Rob Rollins

[Rob Rollins @RobRollins5]

@sangerkatz If confirmed cases are under reported (possible), then the 20% of cases requiring hospitalization would be overstated by the same % so my estimate of 92K beds needed (vs. 31MM in the article) would stay the same. Did the article over estimate the impact? Comments?

[Rob Rollins @RobRollins5]

@sangerkatz If your map with 20% infections over 18 months shows we are okay, then with the 0.14% effective infection rate it would generate a 12% increase in hospital capacity in one month which would be manageable. Please ask the Harvard study to review and comment.

[Rob Rollins @RobRollins5]

@sangerkatz Good info, but based on the Johns Hopkins Corona virus interactive map of the Hubei Province 81.K confirmed cases and 58.5MM population the effective infection rate should be 0.14%, not 20%. 92K hospitalizations, not 31MM. Please ask authors to comment.