I think $TSLA is going to continue to go down for a while. Valuation is stretched, only thing I think can send the stock higher is release of new vehicle, stake in XAI, meaningful robotaxi adoption or some other news. Year over year delivery numbers have been declining, and capital expenditures have been increasing. This is not what Wall Street wants, though Long term I think the stock will do well. In the meantime I don’t see it going much higher than $500 anytime in the near future. I’m not selling a single share just being realistic here. Still bullish long term on FSD, Energy, Semi and robotics LONG Term, Thoughts?
@optionscjp I would hold, if you get assigned the shares sell covered calls against your shares. The premiums for the calls are much higher than the premiums for the puts.
We posted our second quarter 2026 financial and operational results → https://t.co/YCRzq6gSV3
Q2 highlights:
- Demonstrated the power of extreme vertical integration, delivering revenue growth of 92% year-over-year across Space, Connectivity, and AI
- Completed two successful Starship V3 flight tests in the past 90 days, advancing towards full and rapid reusability
- Closed multiple industry-leading Cloud Services Agreements resulting in $14.1 billion of contracted sales
- Announced agreement to acquire Cursor for $60 billion to accelerate the AI enterprise opportunity
- Released our most powerful AI model yet with Grok 4.5 in July
- Delivered 66% revenue and 79% income from operations growth year-over-year for the Connectivity segment, driven by a doubling of Starlink Subscribers and continued momentum in Enterprise & Government
- Awarded over $6 billion in multi-year U.S. government contracts for Starshield
As compared to the same quarter last year:
- Revenues of $7.8 billion, up 92% from $4.1 billion
- Net loss of $541 million, an improvement of $467 million from net loss of $1.0 billion
- Adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion, up 191% from $1.2 billion
Thank you to the SpaceX team, and all our customers and investors for a great quarter!
Mein Fazit
Die $TSLA Q2-2026 Zahlen sind zweigeteilt.
→ Rekordumsatz von $28,2 Mrd. (+26%). Auf Zwölfmonatssicht erstmals über $100 Mrd.
→ Aber das operative Ergebnis fiel um 57% auf $398 Mio., die operative Marge von 4,1% auf 1,4%.
Der Grund liegt nicht im Auto-Geschäft, sondern darunter: Die operativen Kosten stiegen bewusst um 47% aufgrund von mehr Forschung & Entwicklung, der Capex um 142% auf $5,8 Mrd. für AI-Compute, Optimus und Robotaxi.
Der Free Cashflow drehte daher ins negative mit -$1,1 Mrd., das erste Cash-Burn-Quartal seit Anfang 2024.
Das ist kein Nachfrageproblem. Das ist ein Investitionsquartal.
2026 markiert den Wendepunkt. Im Gesamtjahr will Tesla über $25 Mrd. in CAPEX investieren. Den Großteil in der 2. Jahreshälfte.
Diese Investitionen werden bald üppige Früchte tragen.
Tesla is down almost 20% from where I WARNED that $TSLA could drop up to 25% after earnings.
I'm actually going to do some small buying here. No rush though. After all, we could still dip to $270 before hitting really strong support.
Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas in new @SpaceX note:
"We believe the current disconnect between increasingly bearish investor sentiment and largely unchanged fundamentals creates an attractive entry point in SpaceX shares.
We believe SpaceX remains uniquely positioned across launch, connectivity, and Al, with a dominant competitive moat in space launch and satellite connectivity (>3/4 of global mass to orbit and maneuverable satellites in orbit) and meaningful long-term optionality from Grok, Cursor, and neocloud.
At less than $120/share today, we believe investors are paying a reasonable multiple for the core Space + Connectivity business while receiving limited-to-no value for the company's Al opportunity, despite multiple potential monetization paths to our estimated ~$100 billion in 2028 Al revenues on 6 GW avg compute. We see the current valuation as an attractive entry point, with our $300 price target implying substantial upside and supported by a 15-year DCF that values Space + Connectivity alone at approximately $136/share."