Sgt. Donny Donowitz

Bear Jew

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@BellaWallerstei Amendment: what the fuck is wrong with American men?

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@HaasRenn @SwannMarcus89 You were right

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@means_over @LeverNews And yet inflation is at 2%

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@DPJHodges devastating indeed

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@TheRightGuy101 @CollinRugg people don't like having their rights taken away from them, especially for ideological reasons.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@TheStalwart @mroliverbarnes

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@TheStalwart @mroliverbarnes It’s up 4% since the open this morning.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@a00003344 @HeathMayo Selzer seemed to think Iowa was swinging so far to Harris because of the recent impact of changes to abortion laws in Iowa in the last few months. So you can't imply a national swing from a single state swing.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@DPJHodges One of these states is a swing state where Harris campaigned and spent money. One isn’t….

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@HaasRenn @SwannMarcus89 In Florida.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@HaasRenn @SwannMarcus89 Not really. We all know Florida is super strong for GOP and De Santis won there by 20. Not much Dem time, effort or money went into Florida.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@HaasRenn @SwannMarcus89 You think Florida will finish at +22? Anything is possible but this seems very unlikely

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@HaasRenn @SwannMarcus89 Florida is safe Republican, no?

[Seth Abramson @SethAbramson]

Love this. Please share.

(Hat tip: Josh Gad on Threads.)

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@DPJHodges If all this is true, and it may well be, why do you reckon Trump is acting like a politician who looks like he's about to lose? Low energy, poorly attended rallies, no juice in his speeches, no major recent endorsements, crazier and crazier stuff coming out of his mouth, etc...

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@Hamalisk @DPJHodges @moutet According to which polling?

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@SimonWDC I actually think it is incorrect to say "they would only be doing this if they knew he was losing".

Think of it more as an insurance policy.

They win either way: if he wins fair and square, he wins; if he loses, they cheat and he still wins.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@DPJHodges You say there is a failure to compare today to 2020.

I'd say the opposite - that most pollsters have been weighting their models to 2020 voting patterns and are significantly underestimating the degree that women are more likely than men, to vote this time.

Because Dobbs.

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@DPJHodges The only polling I can find from Pew has Harris +9 with women but this was not exit polling of early voters. It was carried out 30 Sept - 6 Oct. Can you link to the Pew Research showing your exit polling numbers? Or are you comparing 2020 exit polls with 2024 non-exit polls?

[Sgt. Donny Donowitz @SgtDDonowitz]

@lelemSLP @The_Bear_Jew18 Did she really do everything in her power to stop the IDF going into Rafah? Did Biden? They didn’t do anything to stop it. They said a few things but have armed and supported the IDF all the way.