Crypto Mom

Known for the replies. If it matters, I comment.

[Crypto Mom @SatoshiMother]

Bitcoin 70k support

[AIBC World @AIBC_World]

@binance happy bday @ethereum 🥳

[Providence @PlayProvidence]

Taurus Armor damage type variations are in.

Which one's your favorite?
1️⃣ 2️⃣ 3️⃣ or 4️⃣ 👀

[Galactica.com @GalacticaNet]

There are only a few truly bullish narratives in crypto right now.

Our number 1 pick is Privacy.

What’s yours?

[Galactica.com @GalacticaNet]

CypherBook is your private identity/reputation profile inside Galactica.

It’s where you start building a portable on-chain identity without turning your personal data into public data.

In simple terms:

You connect your wallet
You build reputation through Galactica activity
You can use zk proofs to verify things without exposing your raw personal data or having to upload your identity

The key idea:

CypherBook = your Web3 passport, but private.

[Adam Livingston @AdamBLiv]

This is absolutely fascinating: every Bitcoin cycle has the same skeleton.

The ratio of BTC to gold rips to a euphoric top.

Gold then quietly outperforms BTC for roughly 14 months as the market exhales.

The BTC/Gold ratio bottoms, and then Bitcoin makes a new all-time high in dollars.

It has happened twice. It is happening a third time right now.

The fingerprint is almost too clean:

→ 2017 ratio top → 2019 ratio trough: 416 days
→ 2021 ratio top → 2023 ratio trough: 440 days
→ 2024 ratio top → 2026 ratio trough: 433 days

Same clock. Different decade.

The ratio topped on December 17, 2024 at 40.12 ounces of gold per Bitcoin.

It bottomed on February 23, 2026 at 12.36.

A 69% drawdown in BTC priced in real money, even as the dollar price was busy making a fresh ATH at $124,725 in October.

That is the tell. The dollar price topped ten months after the ratio topped. Gold was already winning.

The fiat scoreboard was the last one to update.

Now look at what historically happens after the ratio trough:

→ 2019 trough → BTC USD new ATH: 711 days
→ 2023 trough → BTC USD new ATH: 469 days
→ 2026 trough → BTC USD new ATH: ?

Average: 590 days. We are 83 days in.

Small sample size, but we are roughly 14% of the way through the recovery window.

That puts the next BTC USD all-time high somewhere between April 2027 and December 2027.

However, that is a diminishing trend as well.

The percentage gain required to take out the prior ATH is collapsing every cycle.

From the 2018 low, BTC needed +500% to print a new high.

From the 2022 low, +328%.

From the February 2026 low at $64,049, BTC needs +95%.

The recovery math gets easier every cycle because Bitcoin's monetary base keeps getting harder.

Three cycles. Identical anatomy. Diminishing climb.

The ratio has spoken.

The dollar will be the last to find out.

[Providence @PlayProvidence]

Wallpaper Wednesdayyyyy!

We just decided that’s a thing now. 😌
Wallpaper material, don’t you think? 👀

[Providence @PlayProvidence]

BTS time.
Desert Armor sketches are here.🔥

[Providence @PlayProvidence]

Just your average family.👾

[0xMarioNawfal @RoundtableSpace]

WHAT'S COOKING IN THE TRENCHES?

[ZachXBT @zachxbt]

@Gerard_Dargan Obviously another market manipulation scheme on CEXs by insiders.

There’s multiple of these scam tokens per month (SkyAI, Lab, etc).

Not worth it for people to trade them.

[naiive @naiivememe]

People : " You can lose everything in Crypto, it's too risky "

Crypto Guys :

[0xMarioNawfal @RoundtableSpace]

YOU CAN TURN ONE SKILL INTO 10 DIGITAL PRODUCT IDEAS WITH CLAUDE.

Just your laptop, one skill, and the right prompts.

Here are 5 Claude prompts that help you turn what you already know into products people actually buy:

1. FIND THE BEST PRODUCT IDEA FROM YOUR SKILL
“Act as a product strategist. My skill is [insert skill] and my audience is [insert audience]. Give me 10 digital product ideas I could build from this skill. For each one include: who it is for, the problem it solves, how easy it is to create, how fast I can launch it, and its income potential.”

2. FIND WHAT PEOPLE WILL ACTUALLY PAY FOR
“Act as a market validation researcher. I want to build a digital product around [skill] for [audience]. Give me 10 product ideas and score each one from 1 to 10 for demand, urgency, uniqueness, ease of creation, and pricing potential.”

3. BUILD THE PRODUCT FROM WHAT I ALREADY KNOW
“I do not want to start from zero. Help me turn what I already know about [skill] into a sellable digital product. Ask me what I explain often, what shortcuts I use, what people ask me, and what mistakes beginners make. Then turn that into a product idea.”

4. CREATE THE FULL PRODUCT OUTLINE
“I want to create a [product type] about [topic] for [audience]. Build the full outline for me including the title, core promise, sections or modules, bonuses, and the final result the buyer gets.”

5. PRICE IT THE RIGHT WAY
“I have this product idea: [idea]. My audience is [audience]. Give me 3 pricing options: low, mid, and premium. For each one explain what should be included, what type of buyer it attracts, and why the pricing makes sense.”

[MEXC @MEXC]

What flavor is MEXC? 🍦👇

A. Blue alpha
B. Zero fee vanilla
C. Listed too early mint
D. Degen chocolate

[0xMarioNawfal @RoundtableSpace]

20 MILLION BITCOIN HAVE NOW BEEN MINED WITH ONLY 1 MILLION LEFT OVER THE NEXT CENTURY

[Duo Nine ⚡ YCC @duonine]

🚨 I don't think people realize how bad things are at @aave right now.

All core markets are at 100% utilization, that includes $3 bil in USDT and $2 bil in USDC stuck!

That means you CAN'T WITHDRAW your money!

A long post on why and how we ended up here.

When the rsETH exploit happened and AAVE incurred bad debt, whales like Justin Sun, MEXC exchange, and others immediately withdrew billions from AAVE.

This instantly drained all available liquidity in key core markets like ETH, USDT, USDC and so on. Those first to withdraw got out, laggers got trapped.

Initially, the ETH market hit 100% utilization, meaning you could not withdraw your ETH from AAVE.

Worse, this also means the protocol can't process ETH liquidations should ETH price fall/crash. If you can't sell any ETH, you can't liquidate to cover debt obligations.

That means the risk of more bad debt incurred by AAVE is increasing the longer its markets remain stuck.

Nevertheless, users can still sell at a minor loss the aETHwETH tokens on Uniswap or similar aggregators. That exit door is the last one remaining for ETH depositors on AAVE.

The same cannot be said by depositors of USDT and USDC. They are stuck.

That's because AAVE lost over $6 billion in liquidity in the past 24h. As whales took out their money, USDT and USDC also hit 100% utilization.

These markets are now also stuck with money locked. Panic is spreading and desperate times call for desperate measures.

Some users decided to borrow against USDT/USDC and exit via other markets at a 10-25% loss (90-75% LTV). Basically you borrow GHO/DAI/USDe against your locked USDT/C.

But as more liquidity leaves AAVE, more markets get to 100% utilization and get locked/stuck due to low liquidity. This is quickly cascading across all available markets.

Luckily the crypto market was rather flat today so liquidation risks were marginal, but if things change there are billions in stablecoins and other assets locked on AAVE that can't process liquidations = more bad debt for AAVE.

If users or related protocols that are stuck need access to their money to prevent liquidations or other critical function, they have a huge problem on their hands.

Plus, nobody wants to deposit (or provide liquidity) in these markets now since your ETH, BTC, USDC/T could be stuck there for who know how long.

As soon as any available liquidity is made available, it is instantly taken out by bots fighting to get out. As I wrote this I saw 250k in liquidity on USDC vanish in seconds.

Then there is the bad debt question.

There's over $200 mil in bad debt incurred by AAVE via rsETH that's like a hot potato. Nobody knows who will eventually pay this bill.

If you didn't remove your assets from AAVE, you risk receiving at least part of that bill in some form. Not having access to your money is part of that risk too.

Contagion is also extremely high.

Many protocols and apps rely on AAVE for their earn mechanics. These protocols and their users are stuck too and may be forced to incur bad debt with no fault of their own.

October 10th was a CEX driven crash, this is a DeFi risk mitigation failure of epic proportions.

AAVE should have never onboarded rsETH as a collateral asset, at least not to the size of hundreds of millions that allowed the hacker to walk away (i.e. borrow) over $200M in ETH after posting fake collateral.

Rumors on X are saying rsETH was onboarded by AAVE due to a conflict of interest (lobbying) by a given service provider. If true, this is a major failure of its governance structure (nothing new).

The folks at @KelpDAO who manage rsETH also have a tough decision to make on who will actually pay for the $200M exploit. AAVE users? L2 rsETH users? Everyone affected gets a haircut to account for the loss?

The AAVE team and its founder, Stani, have been quiet for over 20h since the exploit after initially announcing the rsETH market freeze.

They have a pretty big problem on their hands since the whole protocol is at risk right now. Trust is already lost as AAVE is bleeding billions in TVL to the level of hitting 100% utilization on all core markets.

Maybe some key actors in the space will step in to provide liquidity to stabilize the markets on AAVE before this gets even worse.

I got lucky to get out of AAVE early when I first saw this. I also removed all assets from DeFi and will not touch any protocol in the next few weeks. Too much risk for a few percentage points in yield.

If you found this informative, like, share, and follow @duonine

[naiive @naiivememe]

People who've been in Crypto for 5 years

[Brent Crude @BrentCrude__]

lock in twin

[il Capo @CryptoCapo_]

Just an S/R flip after bullish confirmation.

Higher.

[フ ォ リ ス @follis_]

> $RAVE goes +10,000% in 2 weeks
> @zachxbt calls out Binance & Bitget for market manipulation
> Both CEOs agree to launch investigations
> Coin loses -85% of its value overnight

Absolute cinema

[Cointelegraph @Cointelegraph]

⚡ UPDATE: Over $520M in Stablecoins left Ethereum in just 24 hours.