Nasdaq, focus on the 27,000 psychological level and the strength of support at the previous gap. If the index stabilizes and stops falling on reduced volume, a short-term technical rebound is likely to follow.

[Reid Thornton @ReidThorntytjp]

$PCRX
The company is commercializing a core non-opioid analgesic and possesses strong potential for a valuation re-rating. I successfully established a position of 50,000 shares at $25.00, capturing massive gains from this major +44% rally in $PCRX.

#PCRX #income #US stocks