@glezak A dusting to 1” is not a major winter storm. And your original tweet called for Valentine’s weekend winter storm, which produced zero snow in the area.
Another failed long range forecast.
Goooooooood morning. Two weeks from now a major winter storm will be approaching Kansas City, in fact a series of winter storms will be developing. The atmosphere is cycling regularly this winter, and one of the key segments of the cycling weather pattern we spotted months ago will be returning in the next two to three weeks. Think of the weather like a song on repeat. Certain parts of the song play again and again. Back in late November and early December, one part of this “weather song” brought stormy weather to Kansas & Missouri, and the surrounding region. Using the Lezak Recurring Cycle (LRC), we knew that same part would come back again later in the winter.
We circled the February 5–20 time frame months ago for this pattern to return with the middle dates the target, especially for the Kansas City area and nearby states. Now, the computer models are starting to show winter storms popping up during that same time — including around February 13 shown below, right in the middle of that window.
This doesn’t mean everything is decided yet. The weather models will change their minds a few times before the storm actually forms. That’s normal. What matters is that the timing is lining up, just like we expected. We’ll be watching this closely, and there’s much more to share over the next couple of weeks as the picture becomes clearer. Follow the development with in-depth details in our Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report: https://t.co/TBFCXTdUxv #LRC #kansascity #winterweather