niveshak

Speaks on 'What should U avoid while investing | IIM-Ahmedabad | Investment Advisor (AFP) | NISM- Research Analyst| MF, Stocks and Market Outlook| Xpertvoice

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗜𝗧 𝗝𝘂𝗺𝗽𝗲𝗱 𝟮𝟲.𝟵% 𝗶𝗻 𝗝𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝟰 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝘀

On 1 July 2026, Nifty IT was just 25,769.

Tiday it's hovering at 32,700.

That's a massive recovery of 6,931 points, or 26.9%.

When everyone was pessimistic about the IT sector, the opportunity was right there.

Investors love discounts everywhere, except in the stock market!

Pessimism makes noise, but optimism makes money.

Did you buy IT crash or just criticise the Indian IT sector?

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Many do ₹5 lakh FD in each of five branches of the same bank.

Have you insured ₹25 lakh, or just collected five passbooks?

Confirm @grok? 👀

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Assets ✨, which were favourite of Ray Dalio and many influencers in Jan-Feb this year.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

What If someone put full-stop (.) or space (_) in the password?

Tell me @grok

[Abhishek Sutar @sutarabhiii]

Always put a comma (,) in your passwords. If they ever end up in a data leak, it'll break the CSV.

Confirm @grok?

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

@lavemowill @grok Really good Idea 😃💡. Thanks

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲, 𝗶𝘁'𝘀 𝘂𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗼 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗶𝘁 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱.

"Despite finding good businesses, why don't investors make maximum wealth in equity?

Because they don't remain invested the way promoters do."

- Raamdeo Agrawal

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗪𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗪𝗮𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗕𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀, 𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗚𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝟯,𝟬𝟲𝟴 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 👀

Many investors were still waiting for stocks to correct further. Some got caught up in bearish calls from influencers and missed what was changing in the numbers.

Look at what changed in just 35 days, from 8 October to 12 November 👇

🔹 𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝟱𝟬 · 22,231.80 → 25,299.35
🔹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗘𝗣𝗦 · 1,168.86 → 1,226.90
🔹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣/𝗘 · 19.02× → 20.62×
🔹 𝗘𝘀𝘁. 𝟭-𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱 𝗣/𝗘 · 16.80× → 18.62×

Did you notice what stood out?

On 8 October, most Q2 FY27 results were still to come. Nifty was already trading at an estimated 16.8× forward earnings.

Many missed this point ☝️. For investors watching valuations, that was a level worth paying attention to. FII buying picked up as the rally gathered pace.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗱𝗶𝗱 𝗽𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗺𝗶𝘀𝗺 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗲𝗮𝘀𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀?

The 35 Nifty companies that had reported by 31 October grew their combined profits by 22% year on year.

As stronger quarterly results replaced the same quarter’s numbers from last year, trailing EPS moved up.

Many waited for the headlines to get better.

By then, they had already missed a big part of the rally. 👀

Still deciding which fund or PMS fits your goals?

Let’s connect. DM me or drop a comment. ✍️

Data by Trendlyne.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗪𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗪𝗮𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗕𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀, 𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗚𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝟯,𝟬𝟲𝟴 𝗣𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 👀

Many investors were still waiting for stocks to correct further. Some got caught up in bearish calls from influencers and missed what was changing in the numbers.

Look at what changed in just 35 days, from 8 October to 12 November 👇

🔹 𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝟱𝟬 · 22,231.80 → 25,299.35
🔹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗘𝗣𝗦 · 1,168.86 → 1,226.90
🔹 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣/𝗘 · 19.02× → 20.62×
🔹 𝗘𝘀𝘁. 𝟭-𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱 𝗣/𝗘 · 16.80× → 18.62×

Did you notice what stood out?

On 8 October, most Q2 FY27 results were still to come. Nifty was already trading at an estimated 16.8× forward earnings.

Many missed this point ☝️. For investors watching valuations, that was a level worth paying attention to. FII buying picked up as the rally gathered pace.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗱𝗶𝗱 𝗽𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗺𝗶𝘀𝗺 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗲𝗮𝘀𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗶𝘀𝘀?

The 35 Nifty companies that had reported by 31 October grew their combined profits by 22% year on year.

As stronger quarterly results replaced the same quarter’s numbers from last year, trailing EPS moved up.

Many waited for the headlines to get better.

By then, they had already missed a big part of the rally. 👀

Still deciding which fund or PMS fits your goals?

Let’s connect. DM me or drop a comment. ✍️

Data by Trendlyne.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The DOJ is probing Alice Huang, the woman suspected as a spy targeting Jensen Huang, over whether she was involved in smuggling products made by Super Micro Computer, $SMCI, to China, per Bloomberg

SMCI’s stock extends losses to -14% on the day.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲, 𝗶𝘁'𝘀 𝘂𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗼 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗶𝘁 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱.

"Despite finding good businesses, why don't investors make maximum wealth in equity?

Because they don't remain invested the way promoters do."

- Raamdeo Agrawal

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗙𝘂𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘂𝘀 𝗕𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗕𝘆 𝗙𝗜𝗜𝘀

Much of the current large-cap rally has been attributed to FII inflows.

FIIs net bought ₹77,164.86 crore in just 10 trading sessions, including ₹7,831 crore today.

Over the same period, DIIs net sold ₹47,652.40 crore.

Let’s look at the day-by-day data 👇

𝗡𝗲𝘁 𝗙𝗜𝗜 | 𝗡𝗲𝘁 𝗗𝗜𝗜 · ₹ 𝗰𝗿𝗼𝗿𝗲

🔹 30 Oct · +3,598.54 | −817.51
🔹 2 Nov · +3,114.68 | −392.20
🔹 3 Nov · +6,836.81 | −3,678.85
🔹 4 Nov · +7,284.03 | −3,712.23
🔹 5 Nov · +14,974.68 | −10,444.54
🔹 6 Nov · +13,749.82 | −5,968.70
🔹 8 Nov (Muhurat) · −0.25 | −700.31
🔹 9 Nov · +7,212.22 | −7,172.53
🔹 11 Nov · +12,563.33 | −8,434.53
🔹 12 Nov · +7,831 | −6,331

𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗻𝗲𝘁 𝗯𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝟭𝟬 𝘀𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 was about ₹29,512 crore, with FII buying more than offsetting DII selling.

Why are DIIs selling so heavily? Do they see something FIIs are missing? 👀

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

𝗞𝗶𝗱𝘀 𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗸 𝗺𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗳𝘂𝗻𝗱𝘀.
𝗩𝗲𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗸 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀.
𝗟𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗱𝘀 𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗸 𝘀𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀. 👀

❌ “Which fund should I buy?”
❌ “Which stock looks cheap?”
✅ “Which sector is turning?”

Drop ✍️ you Question for next booming sectors 👇.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Last few days, I’ve noticed that people with paid blue checkmarks expect a follow-back.

But why?

They don’t even realise what they’re compromising on!

Sad. 😢

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Interesting observation. 👀

Hi @grok , Why did Nifty’s EPS jump only 5% and Index rose 15% over a month?

Nifty on 8 October — 22,231.80.
Tailing PE - 19
Fwd PE- 16.8

Nifty as on Today — 25,299
Trailing PE - 20.6
Fwd PE - 18.6

What changed here?
Why Investors missed this?

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Action. Reaction

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Inflation breached the RBI’s upper limit of 6%.

October CPI inflation jumped to 6.09%, a notch above expectations too.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

It’s amazing to see the same people who peddled a 20K Nifty target a month ago now calling for 30K.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

Indian Market: “Dead Man Walking”

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

@dxcodess Yes. You are correct.
I know it's a game of buyers and sellers.

Someone sell that's reason other one buy.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

It’s amazing to see the same people who peddled a 20K Nifty target a month ago now calling for 30K.

[niveshak @Sandeepnirvan]

I wrote this here on X and LinkedIn too.

I am still firm on my views.

What is your opinion?