Gold produces a minimum of 25% to 30% following every breakout during the present bull run that started in 2023. Assuming every advancing cycle lasts around 2.5 - 3 months then gold should reach $7,000 - 7,250 by July 2026. However, given that the coming leg up is likely
Gold has been consolidating 80 days withing a contracting triangle. The amplitude of its base makes up nearly $550, which suggests that the next measured target is $3,875 or 16% from present price level. It took gold 2 weeks to form the $550 base from April 4 to April 22nd.
Gold has been forming and inverse head and shoulders pattern of the past month and looks like it is completing the right shoulder. Breakout may follow anytime
Gold is trading just under the upper band of the multi-month contracting triangle formation.
There are 3 options:
1. Legitimate breakout
2. False breakout
3. Sell-off back to lows $2,600
Legitimate breakout could take gold straight to $2,730 - 2,740 area else sell-off and then
Gold is setting up for next leg up in my opinion. Previous 3-month consolidations during 2024 resulted in 19% rally. If history repeats then 19% rally upon breakout could take gold to $3,200 within roughly 2 months...
Gold has been trading within the rising broadening wedge since October 2023. Every advancing part of every cycle give or take lasted 2 months and yielded on average 18%. Assuming that gold bottoms around FOMC next week, 18% should take it towards the upper band of the formation
Gold is correcting to form a higher low, which is much needed. Furthermore, as metals approach the expiration of December Futures contracts by mid this week sell-off makes perfect sense.
Finally, looks like gold is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern.