Runaans Locks

🏀🏈⚽ Sports Betting Discord | 2026: +52.37u | Free plays EVERYDAY
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[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Today alone, we went up 30.61 units in the Discord 📈📈

+210✅
+255✅
+587✅
+600✅
+876✅
+2424💎
+3992💎

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[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Ayase Ueda Top Goal Scorer (+275)

25 goals in 31 matches at Feyenoord. No Mitoma, no Minamino, and Ueda should step up the most as the undisputed striker.

Had 8 goals during the qualifiers and expect him to keep this form up in the World Cup.

He has been the starting 9 for Japan for almost 2 years now.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Jonathan David Top Goal Scorer (+150)

The best player on the Canadian team while Alphonso Davies is out.

Expecting him to lead the team. Main guy, penalty taker, Canada's leading scorer.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Luis Diaz Top Goal Scorer (+225)

Between Diaz and Suarez, I like Diaz more. One of the top scorers in all of CONMEBOL and is the much more dangerous attacker. 15 Goals in the Bundesliga and has had a very impressive campaign this year.

If Colombia has their back against the wall, they will certainaly alway rely on Diaz.

Will definitely play the full 90 minutes every single game as well.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Enner Valencia Top Goal Scorer (+175)

Yes hes 36 years old but he still carries this team as the sole attacker.

Leading all-time scorer, had 3 goals in the 2022 world cup and is the main pen taker. He led this team during the qualifiers as well being the top goal scorer and scoring 5 goals.

This team runs through Valencia and if they want any chance, they will need him. He shines through the most on the international stage and expect him to FARM some goals against Curacao.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Oh Hyeon-Gyu Top Goal Scorer (+600)

Nice to see him already grab a goal in the opening game as a Sub. Expecting them to start him with how Son wasn't able to finish anything.

Originally expected him to start at the 9 as he is an ariel threat but can also score the ball very well. Son should likely move back to the 10. He hasn't scored a goal in MLS yet in 13 games and this game just shows you might need to play someone like Oh Hyeon-Gyu at Striker more.

Korea has ran the 3-4-2-1 Formation ever since securing qualification and many times Oh Hyeon-Gyu was the one playing that position for over half of those games. Head Coach has praised him a lot coming into the World Cup and this formation really brings out the most out of him. Has had a solid year in Turkey and outside of Son, there's no really other options to play the 9.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

USA / Turkey to Qualify Out The Group (1u)

Not too much to say other than Australia and Paraguay are much weaker teams compared to USA and Turkey.
Don't see either of the 2 beating these teams out for a spot.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Ivory Coast WIL be the Dark Horse of the Tournament...

HUGE fan of this Ivory Coast team. Absolutely stacked with talent like wonderboy Diamonde, Elye Wahi, Simon Adingra, Amad Diallo with other players playing in top 5 leagues.

Meanwhile Ecuador is still relying on 36yo Enner Valencia to run this team. Ecuador hasn't looked super promising and don't believe they have as great as a roster as this Ivory Coast team.

Coming off great wins in friendlies and a good AFCON showing (also winning it just the year before), really think this team might be a huge dark horse of the tournament.

Germany have had very disappointing runs in 2018 and 2022 after winning it in 2014. Expect a huge bounce back from them now.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Netherlands to Top the Group (1u)

The Dutch team always has a solid team but just a questionable attack.

Still a huge fan of this team and think they'll be able to get the job done to top this group. Arguably the best defense in the entire world cup and this team has remained playing with each other for years making deep runs each time in each tournament they play.

The questionable one is whether Japan will be able to beat them but Japan has really been plagued with injuries this time. They are without Mitoma, Minamino, and now Endo who would all be regular starters for this team.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Brazil to finish 1st, Morocco to finish 2nd (1u)

Really like Brazil squad this year with a deep bench and some elite players. Always seems to top groups but choke in the knockout stage.

Ancelotti has made this team looked great and is historically a great coach.

Meanwhile Morocco aren't as strong as they were in 2022. Still a strong team, but has lost their Head Coach just last year who really made them shine the most.

However, they are still a top team and don't think Scotland or Haiti have enough what it takes to beat these teams.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Duncan Robinson Day

Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 Threes (-112)

This series he has been shooting the 3 ball great.
5/8
5/9
4/7

He is the only 3 pt threat on the team as Tobias and Cade aren't really efficient 3pt shooters. Cavs are a team who have allowed a very high rate of C&S, Spot-up and 3s in general this whole season and Robinson has taken advantage. Last game he only took 2 shots from the Three and believe Bickerstaff will NOT let that happen again.

He knows he needs Robinson and with how many open looks he can get and his efficiency, they will defintley play to get him more involved in the game. Harden/ Merrill has played as the weakside defender giving Robinson space on the wing to shoot the ball if he gets it.

Giving this line at -112 feels very low for a great shooter who averaged 41% from Three on 7 ATT a game against one of the worst C&S Defenses

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Naz Over 11.5 Points

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Naz Reid Day 🥳

Naz Reid Over 11.5 Points (+100)
Naz Reid Over 2.5 Assists (+140)
Naz Reid Over 4.5 Assists (+850)

Naz Reid this series is averaging 14 ppg on 30, 21 (38 pt blowout), 32, and 31 minutes. Expecting to see another 30ish minutes from him especially w/ Wemby playing. In those games, he's had 12, 11, 18 and 15 points.

When playing 28+ mins this season, he's over this line in 86.1% (31/36) games this season.

Could even play much more minutes if:
1. Gobert is in foul trouble
2. Gobert plays bad
3. Reid catches fire
4. Timberwolves are down in points

He's been an important factor in this series because of his ability to take Wemby out of the paint but also his 3pt shooting ability. With DiVincenzo out, Naz Reid has been able to space the floor a lot and with players like Ant and Randle who play a lot of iso/ drive to the rim, this leads to many open buckets for Naz here.

Has had a positive +/- compared to Goberts so the impact is clearly there. This has also lead to Naz Reid closing out games with Gobert playing 0 minutes in the 4th quarter just a couple games ago.

Taking his assists as well as he has had playmaking upside last couple games. Had 5 and 4 assists last 2 games on 6 potential assists each with 36 and 46 passes made. Last game, 46 is actually the second most passes made on the team. Some quick DHO to Ant and Randle / Swingouts / Cuts has led to free assists. Naz Reid can actually pass the ball so love the potential here. It's crazy that Reid and Gobert both led the team in assists with 4 each lol

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

Naz Reid Day 🥳

Naz Reid Over 11.5 Points (+100)
Naz Reid Over 2.5 Assists (+140)
Naz Reid Over 4.5 Assists (+850)

Naz Reid this series is averaging 14 ppg on 30, 21 (38 pt blowout), 32, and 31 minutes. Expecting to see another 30ish minutes from him especially w/ Wemby playing. In those games, he's had 12, 11, 18 and 15 points.

When playing 28+ mins this season, he's over this line in 86.1% (31/36) games this season.

Could even play much more minutes if:
1. Gobert is in foul trouble
2. Gobert plays bad
3. Reid catches fire
4. Timberwolves are down in points

He's been an important factor in this series because of his ability to take Wemby out of the paint but also his 3pt shooting ability. With DiVincenzo out, Naz Reid has been able to space the floor a lot and with players like Ant and Randle who play a lot of iso/ drive to the rim, this leads to many open buckets for Naz here.

Has had a positive +/- compared to Goberts so the impact is clearly there. This has also lead to Naz Reid closing out games with Gobert playing 0 minutes in the 4th quarter just a couple games ago.

Taking his assists as well as he has had playmaking upside last couple games. Had 5 and 4 assists last 2 games on 6 potential assists each with 36 and 46 passes made. Last game, 46 is actually the second most passes made on the team. Some quick DHO to Ant and Randle / Swingouts / Cuts has led to free assists. Naz Reid can actually pass the ball so love the potential here. It's crazy that Reid and Gobert both led the team in assists with 4 each lol

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

.25u

@Playbook

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

HUGE Line Discrepancy...

4+ saves is -700 on FD, -600 on 365
5+ saves is -320 on FD, -250 on 365.

FD and 365 have it at proper-ish odds while DK is completely wrong here. It’s a lot of units BUT statistically the +EV on this play is through the roof sitting at +34.7% EV on 4+ saves and an INSANE +66.1% EV on 5+ saves. CRAZY NUMBERS

Obviously i think this will hit as well and not just playing it for the value. Bayern are down a goal on aggregate and will playing ultra aggressive here being in the Allianz arena as well.

Last leg, took Neuer saves but he couldn’t make a save for his life and we saw 5 goals from PSG. What’s interesting is Bayern actually took 8 SOT and played at a high tempo game. Expecting this again but a much more impressive outing from Safonov.

In the UCL second legs, he’s had 6 saves against Liverpool and 9 saves against Chelsea while away. Hoping to see a masterclass from him this game.

Bayern at home in the knockout stage has taken 9 and 8 SOT.

#5 vs #1 best offensively rated teams this season in the UCL, let the shots reign again but this time let’s just see some more saves

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

He's already had 2 triple doubles now...

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 3.5 Assists (-125)

After losing 2 of the first 3 games in the series, KAT's role changed. He became a playmaker and ran the offense much more with him grabbing 4+ assists in the last 4 games of the series. What's crazy is that 2 of those games he had a triple double.

4, 10, 6, 10 assists and now we get the line at only 4+ again. Will gladly take that line any day with 12, 5, and 13 potential assists in the last 3 games.

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[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

This is a DREAM Matchup for him...

Mitchell Robinson 5+ Points (-108)
Mitchell Robinson 10+ Points (+630)
Mitchell Robinson 12+ Points (+1025)
Mitchell Robinson 15+ Points (+3182)
Mitchell Robinson 8/8+ (+808)
Mitchell Robinson DD (+2000)

Wasn't utilized as much in the Hawks series as that is not a matchup Robinson excels in. Much faster paced games and smaller lineups with Okongwu being a stretch center.

However, Robinson will be used ALOT in this series against the 76ers. Much slower-paced team with Embiid as the focal point. Towns is not known for being a good defender and I believe he will struggle heavily against Embiid. It's clear this is the most confident and driven Embiid has been his whole career and will play to his strengths which is drawing fouls. We saw this against the Celtics where all Centers were in foul trouble and not able to guard Embiid at all. Queta in the 4 games against Embiid had 4 (17mins of play), 5 (26 mins of play), 3 (20 mins of play), and 5 (33 mins of play) fouls. Garza had 3 fouls in 9 mins and even Brown who guarded him for a couple possessions had 2 in the final game.

Mitchell Robinson is the perfect paint defender for Embiid who can match him way better than KAT. Should see a much higher minutes count from him. In the regular season, he saw 26, 19, 27 and 15 minutes of action against the 76ers with KAT playing in all 4 games.

Embiid isn't a paint beast so Robinson can easily feast here.

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

This line is TOO LOW for him...

Joel Embiid Over 4.5 Assists (-120)

Embiid since coming back has had 6+ assists in all 4 games and 8+ assists in 2 of them. 9, 7, 14, and 11 potential assists and think having the line at 5+ is very soft.

Can see them double teaming him which leads to open cuts and open threes which Embiid has found each time. (GOATED player)

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[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

He WILL Cash Today...

Gobert 2+ Assists (-105)
Gobert 4+ Assists (+750)
Gobert 5+ Assists (+1720)

In his last 5 games against the Spurs, he's over in all 5 games grabbing 2 assists each time.

In his recent series against the Nuggets, he was over in the last 4 games with 8 assists in the most recent game.

In the series against the Nuggets, he's increased his playmaking ability to 38 passes made and 3.8 potential assists throughout the series. With no ANT and no DiVincenzo, there's no consistent playmaker on this team so expect Gobert to step up. In postgame interview, he talked about how he will do whatever he needs for this team to win.

Saw Gobert practically grab all his assists starting with the DHO look as the main screener. If the BH decides to give it back to Gobert, he will have a tough time scoring against Wemby and likely swing it out to the perimeter which he did twice leading to 2 assists.

Spurs ranked worst against the Handoff in the regular season and second worst in the playoffs. Wolves will use Gobert as a screener and play heavy minutes to guard Wemby. Played 42 in game 6 just to stop Jokic.

Expecting the Wolves to use this a lot to try and draw Wemby out a lot which will lead to free assists for Gobert. Clingan had 6 assists in game 5, Robert Williams had 2 in game 4, and Robert had 4 in in game 1.

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[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

76ers LETS FUCKING GOOOO

[Runaans Locks @RunaansLocks]

76ers ML.

I'm bias towards the 76ers but really believe in them. And heres a couple reasons why:

1. Embiid has been a monster in the games since he's been back. He's been THE X factor in these games and Celtics don't have an answer. In his first game back, he dropped 26/10/6, but the Celtics were on fire shooting the ball great. Nurse switches the defensive scheme and in these next 2 games, they've been able to stop the 3 ball very efficiently. In the second game he dropped 33/4/8 dominating Queta and Vucevic all who could not stop him getting in foul trouble very quickly. In the third game, they decided to double/triple team this guy which led to open baskets with him getting 8 assists.

2. The Celtics have no answer to the Maxey/ Embiid PnR. Maxey has stepped back as the main playmaker and just become more of a scorer becoming much more efficient as he gets a 1on1 multiple times as well as many open looks. Maxey is a very fast and shifty guard in which the Celtics have been struggling to guard him. Don't think they will have an answer in game 7. Can't overhelp as well because Embiid can just drive to the paint (which he has done multiple times in this PnR).

3. Defensively have been great these last 2 games. As long as they can put a stop to JT and JB, nobody else on this Celtics team can be efficient besides Pritchard. Riding the high as they have both the momentum, confidence and everything they need. How all the 76ers have been talking in their post-game interview makes me really believe they're very confident and motivated to win this game.

4. Tatum had a calf injury. He says he's okay but didn't look good when he was trying to warm up and get back into the game. He will very likely play game 7 but just something to note.

5. Mazzulla has been a poor coach this series. Playing White 35+ mins is terrorism. Not using more of the bench and just looks like different ball from what the Celtics played in the regular season.

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[BrickCenter @BrickCenter_]

Joel Embiid to Jaylen Brown:

“YOU CAN’T GUARD ME”