in the whole optimism as performative mantra many ppl often forget a very very simple truth which is that to understand the future you first have to be brutally realistic about the present (i.e. you cannot be optimistic about the present!)
to be good at this you need to understand the world as it actually exists, why it became this way, which incentives sustain it, & which forces are beginning to break it apart or cause it to change. then you need optimism about tomorrow. i’m not talking blind optimism (that’s foolish), but the ability to see what could exist once all of these forces fully play out.
this is why great investors for example are unusually good at holding both of these complex realities at once. clear realism about today & optimism about tomorrow. it’s more important than ever to dissect the present without sentimentality so you could place bets for tomorrow.
The greatest educational life hack is learning high school math in middle school and university math in high school. But even just being a year or two ahead has shockingly high value. If you know, you know.
Saw a kid tear open the cover of a straw. But instead of pulling out the straw, he just put it in his mouth and blew on it, the paper popped right out. Mad genius!
Finally realized why it’s so exhausting and stressful to work with AI agents 8h a day.
When delegating a task, you want to be assured it’s off your plate and you can forget about it, knowing it will be done completely and correctly. AI doesn’t give you that: you need to check it’s doing the right thing, it’s not forgetting anything, not taking short cuts etc.
So it adds to your mental load, rather than removing from it.