Derek Farnsworth

Living my dream talking DFS & betting @RotoGrinders & @ScoresOdds | NBA, NFL, PGA, MLB | Eternal optimist | Proud dad of 3 kiddos | Outkicked my coverage

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Is it too early to start building a Week 1 shell?

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Good news. Bringing back the Tournament Takes NFL pod with @beermakersfan and @Kirkdiese

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Round 2 thoughts for the Rocket Classic:

https://t.co/oJRPxtptQU

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Rocket Classic time

[RotoGrinders @RotoGrinders]

Expert PGA DFS Strategies for the Rocket Classic! https://t.co/dheAFiavz8

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@TeeOffSports I’m not sure anyone ever has, myself included 😅

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Brooks WD'ing threw a wrench into the plans.

Ran the sims for the Rocket Classic again.

Best betting values:

• Jake Knapp (Win, Top 10)
• Wyndham Clark (Win, Top 10)
• Jackson Suber (Top 10, Top 20)
• Nicolai Hojgaard (Top 10)
• Davis Thompson (Top 20)
• Doug Ghim (Top 20)

Full model probabilities vs. market odds 👇

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Ran 20,000 simulations for the Rocket Classic...

Best betting values:

• Brooks Koepka (Win, Top 10, Top 20)
• Jake Knapp (Win, Top 10)
• Wyndham Clark (Top 10)
• Jackson Suber (Top 10, Top 20)
• Davis Thompson (Top 20)
• Doug Ghim (Top 20)

Other takeaways:

• Cameron Young has the highest win probability (8%), but he doesn't rate out as a strong bet
• The model likes fades of Xander Schauffele, Jackson Koivun, and Chris Gotterup
• Si Woo Kim is seemingly always a positive value but not as much this week

Full model vs. market breakdown below 👇

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@TeeOffSports @Levr_Bet @timanderson87 @KMurrDFS @JazzrazBets @turtlebear @MrBradThomas @Beardaknowledge @adplacksports Can't wait for this one!

@timanderson87 vs. @KMurrDFS

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Ran 20,000 simulations for the Rocket Classic...

Best betting values:

• Brooks Koepka (Win, Top 10, Top 20)
• Jake Knapp (Win, Top 10)
• Wyndham Clark (Top 10)
• Jackson Suber (Top 10, Top 20)
• Davis Thompson (Top 20)
• Doug Ghim (Top 20)

Other takeaways:

• Cameron Young has the highest win probability (8%), but he doesn't rate out as a strong bet
• The model likes fades of Xander Schauffele, Jackson Koivun, and Chris Gotterup
• Si Woo Kim is seemingly always a positive value but not as much this week

Full model vs. market breakdown below 👇

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Everything you need to know about the restored version of Detroit Golf Club and the Rocket Classic:

■ Location: Detroit, Michigan
■ Par & Length: Par 70, 7,328 yards
■ Green Type: Bentgrass
■ Green Speed: 12.5 on the Stimp
■ Water Danger: 0 holes

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@mikemc1177 Knapp if we are talking an outright bet

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

First clicks for the 3M Open?

Cameron Young +1200
Chris Gotterup +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Si Woo Kim +2200
Wyndham Clark +2200
Jackson Koivun +2300
Russell Henley +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Ben Griffin +3000
Jake Knapp +3400
J.J. Spaun +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +3600

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@cardinals_95 3M Open, Rocket Classic, you know what I mean

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

And by 3M, I mean Rocket Classic

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@gibinthegrove Sheeesh that’s twice today

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@ChadCrinzi6 Great course for him

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

@Comets_Coach @ThePME Does feel like a Knapp course

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Sure I’ll light more Si Woo money on fire

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Here's my full course preview, which includes course history, outright odds, recent form, and more.

Always free 👇

https://t.co/fONcRTfRI4

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

Everything you need to know about the restored version of Detroit Golf Club and the Rocket Classic:

■ Location: Detroit, Michigan
■ Par & Length: Par 70, 7,328 yards
■ Green Type: Bentgrass
■ Green Speed: 12.5 on the Stimp
■ Water Danger: 0 holes

[Derek Farnsworth @RG_Notorious]

My key statistics for the week:

■ Strokes Gained: Approach
■ Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
■ Weighted Proximity
■ Expected Hole Performance
■ Bogey Avoidance