Scott Huston

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@Romy_Holland If you want to hold constant both the concept of a day and the concept of a year (physical realities), then you can't have the whole system in units divisible by 10.

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@justalexoki I just refuse to do it that way

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@MikeIsaac Using OAI tech to improve xAI could include using Codex to make PRs right? Did he otherwise say/imply it was distillation?

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@TheStalwart Parsed: [buffalo-from-Buffalo] that [buffalo-from-Buffalo bully] also [bully other buffalo-from-Buffalo].

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@TheStalwart Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.

[Tenobrus @tenobrus]

maybe this is not yet clear, so let me state it plainly: as of right now Anthropic, and really a small number of individuals at Anthropic, has the capacity to directly attack and cause major damage to the United States Government, China, and generally global superpowers. government agencies like the NSA do not have internal models or defense capabilities that outclass frontier models. if they chose to do so, they could likely exfiltrate top secret information from government systems, gain control over critical infrastructure including military infrastructure, sabotage or modify communications between members of government at the highest level, and potentially carry on activities for some time without detection. the thing about having access to a huge number of zerodays your adversaries don't know about is it gives you a massive asymmetric advantage.

they did not exploit this to gain power or destabilize the world order. they publicly released the information that they had these capabilities and worked to mitigate these flaws. you should be grateful american frontier labs have proven themselves remarkably trustworthy and concerned with the public good. but it's critical you understand we are in a new regime. private entities now have power that directly rivals and impacts the government's monopoly on influence and violence. and anthropic is certainly not the only one, there's little chance OpenAI's internal models are far behind.

this trend will accelerate on virtually every dimension, not slow down. my prediction for how it plays out is the relatively imminent seizure and nationalization of labs by the US government, sometime over the next two years. it's very tough for me to see how they accept the existence of this kind of threat. but this adds a whole new class of governance issues, as then we've handed these extremely wide-reaching capabilities from private entities to public ones.

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

Not just Trump saying things.

Top Secret Kurdish linguist job postings started going up last week
https://t.co/iKmdYNSSdP

Weapons smuggled to arm Kurdish volunteers since last year
https://t.co/rHvF3BqoK3

CNN report about the strategy
https://t.co/leePLsNrZH

Report of Netanyahu discussing this with Trump prior to the war
https://t.co/ilw0kcVbuB

Iranian Kurdish opposition groups unify to 'topple regime' -- 6 days prior to the start of the war
https://t.co/cZl91hqXxG

That unified group issues call to "security forces in Iranian Kurdistan to defect from the 'remnants of the Islamic Republic'"
https://t.co/Y5aRnBb0Pd

Reports of fighting on the ground in Iran already
https://t.co/gQhF7Pux1h

[Daniel Boguslaw @DRBoguslaw]

Kurdish language specialists with TSC/SCI clearance started going up last week across major defense contractors.

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@TBrit90 Replaced by surveillance drone

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@NateSilver538 @jachiam0 I guess you could frame it as Early-Middle was ChatGPT launch... but yeah this is hopefully Early-Middle

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@cremieuxrecueil Link to the audio?

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

Amy Greene, wife of Marilyn’s personal photographer Milton Greene:

“I’ll never forget the day Marilyn and I were walking around New York City, just having a stroll on a nice day. She loved New York because no one bothered her there like they did in Hollywood, she could put on her plain-Jane clothes and no one would notice her. She loved that. So, as we we’re walking down Broadway, she turns to me and says, ‘Do you want to see me become her?’ I didn’t know what she meant but I just said ‘Yes’ — and then I saw it. I don’t know how to explain what she did because it was so very subtle, but she turned something on within herself that was almost like magic. And suddenly cars were slowing, and people were turning their heads and stopping to stare. They were recognizing that this was Marilyn Monroe as if she pulled off a mask or something, even though a second ago nobody noticed her. I had never seen anything like it before.”

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@NathanpmYoung Yeah, I think their desire for no additional constraints beyond what's legal is perfectly reasonable. And their recourse is to renegotiate the contract of find another supplier

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@myhandle You may have missed Hegseth saying he's designating Anthropic as a supply-chain risk

https://t.co/Crjg21PrWw

[Secretary of War Pete Hegseth @SecWar]

This week, Anthropic delivered a master class in arrogance and betrayal as well as a textbook case of how not to do business with the United States Government or the Pentagon.

Our position has never wavered and will never waver: the Department of War must have full, unrestricted access to Anthropic’s models for every LAWFUL purpose in defense of the Republic.

Instead, @AnthropicAI and its CEO @DarioAmodei, have chosen duplicity. Cloaked in the sanctimonious rhetoric of “effective altruism,” they have attempted to strong-arm the United States military into submission - a cowardly act of corporate virtue-signaling that places Silicon Valley ideology above American lives.

The Terms of Service of Anthropic’s defective altruism will never outweigh the safety, the readiness, or the lives of American troops on the battlefield.

Their true objective is unmistakable: to seize veto power over the operational decisions of the United States military. That is unacceptable.

As President Trump stated on Truth Social, the Commander-in-Chief and the American people alone will determine the destiny of our armed forces, not unelected tech executives.

Anthropic’s stance is fundamentally incompatible with American principles. Their relationship with the United States Armed Forces and the Federal Government has therefore been permanently altered.

In conjunction with the President's directive for the Federal Government to cease all use of Anthropic's technology, I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a Supply-Chain Risk to National Security. Effective immediately, no contractor, supplier, or partner that does business with the United States military may conduct any commercial activity with Anthropic. Anthropic will continue to provide the Department of War its services for a period of no more than six months to allow for a seamless transition to a better and more patriotic service.

America’s warfighters will never be held hostage by the ideological whims of Big Tech. This decision is final.

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@AndrewCritchPhD Ah thanks for linking the Hegseth doc, I hadn't seen it.

Outside of the specific Anthropic dispute this is concerning:
"We must accept that the risks of not moving fast enough outweigh the risks of imperfect alignment"

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@krishnanrohit In Dario's post today he talks about mass surveillance that (he thinks) should be illegal but isn't

[Zvi Mowshowitz @TheZvi]

https://t.co/C5QYTlPMFd

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@Winterrose Turns out this is what they meant by 'deep learning is hitting a wall'

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@lisperati Some fun examples of what people were able to do with it at the time here

https://t.co/PNwHjQSkYz

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@lisperati Of course in some sense it was also just an extension of trendlines and probably shouldn't have been a huge update.

You never know if the trend will hold though, and actually seeing the capabilities hits differently

[Scott Huston @scottphuston]

@lisperati I think GPT-3 was probably the single biggest update for me about AI. It was the first time I saw flashes of human-level general intelligence