🚨 The “blowout” jobs report that just killed your rate cut? Misleading.
It was bartenders. 🍺
70K hospitality hires for the World Cup -> 5x normal. Wall Street saw a hot economy. It was a soccer tournament.
Back out the one-off and there’s NO blowout -> just trend. Yes, there’s a soccer tournament sitting on top of a trend-line economy. 🤯
Look under the hood. 🧵