Simon Jackman

Hon Prof Univ Sydney: political scientist, data scientist; US Studies Centre CEO (16-22), Stanford Univ (96-16), ANU, Chicago (94-96), reasonable musician

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@xuyiqing Used to be my fav question at Stanford empirical talks involving panel data: we’d often be a long way down the road before we were got an answer to “how much of the variation in y is within, how much between…”. Duration of runs for discrete y, etc. Nice!

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@mumbletwits https://t.co/cU8ZSMFF0U

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

ok, but put me in the "conservative drift/maturation over the life-course is a real thing...just muted in #auspol ATM" school, at least wrt net flow to Coalition parties see https://t.co/TeK4RDHbMo

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@mumbletwits “I have a paper on this…”

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@mumbletwits Anthony ≠ Antony. Although @AntonyGreenElec probably also doesn’t want to upset WA voters.

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

Academic publishing isn't always the fastest game in town, but pleased to see this out and freely available! How did Labor win the 2025 election? https://t.co/GmfZxeDvHU via @LinkedIn #auspol

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@McFaul At this point Mike, that’s the least of it.

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@gtconway3d Tend to agree, but perhaps it’s also a tactical issue: need Iran to run down missiles, drones (or US destroys them) before “safe enough”for escort/mine clearing ops. Drones - quality/quantum - new factor in the Calculus cf previous missions to secure SoH.

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@KhoaVuUmn @insteconomics Magic words about T going to infinity or N going to infinity making the same numbers in a table of regression results “good”. Econometric version of transubstantiation…

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@heystak_ Looks a serious incident on St Neot Ave, at least one person being treated on scene. A K-9 unit just deployed to a premises down the far western end of the street. Lots of detectives attending as well. #pottspoint #sydney

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@mumbletwits Even supposing ONP stays at low 20s nationally in a fed election, damned if we know much - from the extant polling - about seat by seat story It’s wonderfully tempting to compute a ALP ONP 2PP number but how that maps to anything predictive about composition of next parli? Meh

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

Usman's last dismissal #Ashes #UsmanKhawaja happened to be field level, square on, and caught the moment... bail is flying, above the ball, right of frame

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@MattCowgill May your career be long enough to have moments where these big changes happen..;-)

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

Sydney star trails, 6-7 January 2026 https://t.co/QaFtWv4YEJ

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

the storm that swept over Sydney today to end Day 1 5th test early, SCG in the background with the lights on #AUSvENG #ashes25

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

I think this already-docile #Adelaide #Ashes pitch is what @CricketAus would call a "revenue wicket". @gradecricketer

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@bennymcslats @Rajiv1841 Play Bazball. But maybe do it better than the opposition.

[Simon Jackman @SimonJackman]

@Rajiv1841 Australian cricket fans are very, very entertained.