RoboCapital

Mumbai based boutique financial services firm

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Tweets are not advice.

Tweets are mostly internal notes, research, discussion at best and musing, learnings or sigh! at worst

Pl don't trade /invest based on these

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

The last thing any of us want is a world where every company across every sector is ceding value to a few models that eat everything they see. There is no societal permission for an AI future that hollows out entire industries

Satya nadella

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

@hitobs Very much

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

A good part of the SOH problem is insurance related.

It's a relatively easy fix

1. BRIC nations can underwrite for themselves jointly

2. US can provide reinsurance (of reinsurance)

That leaves you to deal with security problems separately

#IranWar‌

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Oracle 15000
Intel: 21,000
Microsoft: 15,000+
Amazon: 14,000
UPS: 48,000
Verizon: 15,000

We have crossed stage B now

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Obviously, we are in AI capex cycle and deflation will be visible only after a few years.

At some point in the future, service companies will

A. Stop hiring
B. Start reducing headcount in batches of 5-7% (PR will not say AI)
C. Eventually reduce headcount by 50%

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

AI is deflationary

It reduces the cost of labour (among factors of production)

Consumption depends on strong labour

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Rational thing to do: Stop funding BSNL, Merge BSNL with Vodafone and take equity in Vodafone

Win-win for all

@TVMohandasPai

[Mohandas Pai @TVMohandasPai]

Madame FM @nsitharaman please explain what is the benefit to citizens for this huge infusion of tax payers funds? You are covering up the huge losses of @BSNLCorporate , propping up a very inefficient co which earns so little. Is there no better use of hard earned money of taxpayers? Is losing tax payers money a proud achievement? @FinancialXpress @FinMinIndia can you give us a cost benefit analysis please? Very wrong to pour our hard earned money into a deep black hole!

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

One thing different here is oil.

Price above $150-175 will put immense pressure on global political leaders.

Afterall, no one wants to lose an election!!

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

American wars with Vietnam and afganistan lasted 10+ years

Iran Rome lasted centuries

We don't like any wars fought anywhere in the world. These benefit small section and affect large section of population

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Everyone is hoping that the Iran war will finish fast

How many know that persia and roman war lasted 300-400 years

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Asking china to send Ships: this deserves Nobel price for intelligence!!

(Not to miss Russia making 40% more money due to oil price Hike)

#NobelPrize
#IranWar‌
#iran

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Instead of news, some should be called entertainment channels

That will solve the problem

Yesterday most of were reporting another gem

#IranIsraelWar

[Sudhir Chaudhary @sudhirchaudhary]

CEASEFIRE in Indian news studios: India is perhaps the 1st country in the world to freeze TV ratings for the news channels during the ongoing #IranUSWar
Some Indian news studios had begun sounding like war rooms with sirens blaring, graphics flashing and anchors shouting, all in a bid to win the TRP war.

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Drill baby drill

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

70 year dependence on oil must end.
New government must focus on reducing deficit.

#india #IndianElections2019

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

70 year dependence on oil must end.
New government must focus on reducing deficit.

#india #IndianElections2019

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

#OilPrices
#IranIsraelWar

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Draining SPR is similar to having a large trading position without stop loss.

and

USA draining SPR while OPEC is going for production cut is like averaging a trading position because price has corrected

#Oil

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

One easy way,of course, is that USA stops attacks and provides off ramp

Markets don't like wars obviously

#USIranConflict

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Everyone is hoping that the Iran war will finish fast

How many know that persia and roman war lasted 300-400 years

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

@adamkhootrader Please Ask founders - not professional CEO

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

2 years from this tweet

IT stocks are down 25%

Coding is 90% commodatised

Software Engineering is oxymoron

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

As AI can code now, contrary to public perception:

1. Software engineering may not be a good choice undergraduates

2. IT companies trading at >30x multiples may disappoint investors

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

@thealepalombo UAE tops the list. Beats everyone including traditional powers like USA, UK.

Within UAE, most go to Dubai

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Low oil price hurts Russia

Venezuela oil creates a deterrent for any china move on Taiwan

#Geopolitics
#OilWars

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

Same story every decade

Promoters, PE, IB selling at top- retail buying

[Abhishek Jain @abhishekcjain]

The current state of Initial Public Offering (IPO) markets in India appears highly distorted.
​A notable example is Sheela Foam, the market leader, which is valued at ₹6,500 crore despite annual revenues of ₹3,500 crore. In stark contrast, Wakefit, with approximately one-third of Sheela Foam's revenue, commands a roughly equivalent valuation.
​Over the past 12 months, IPO activity has predominantly served as an exit mechanism for Private Equity (PE) firms or a platform for promoter stake sales, exemplified by the ₹30,000 crore worth of shares sold just last month. This suggests the market's trajectory may be unsustainable."

Sadly lot of Financial institutions are buying stories also.

[RoboCapital @Robocapital1]

On some factors, India can be compared more to Russia than China.

On some factors with indonesia and so on.

Various population cohorts have unique characteristics