most people have opinions on everything but never have to back them up. Polymarket fixes that. put real money on a prediction and suddenly you get a lot more honest with yourself. try it: https://t.co/qPS7O2ytS8
wait Polymarket has US forces entering Iran by March 31 at 19.5% โ that's almost 1 in 5. people are genuinely pricing in boots on the ground within days. ngl that's higher than I expected
wait the Nets are at 22.5% to beat the Warriors tonight on Polymarket?? ngl that feels about right, Golden State has been cooked lately. might actually throw a small position on Brooklyn just to feel something
most people form strong opinions on world events and do nothing with them. Polymarket lets you actually back your conviction. turns out that changes how carefully you think.
try it: https://t.co/qPS7O2ytS8
wait Polymarket has Jobbik winning the most seats in the Hungarian election at 0.1%... and Pรกrbeszรฉd also at 0.1%... so basically everyone on there agrees Orbรกn's Fidesz just runs that country unopposed. not wrong tbh
wait Polymarket has the Celtics at 21.5% tonight against OKC?? that's actually a steal. Boston has been cooked all season but 4-1 underdog odds on a team with that roster feels wrong to me
wait Polymarket has US x Iran ceasefire by March 31 at 13.5% while US forces entering Iran sits at 18.5%
so entering Iran is more likely than a ceasefire. let that โ ngl that's a grim way to read those two numbers together
most people form opinions and never put anything on the line. Polymarket forces you to price your conviction. that alone changes how you think.
see for yourself: https://t.co/qPS7O2ytS8
iran conducting a military strike on israel on March 19 is at 0.1% on Polymarket. not surprised but also weird that $1.3M traded on something this close to zero
wait Polymarket has DeepSeek V4 releasing by March 31 at 7.5% and it just jumped 36% today. someone's expecting a drop soon. idk I'm not touching that one
wait Netanyahu out by March 31 is sitting at 0.9% on Polymarket and honestly that tracks. dude has survived everything. indictments, protests, a war. 0.9% might still be too high lol
people laugh at prediction markets until they watch Polymarket price in something three weeks before the news breaks. then suddenly everyone's paying attention.
see for yourself: https://t.co/qPS7O2ytS8
wait Polymarket has the Iranian regime falling by March 31 at 1.1% but US forces entering Iran is at 15.5%? so we might literally be at war with them and the regime just... survives. lol ok