The $TROLL thesis is pretty clear to me
1. The OG Meme Legacy
$TROLL isn’t just another memecoin, it’s internet history. Born in 2008, Trollface is as instantly recognizable as Pepe or Doge, yet it’s only now getting its shot in the spotlight.
2. Community-Driven & Battle-Tested
This coin has already stared down a 90% drawdown and lived to tell the tale. The holders are here for the culture, not just the chart. That kind of conviction can’t be faked.
3. Un-FUD-able by Design
With $TROLL, there’s no such thing as bad press. Anyone trying to FUD it is literally feeding the meme. The only response needed? “U mad bro?”
4. Redemption Arc for PUMP
After PUMP’s launch was met with heavy FUD, $TROLL is the perfect meme to put the spotlight back on the launchpad in a way that’s authentic. Unlike other launchpad supported memes, the community chose $TROLL and the whales followed.
5. Binance Breadcrumbs
The alpha isn’t even new as Binance added it to their alpha list month ago. In the last hour they top-blasted $240K into $TROLL months ago. You think they’re planning on losing money here? Neither do I.
6. Compare this meme to other memes that have crossed $1B on Solana. I’m not going to put any community down, and the market environment is currently different than in the past. But the memetics and community potential of $Troll is objectively greater than most previous runners.
7. Path to $5B
Once price discovery cools and new baselines form, it’s on the community to take this from cult status to mainstream. $1B is the layup. $5B is the mission
Of course $MSTR holders take on the volatility, as they should. As you say the stock is leveraged BTC. If $BTC continues to appreciate on a longer time frame everyone wins, moreso than they would just holding slot. The opposite is true if BTC doesn’t appreciate in excess of their cost of capital.
I’m not smart enough to know the fair value of $SOL.
I just know it’s the only place where I can:
Sell some $SOL to buy $SQUIRE and get exposure to inference capital markets.
Take a little profit on $SQUIRE and mine some unrefined $ORE from @ore — a quantum-proof digital store of value with privacy optionality
Rotate leftover gains into AI mega-caps like $NVDA after a brutal selloff.
Buy a cup of coffee with a few $TROLL using @AviciMoney
Access the $SPCX IPO with no minimum investment.
Trade Hyperliquid perps through @phantom, the best crypto wallet ever created.
Do it all from my @solanamobile phone while paying a few bucks a month for better service than I get on my AT&T-powered iPhone.
Maybe the fair value of $SOL is 10x higher.
Maybe it’s 50% lower.
What I do know is that no other ecosystem comes remotely close to offering this level of financial experimentation, capital formation, and consumer utility in a single place.
100% correct that a company selling inference doesn’t need crypto to do so. Anthropic, OpenAI are generating millions a month each without any crypto rails assisting them.
You enter your credit card details, maybe take a photo of a government ID, and you’re on your way.
AI inference doesn’t need crypto. But crypto enables these companies to be more than just another inference provider. Something that OpenAI cannot:
- a marketplace where inference is a tradable asset, not just a metered service
- infrastructure accessible to autonomous agents not just humans with credit cards
- a permissionless or even accountless service without KYC gatekeeping
- a composable financial primitive, derivative, future, etc. on top of computer capacity
Thinking of crypto business as normal businesses with as new payment rail is a failure of imagination. An end state with crypto enabling a decentralized and uncensorable marketplace where agents trade compute capacity as a financial instrument settled onchain 24/7 is completely foreseeable.
Every year or so I go big on one tail risk asset. In November 2024 I went big on Fartcoin. In April 2025 my concentrated bet was on $Troll (still hold half btw).
My concentrated bet as we wrap up this bear cycle in the next few months is $Squire. Have that feeling again.
I agree with most of what you’ve said lately (MegaEth was a terrible call, but you can’t win them all). But I still think $SOL has a shot on a longer time horizon. It’s still by far the best user experience in crypto, and outside of Eth is the only L1 with any network effect. IMO it’s all L1s die off or Solana rises very high. But sure, $20 is possible.
@PeterSchiff Gold’s one-time-every-15 years bull run is stalling out, so Peter is going to be doom posting $BTC well into his cognitive decline. I just hope he lives long enough to witness $1 million per Bitcoin
Certainly not an argument to buy crypto in the short term.
Most individuals are going to be forced buyers of the IPOs through passive index investing (or even active funds). This is where float will matter, but these IPOs could make up 2-5% of passive funds. This is where early investors in these IPOs get their exit liquidity.
So step 1: Funds totaling 10s of trillions of AUM are rebalancing away from existing stocks to make room for SPCX, Anthropic and OpenAI.
Step 2: IPOs (except maybe Anthropic) become tremendously overvalued based on fundamentals.
Step 3: contagion effect. AI companies cannot justify their valuations + initial investors taking their profits = narrative that AI is overpriced
Not something to act on now and time horizon could be extended by continued fiscal dominance. But eventually money printing is the only thing that can keep us out of darkness, which is when I’d want to own crypto. Late cycle Boomflation scenario.
I will say I believe the majority of returns have been made on AI stocks, but there is still plenty of potential to run.
Last point: Forward PE ratios are not at bubble levels yet, but they are quite elevated.
What I’m looking for is the next capital rotation. Mega Cap tech > chips > memory / energy has happened so where does capital rotate next or is it more of the same for now?
@benjamincowen Maybe at the macro level. But every cycle there are a few alts that destroy Bitcoin in price appreciation during the bull. It’s usually pretty easy to identify them too. Timing exits is where people get rekt.
@IgorTradesX@0xReflection Probably because they ignored tokenomics and inflation and simply bought the asset that represents the best user experience on a block chain by a country mile. Unfortunately for them, price is not driven strictly by user experience.
We are at the foothills of the most extractive IPO season in the history of humanity. I agree we at the foothills of technology improvement but we’re priced like we are getting ready for the last leg of the summit. Enjoy the next 1-2 years though! The fun will continue for some time
There is a working product. There’s just been zero marketing, no one wants to hold onto a tail risk asset in this type of market. For it to come back @GhostHash1 needs to keep shipping and they need to grow users and awareness.
I think they hired a head of business development - but he’s not someone anyone has heard of…
In other words - a lot needs to go right, but if it does that assymetric risk upside is insane.
I don’t really blame Dfarmer. You have horrible market conditions. @GhostHash1 hasn’t really done much to instill confidence in the short term (probably because he’s focused on his Berlin presentation). If he delivers a strong product that people want to use - and they can market it effectively - the project will fly. If not - zero