Sinister.Scalper

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

U.S. bond yields post biggest jump in a generation as global rout rattles investors https://t.co/P1vA0zM1yC via @MarketWatch

[BRICS News @BRICSinfo]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US-Iran talks scheduled for this week in Switzerland have been canceled due to renewed fighting.

[Financial Times @FT]

Iran tells ships in Strait of Hormuz to turn back https://t.co/ceJO5qqeqw

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

If this is actually the case it’ll be a monumental shift for markets. Too much manipulation has been present. I hope it is.

[Bloomberg @business]

Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi confirms the country reached a peace deal with the US https://t.co/fzn3e0koGq

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

No end in sight

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

TRUMP: US WILL BE TAKING KHARG ISLAND

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

As expected, the ECB hiked rates by 25 basis points—the first increase since 2023.
It would not surprise me if the ECB were to hike again this year, highlighting a world of greater dispersion among systemically important central banks.
#economy #centralbanks #ecb #markets #inflation

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

Wow

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

⚠️BREAKING:

*WTI OIL DOWN OVER 12% ON REPORT US MULLS UNFREEZING IRAN FUNDS

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

Bang on

[Judgement @Judgement247]

@JesseCohenInv Because you don’t understand gold. When inflation occurs interest rates raise. Causing gold to lower. Inflation must be greater than interest rates. When rates drop gold goes up

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

LOL! Here we go.

[Financial Times @FT]

The US president told the FT he is considering seizing Kharg Island, the hub through which most of Iran’s oil is exported. https://t.co/o6Lwvx00R9?

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

🇺🇸U.S. ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK:

• JOLTS JOB OPENINGS (TUES.)
• CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (TUES.)
• ADP NONFARM PAYROLLS (WED.)
• RETAIL SALES (WED.)
• ISM MANUFACTURING PMI (WED.)
• JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.)
• NONFARM PAYROLLS (FRI.)
• UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (FRI.)
• GOOD FRIDAY - U.S. STOCKS CLOSED

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $VIX

[Jesse Cohen @JesseCohenInv]

Gold is down almost $200 today as Iran War fears grow.

So much for being a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty.

[Julian Dorey @juliandorey]

the judi dench cameo fucking sent me 🤣😭

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

As expected

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

*IRAN WILL END WAR AT TIME OF OWN CHOOSING: PRESS TV

*IRAN WONT ALLOW TRUMP TO DICTATE TIMING OF WAR'S END: PRESS TV

🇮🇷🇺🇸

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

This is absolutely hilarious. Everyone just outright called his bluff.

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

*IRAN'S MIZAN: THERE ARE NO TALKS BETWEEN THE US AND IRAN

*IRAN'S MIZAN: TRUMP'S COMMENTS ARE ATTEMPT TO CUT ENERGY PRICES

*IRAN'S STATE-RUN MIZAN CITES IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 BIG WARNING: THE NEXT 36 HOURS WILL DECIDE FATE OF US-IRAN WAR

Today, President Trump gave a 48-hour deadline to Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz.

He said Iran's power plants will be fully destroyed if the Strait of Hormuz isn't opened.

Iran's Response?

It will completely close the Strait of Hormuz if any attack happens on its power plants.

This will effectively close 20% of the global oil supply, most of which goes to Asia.

But why does this deadline matter?

This isn't due to the US inability to strike more.

This isn't due to the global oil price spike.

This is all due to bond markets breaking.

US 10Y yield is about to enter the "4.5%" danger zone, which has crushed the stock market in the past.

Trump knows that if the Strait of Hormuz remains mostly closed, bond yields will spike.

In 2026, the US government has to refinance over $9 trillion in debt, and if bond yields continue to go up, the refinancing will cost a lot.

The only way to solve this is by pushing bond yields lower.

Strait of Hormuz opens ➙ Inflation expectations go lower ➙ Fed becomes more willing to cut rates ➙ Bond yields drop ➙ Stock market rallies

And what if Iran keeps the Strait closed?

In that case, stocks and crypto will experience a crash even more brutal than April 2025.

[Market Makers Lab @MarketMakersLab]

99% of retail traders look at this sea of red and scream that the sky is falling. They try to "predict" the market with emotions and narratives, like cheap fortune tellers. 🔮

Meanwhile, institutional algorithms just see an all-you-can-eat buffet. 🩸

What the masses call a "bloodbath," Quants call a Massive Liquidity Sweep. Wall Street needs this media-induced panic to trigger retail stop-losses in a cascade. That is the only way they can fill their massive order books at a deep discount.

They are buying your fear while you panic-sell. It’s purely mechanical.

Stop playing guessing games. The color of a heatmap means absolutely nothing if you don't understand the Volatility Regime or how to track the Velocity of Displacement (ROC).

If you don't know how to quantify the algorithmic footprint of these purges, you are the exit liquidity. While retail cries over red boxes, we model the institutional injection for the next rotation. 🕵️‍♂️⚡️

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

Well isn’t this great. 140 bound?

[Investing.com @Investingcom]

*OIL PRICES ARE SET TO RISE FURTHER AS WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST ESCALATES

$CL_F

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

The markets are absolutely ridiculous right now. Gold is behaving even more like a cryptocurrency, oil having the potential to spike in the coming weeks. It’s all over the place. There’s not a lot of liquidity either, it’s just noise and speculation.

We need real trading back.

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

I don’t like posting politics but it gets to a point where you think, what is the next crazy story to come out of Washington.

[Fox News @FoxNews]

PRESIDENT TRUMP: “We were told that the killing in Iran is stopping...and there's no plan for executions."

"A lot of people were talking about for the last couple of days — today was going to be the day of execution."

[Sinister.Scalper @SinisterScalper]

I believe that gold prices can keep climbing north of 5000 per oz. Naturally, the us 30 and spx would also follow.

That being said, price action on XAU was not the greatest with a lot of sell orders sitting @ 4500. Will see what next week brings.

[Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm]

The new year equity rally sees the S&P end the week at a new record high.
This was accompanied by higher oil and gold prices, as well as tighter credit spreads and a stronger dollar.
#markets #stocks #investors #investing