Gold Believes the Fed. Stocks Don't
The hawkish Fed playbook is playing out almost perfectly:
🔻 $GOLD lower
🔺 $DXY Dollar higher
🔻 Oil pressing down
But stocks? They rebounded off Wednesday's lows. I break it down here
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🚨 Trump Wanted Cuts. Warsh Said No.
Here are the 5 Big Takeaways From Fed Meeting
1️⃣ No real discussion of rate cuts
2️⃣ September hike odds jumped from 38% to 63%
3️⃣ Nine of 18 officials raised their rate projections
4️⃣ Inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% goal
5️⃣ Warsh signaled major changes to Fed communication and the dot plot
This is not a dovish Fed. Good for the dollar and yields, tough for stocks and gold.
The NASDAQ just had its worst day of 2026, dropping over 4% as tech and chip stocks got hammered. So the big question: is this the buy signal, or just the start? In this video I break down what actually happened, the level I'm watching, and how I'm thinking about timing an entry.
📉 Worst single-day drop of the year
🤔 Crash or correction?
🎯 When I'd actually buy
Not financial advice, just levels. Drop your move in the comments. 👇
🚨Why Bitcoin is Crashing! Here are 5 Reasons driving the move in $BTC👇
1️⃣ De-risking across global markets
2️⃣ Macro and geopolitical headwinds
3️⃣ Rising bond yields
4️⃣ Technical break below 100-day SMA
5️⃣ Post-halving cycle correction
New Video! Everyone Buys Low. The Pros Do The Opposite.
Buy low, sell high.
That's the rule.
The best trades break it.
And all-time highs? That's when this works best
Watch video now https://t.co/cm8hDazuPW
https://t.co/cm8hDazuPW
THIS FREE MIT LECTURE ON MARKOV CHAINS WILL TEACH YOU MORE ABOUT QUANT TRADING THAN A 2-MONTH WALL STREET INTERNSHIP.
Not a bold claim.
A provable one.
The algorithms running inside Citadel, Renaissance Technologies, and Two Sigma are built on this exact mathematical foundation.
The quants printing money every single day did not learn this from a finance influencer or a trading course.
They learned it from lectures exactly like this one.
Here is why Markov Chains are the most underrated concept in quantitative finance:
Every price movement is a state transition.
Every trading strategy is a probability model.
Every edge a quant has is built on understanding what state the market is currently in and what state it is most likely to move to next.
Markov Chains are the mathematical language that describes all of it.
Wall Street pays analysts $200,000 a year to understand this framework.
MIT put the lecture on YouTube for free.
The people who watch this tonight will understand the mathematical foundation of quantitative trading at a level most finance graduates never reach in their entire careers.
The people who skip it will keep trading on gut instinct and wonder why the systematic funds are always one step ahead.
One hour. Free. From MIT.
This is the most productive thing you can give your week.
Bookmark this before you do anything else today.
Follow @cyrilXBT for more resources that build real edge.
🚀 Stocks at fresh record highs. Oil -5% now
Gold ripping.
Yen smoked 300 pips overnight - Japanese fingerprints all over it.
Iran-US deal chatter is moving every market.
Trump says don't get excited yet, but traders are already front-running peace. 🕊️
📊 ADP mixed, but ISM services employment improved yesterday. NFP surprise setup for Friday? 👀
BREAKING:
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran cancels all diplomatic and indirect channels of communication with the United States and announces the suspension of any and all message exchanges, following Trump’s latest threat – Reuters
🚨 IRAN’S REVOLUTIONARY GUARD WARNS NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES 'RESTRAINT IS OVER', SAYS IT WILL TARGET U.S. AND PARTNERS' INFRASTRUCTURE, THREATENS TO DISRUPT REGIONAL OIL AND GAS SUPPLIES FOR YEARS