@HimesStan Yeah IMO... TX is so expensive that it wouldn't have made a difference one way or the other. If the environment was as predicted Hinojosa wins anyway, if the environment was red enough where she lost the money he could have sent wouldn't change things. Better spent elsewhere
@NerkinnKekyoin@umichvoter Oh for sure. I think both of those LA races had three dems - if there had only been two they both could have been lockouts.
Personally I'm trying to ignore the what-ifs and just be grateful for the miracle we got. As an Indiana dem I have to 🥲
@CarlosLucenaPrz@umichvoter I think the best pickup opportunity left where Ds aren't already leading, notwithstanding recounts or surprise batches in FL or NC, is WA-05. Not super likely but enough vote is still missing where it could surprise me
@CarlosLucenaPrz@umichvoter IMO those three are too far gone at this point. Even if the remaining vote keeps the same ratio and doesn't get redder, the deficits are too much to overcome at this point. Would take some serious overperformance (compared to what's already come in) in the remaining batches
@CarlosLucenaPrz@umichvoter Ah, I was going by this NYT count in the app. I don't expect a win in LA-5 or LA-6, so unless we flip any of the tight R leads my final count's at 259. FWIW, CA-4 and CA-7 don't have the final results but will be blue given only dem candidates.
@realtonysm1th The reliance on consultants and staffers to inform decisions is a problem in that all a member of Congress has to do is campaign well (or even just be an R in an R state). Hell, Trump had no political experience. Wish more candidates across the board were more knowledgeable.
@CantEverDie That thread was off to me, so I really appreciate you openly walking it back to some degree. Some people will get angry about it but nowadays it takes real cajones to do something like that. People need to be more accepting when people show growth