@tyler5merrick I don’t think it plays much of a factor. It’s been 4 years since he was with Cincinnati, so I’m putting a lot more weight on the matchup and how he’s pitching right now.
White Sox ML (-137)
▸ Chicago holds the overall offensive edge, leading Cincinnati in both wRC+ and wOBA
▸ White Sox have been a stronger offense at home and have hit right-handed pitching better, while the Reds have struggled against righties this season
▸ Chicago also has the pitching edge with Castillo on the mound, holding the advantage in both WHIP and K-BB%
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Red Sox ML (-118)
▸ Boston holds the overall offensive edge in this matchup
▸ Blue Jays have struggled against left-handed pitching this season
▸ Market has been moving toward Boston throughout the afternoon
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Padres ML (+105)
▸ Milwaukee has struggled against left-handed pitching this season, with a significant drop in both AVG and OPS
▸ Brice Turang was injured last night and could be unavailable today, adding to an already banged-up Brewers infield
▸ Market has been moving toward San Diego throughout the morning
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Red Sox ML (+130)
▸ Boston holds the overall offensive edge in this matchup.
▸ Blue Jays have struggled against left-handed pitching this season.
▸ Market has been moving toward Boston throughout the afternoon.
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Yankees ML (-124)
▸ New York holds the overall offensive edge, with the advantage in wOBA and SLG.
▸ Mariners’ offense has struggled against left-handed pitching this season, particularly in AVG and OPS.
▸ Yankees have the stronger bullpen, giving New York another advantage if this game stays tight late.
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Tigers ML (-120)
▸ Detroit has been the better offense against right-handed pitching, holding the edge in wRC+, wOBA, and SLG.
▸ Guardians have been one of the weakest offensive teams in baseball on the road this season.
▸ Tigers also have the higher-ranked bullpen.
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