A group of investors just paid $33.4 BILLION to take a power company private.
No tech. No AI. A utility.
Why? Because they know something the stock market doesn't. 🧵
We are closer to a peace deal than ever before. With finalisation likely expected in the next 24 hours, Pakistan is preparing for the electronic signing of the peace deal immediately after, followed by technical level talks next week.
We would like to thank United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran for their ongoing commitment during the negotiations, and we extend our sincere appreciation to our brothers in the region for their support. We are confident that this historic peace deal will form a strong foundation for lasting peace.
@realDonaldTrump@JDVance@SecRubio@SteveWitkoff@SEPeaceMissions@drpezeshkian@araghchi
The way I see this Iran war potentially ends (red-teaming oil bear case):
The U.S. declares victory. The Axios headline reads something like: Iran’s nuclear pathway has been “successfully degraded” or “indefinitely delayed.” Whether that’s fully true is almost beside the point. The US lifts *official* naval blockade.
Iran, for its part, does not capitulate — it reframes. It absorbs the strike, signals resilience, and avoids any formal concession on its nuclear posture. Declares victory from US naval blockade.
From there, we don’t get peace. We get something much more familiar.
Short term: sporadic retaliation, controlled signaling, asymmetric responses.
Medium term: proxy friction, cyber activity, regional posturing.
Long term: a return to the status quo — a low-grade, persistent shadow conflict.
Oil isn’t trading fundamentals—it’s trading war beta.
It’s become a proxy betting machine on geopolitics.
Everyone knows it’s detached from physical reality, but they trade the headlines anyway… because they know everyone else is doing the same.