Dave Scheibel

[@jason @Jason]

An extremely famous director who you love just sent me this…

… my dream of starting a movie studio is getting closer to reality

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Polymarket 🤦‍♂️

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

Yeah, all tracks with my experience. It started with 1 and eventually settled into 2 when my coach and I didn’t back off. Then took another year to be diagnosed and 2 more of zero exercise before I could return, slowly, and likely never at the same level. My experience was included in a three case series on OTS in the BMJ.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Alan_Couzens Although anxiety was one of the first symptoms I had when developing Over Training Syndrome (2019-2022). So I definitely wouldn’t use it as a signal to train more! To be clear, I think OTS is more of an intensity issue vs overall volume issue.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Alan_Couzens I do the majority of my training well below z1 these days, around 50% of max hr. Summer trail running volume is 40-50hrs per week, over 100 miles, and 40-50k feet of vert (with off trail and climbing). Feeling the fittest of my life past 50! 🙌

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Alan_Couzens And if you do it right, none of it feels like work!

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

Why not do ME (assume muscular endurance?) in Z1 as part of the long base? I do steep climbing around 40% grades at around 60% mhr and fast, technical downhill running over 100 hours per month and am in the best shape of my life at 50. Setting competitive FKTs with 98% z0/1 training. Thanks Alan!

[Alan Couzens @Alan_Couzens]

In my opinion, Zone 2 is actually high-intensity training.

Shouldn't be the majority of your base work.

Use cautiously.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

What about trail running with steep vert? I find hiking up 30-40% grades and then running back down to be incredible for fitness and health, and suspect the increased load running down those grades (high impact) on technical trails (varied impact) is likely better for bone health.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

💯 I’ve been learning and relearning this lesson! Last week I shocked myself with 52 hours of active time, 71k feet of elevation gain, and 127 miles. Much of it was around 50% of my max hr. On the last day I completed the fastest ever ascent of Cactus to Clouds in 3:37 (although I took an alternate route from the standard). That effort averaged just 70% of my max hr. And I feel the healthiest of my life! RHR and HRV great. At 50 years old! 🙌

[jimmah @jamesdouma]

@schiz04renic I ran. And ran. And ran.

[david friedberg @friedberg]

California started with the Gold Rush and might end with the Golden Exit.

it has been underreported how much wealth has left CA because of the asset seizure tax being proposed.

a private poll was conducted amongst affected individuals a few days ago and 80-90% surveyed said they have already left CA in 2025 or will leave in 2026 if the ballot measure looks likely to pass.

$2-2.5T of assets gone, representing about $20B of annual revenue for the state government. and likely hundreds of thousands of jobs now at risk.

less reported is the bigger exodus underway from folks who are NOT directly affected but worry (as they should) that this law will quickly transition from billionaires to everyone else...

the initiative actually gives CA legislators the right to take anyone's post-tax assets anytime in the future based on a majority vote. this isn't about billionaires. it's a new "tax system" that simply destroys private property rights in America.

all private property is now public property.
even after paying your taxes, it's not legally your property anymore. it's the government's, you're just borrowing it.
legislators will decide what you get to keep and temporarily use each year.

countless founders, CEOs, and other business leaders are actively looking to move their companies out of state. not just tech, not just AI, not just billionaires, but the core engine of California's prosperity since 1847 is unraveling.

and here is how this initiative risks unraveling America:
- ~10 states have explicit or implicit prohibitions against an asset seizure tax...
- individuals affected in CA (and other states trying to do the same) will move to these states that endow private property rights.
- CA already has a $20-30B annual budget deficit, an unfunded ~$1T pension liability for public employees/unions, and $500B of debt outstanding. the state can not afford to borrow much more and will launch more asset seizures to meet its obligations.
- asset seizures will first transition to "millionaires" and eventually to the entire middle class as more asset seizures drive more people to leave the state.
- the deficit, debt, and job loss will spiral. the Golden Exit.
- no US state has ever declared bankruptcy. in addition to CA, dozens of other states face similar fiscal crises - legislators promised future benefits that can't be paid or theft and waste have been allowed to run rampant and unabated for years.
- struggling states will eventually request federal government assistance, as they always have in times of fiscal crisis, effectively "federalizing state debt".
- states not in crisis will declare "enough is enough", individuals in those states will refuse to pay their federal taxes (why pay for other people's mistakes?), some states may try to secede from the Union, and a constitutional and civil crisis will erupt.

this may seem far-fetched but it is the obvious domino effect of selectively deleting private property rights for some people in some states.

i am not a billionaire and this CA bill does not affect me, but i care about the country and the state of CA. i want both to thrive. it's obvious that there are people in CA in desperate need of support and assistance, and inequities may exist that need to be rectified, but eliminating private property rights is the wrong path for everyone.

a few alternatives to consider first:
1) with a $350B annual budget, CA can cut programs that result in theft and little-to-no benefit for citizens. $50B per year is likely recoverable.
2) if more taxes are needed, tax loans against unrealized capital gains (very few objections will arise), eliminate tax-free rollover of certain appreciated assets (real estate industry will fight), create a step up in basis on inheritance (some will fight but most will support). likely $10Bs of incremental revenue can be realized.
3) restructure all public retirement programs from Defined Benefit to Defined Contribution. eliminating the unfunded retirement liabilities ($1T+) will be the release valve on the future the state so desperately needs.

we must address what ails us without dividing and destroying our state, our nation, our home.

ignore the rhetoric, these are the facts.

[Steve Magness @stevemagness]

Tip for youth sports parents: How good your kid is at 6,7,8,9, etc. doesn’t really matter.

In the vast majority of sports the performance doesn’t matter until after puberty.

Let them develop a love for the game or activity.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Alan_Couzens Is there an upper limit? I had ~1200 training hours of mostly z1 steep trail running (over 1.5 million feet of vertical gain and 3k miles) in 2025, and am 50. RHR 37, HRV mid 60’s, and lab tested Vo2max of 64. Thanks Alan!

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Brady_H This is via Garmin for RHR. I see it get down to low 30s fairly often. It was in the high 20’s when I was 40. Didn’t track it before that.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@Brady_H RHR 37 at 50 years old. Averaged 22hrs/week of trail running per week for 2025. 1.55 million vertical feet of gain, so mostly very steep trails. Lab tested Vo2Max at 67 at 40 and 64 at 50 (same oxygen consumption, but am heavier now).

[david friedberg @friedberg]

why not just raise income tax rates?

because your real intent is not to just “provide healthcare”.

you’re masking that you are proposing the creation of, for the first time in the 250 years of this American republic, an organized government seizure of private property from citizens.

you’re calling it a “wealth tax” or a “billionaires tax” or “millionaires tax” or whatever nom du jour polls well. but at the end of the day, it’s the seizure of private property from citizens by the government. citizens that earned money, paid their fair taxes on those earnings (53% if they live in California) and are now being told they need to hand over after-tax assets because the government has failed to provide promised services with the revenue it’s collected, and are now re-casting their own failure to be a socio-economic inequity that must be justly resolved... a slippery slope that has never gone anywhere good (see economic effects in USSR, Cuba, Venezuela, France and Norway wealth tax etc.)

the American founders fled tyranny in Europe and this amazing nation was populated by immigrants (myself and your parents) from around the world not just looking for a “better life” but for a place where they could have freedom from tyrannical governments that can take what they want from private citizens. a great nation borne of property rights, the rule of law, and endowed freedoms to believe, speak, or act. these principles led to the greatest run of innovations, successes, and widespread increase in prosperity, for all citizens, ever seen.

the citizens, the individuals, not the institutions, delivered this progress. those who invented, who toiled, who bled, who sacrificed, who took risk and persevered, who led, and who changed the world, are not charlatans, kleptocrats, or oligarchs. they’re what made us all better off. prosperity is a measure of america’s success, not its failure.

it is your principle that is so offensive, as evidenced by the broad disdain for your flippant flirtation with the darkest of human fantasy - socialism. you and other neo-socialists have led so many of us to reflect on America’s history and what it is becoming. that now leads so many to consider, so unnecessarily, leaving their homes for a place where everyone stands up to shout down the principle you suggest. because if your ideas are now considered moderate, it’s clear this titanic is sinking.

that a “simple tax” of taking assets that have been earned, through toil and tribulation, rightly taxed, and preserved, should now be unjustly seized, is your solution to a problem of obvious government mismanagement and outright fraud, tells us that your true motivation lies not in giving people healthcare but in cutting down success and deleting the system of prosperity and opportunity for all.

i don’t care, and neither should anyone else, what the sum total market value of a private citizens private assets might be. it is none of my business and should be none of yours. because, again, once you open that pandora’s box, we might as well study Lord of the Flies … there is literally nothing stopping 51% of citizens demanding that their government go out and seize 100% of the private property of the 49%.

want to give healthcare to people in need? do your job and fix healthcare. make it affordable. want to be lazy about it? then do your job lazily and raise income taxes.

want to take private property from private citizens who have paid their fair share of taxes and legally earned their property, then honestly declare that it is envy, not inequity, that you strive to resolve…

[Lex Fridman @lexfridman]

Most journalism seems to maximize for drama & engagement not wisdom.

[Dave Scheibel @ScheibelDave]

@StravaSupport today, after I uploaded an activity, added media, title, and description, 3 people commented and I replied, you reset my activity! So lame! What could cause this? Here’s the new activity. Not sure if you have any record of the one you wiped. https://t.co/Pd5s0ssKnQ

[Lex Fridman @lexfridman]

"The problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." - Bertrand Russell