ScapeGOAT Sports Predictions

NFL predictions, model projections, player props, playoff odds, and sports analytics.

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We shipped our NFL Model v2.0 before Week 1 to:

-Account for close games/luck
-Improve offseason movement, preseason consensus, and player availability

Early model notes:
-DEN moved 3 to 8
-KC is back in the top 10
-LAR and SEA remain top 2

Here's our top 6 teams:

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Top 5 NFL Defenses heading into week 2 💪

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NFL Offense TIER LIST heading into Week 2. Who looked the best? 💪

*data model uses a combination of week 1 performance and last year's team data+players

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@trentethekid1 Ya they definitely pass the eye test, this list is based solely on data. From both this season and last season (and offseason movement). I expect them to jump big if they beat the Broncos.

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Week 2 NFL Team Tier List - who did we get wrong?

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NFL WEEK 1 Sunday results sorted by PLAYOFF IMPACT.

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State of the NFL after the Sunday Afternoon Games 👀

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Our model's top 8 after Wed/Thu 👀

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NFL model ratings updates after last night.

This is how the team's unit is performing statistically as compared to all historical teams. A 95 means top 95% of defenses.

PATRIOTS OFFENSE: 87 → 79
PATRIOTS DEFENSE: 78 → 66
SEAHAWKS OFFENSE: 90 → 84
SEAHAWKS DEFENSE: 98 → 95

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@PolymarketBlitz Boston sports is cut-throat. You gotta deliver.

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NFL DEFENSE TIERS - WEEK 1

Who did we get wrong?

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@PolymarketBlitz Let's start the list:

Week 1 - Seahawks with Lock as starter

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Our data model's NFL WEEK 1 Offense Tier List
Who did we get wrong?

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@BeerlyFootball Our model has SEAHAWKS over PATS 23 - 21

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FOOTBALL TODAY.

We're taking SEAHAWKS over PATRIOTS.

But we like the NE +3.5 line - we have the Seahawks winning by 2-3 points.

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@DKSports Well, the Dolphins don't get to play the Dolphins.

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With 1 day until the NFL season starts, let's look at our #1 ranked team — LA RAMS. LAR has the #1 offense and a top 5 defense, which could EASILY go higher with Aaron Donald coming in. We give LAR at 12% shot at the title and believe they have the most stacked roster in the NFL

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@DKSports On SG we're projecting:

7 rec
85 yards
1 TD

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@gmfb We've got the SAME - but swap Chargers and Chiefs.

Chargers - 38.0% to make playoffs
Chiefs - 63.7% to make playoffs

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@DraftKings That INJURY RISK tho, but Kirk Cousins should help his volume.

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@PolymarketBlitz We give the Ravens 16.6% to make the SB 👀