Some way to find out ACCUMULATION and DISTRIBUTION
1: Many Green Doji in a Row indicate accumulation in a stock and Smart money positions while many red doji in a row indicates distribution.
2: According to Wykoff Theory
-if there is Large volume but stock didn’t fall much, It’s sign of Accumulation,
-Just opposite if there is large volume but stock didn’t move up its sign of Distribution.
3: जब पूरा इण्डेक्स /मार्केट बढ़ रहा हो लेकिन आपके पोर्टफोलियो का कोई स्टॉक गिर रहा हो तब इसमें distribution हो रहा है
-लेकिन जब पूरा मार्केट गिर रहा हो लेकिन आपके कुछ स्टॉक या तो स्टेबल है या बढ़ रहे है तो समझ लीजिये की accumulation चल रहा है
How I go about organizing my lists...
Firstly, I scan daily charts every day & put whatever I feel is good in a Watchlist that contains roughly 110-120 stocks in a healthy market. This also tells me about the market's health as the number keeps going up/down.
2. Focused List - everything in the watchlist is not immediately buyable. Therefore, the ones that are worth buying or getting closer are moved to this list.
3. High Priority List - the ones on which I will focus right during the market hour are here.
Both 2 and 3 are in a single list of Trading view which contains = Focused list and High Priority as sections.
To move from a focused list to high priority = I consider m-cap, sector, and some basic funda/theme playing out. 95% CLUB one can say. 95% Technical + 5% Funda
NOTE: Whatever I sell - moves back to the Watchlist (1) and if it sets up again - it comes back else I delete it permanently.
Happy Investing....
अच्छे रिजल्ट के बाद भी स्टॉक में मूवमेंट नहीं है
ऐसे में परेशान होने की ज़रूरत नहीं है बिलकुल
मूवमेंट आएगा और तब आएगा जब कुछ दिन बाद लोग भूल जाएँगे की उन कंपनियों को जिनके रिजल्ट
अच्छे आये थे।
हर बार रिजल्ट के बाद ऐसा ही होता है
Stock market In physics way
किसी भी स्टॉक को नया हाई बनाने के लिए ऊर्जा की ज़रूरत पड़ेगी। इस ऊर्जा को EPS बोला जाता है
और साथ ही उच्च roe& ROCE जैसे बैटरी की ज़रूरत पड़ती है जो स्टॉक में विद्युत प्रवाह लगातार बनाये र��ता है 😄
Volume is never of buyer & seller
There are always equal number of buyers and sellers. If 1 lakh shares were traded, you can’t say buyers were more. They were equal
The price close tells about who actually lost the game. It means if the buyer was willing to pay a higher price or the seller offloaded at a lower price
We don't predict. It is wrong. Do you think smart hands are waiting for 52-week-highs/ATH to buy any stock? Or, do you think they buy for the first time with you at high? NO
They accumulate stock before the obvious highs which is evident by certain price areas on the charts where the supply is being absorbed after the price has moved up with volume.
Volume is the fuel for any stock rise. We enter a stock in those areas before the obvious highs where our SL is often less than 4% deep which allows us to build heavy position size.
If we are right in reading their transactions - we make big money else we get out with a smaller SL
The same risk you'll also take at obvious highs so there is nothing new. But at obvious highs, you've already missed the major meat of the move & the stock is known to everyone in the town. ABB India for example. Plus, any deep pullback at an obvious high will scare you off while buying before it makes you sit patiently as you're still in profit.
Sums up the case :)
Detailed answer:
200 MA close/not
Being a swing trader picking stocks moving up - the primary intention is always to buy a stock as it is moving up in the direction of the trend. Therefore, I always look for the stock wherein the 200 MA is sloping up. So, there is never a case wherein I am buying a name wherein the stock is below 200 MA or the MA is sloping down.
99.99% of purchase is when the stock is breaking out from a base/consolidation area.
Except for once when I traded Jubilant Food below 200 MA, there is no other case.
I am not saying that stocks below 200 MA don't move but, what I mean is to maximize the gains in less time, I need buying force & higher probability of winning which comes above this longer-term MA.
Summary - I don't buy the stock at support unless they are moving up + I prefer buying them as they break out with volumes = Why? Just one statement = TIME IS MONEY. Time has an opportunity cost.
Obviously, that is my style & it suits me. You can mold it for yourself.
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Always use "Logarithmic" Chart on Monthly & Weekly TF
On daily, there is hardly any difference between normal & log chart - So, use log chart as default setting
A lot of times I've been asked a question
Entry when the price crosses or when it closes above a line?
Case 1 - as price crosses - BO not yet confirmed but SL is close so it allows bigger position size for the same risk
Case 2 - price closes - BO confirmed in case price close stronger - deeper SL - less position size permissible - but you get extra confirmation
Case 3 - add half at cross & half before close
Case 4 - add 1/4th at cross, 1/2 just a few mins before close, rest the next day opening
There are plenty of other cases as there is no one way you can pyramid up or take entry. you can play around taking these general guidelines.
The weekly chart is to check where the stock is right now in an overall trend. To check if the train is moving or halted at the junction.
The next step is to check if the stock is buyable the next day or not. Daily chart is to board the train when it starts.
Leaders under accumulation will hold short term moving averages and other key levels even as the market is making new lows.
Last week we saw heavy distribution on the indexes with the Nasdaq undercutting the prior week’s lows.
I always look for a volatility contraction or tightness in a chart.
If the price is going sideways and the daily trading changes are getting smaller, it's a sign of accumulation and the stock could explode quickly.
But buy only if the stock moves up! Not if it's tight.
Read hundreds and hundreds of books on Technical Analysis and trading. Telling you from my own experience -
“the next leg of exponential growth will come only by analyzing your own trades”
Record each & every trade & study them whenever you get time.
#freeadvise