SocioNarrative

Exploring India's politics, governance, public policy, and social issues through facts, data, and informed analysis.

[SocioNarrative @SocioNarrative]

@ShivAroor @ShekharGupta @YashwantDeshmukh @sardesairajdeep

[SocioNarrative @SocioNarrative]

1/5

Everyone is discussing who will win India in 2029.

Most people are looking at the wrong metric.

The number of states a party governs does not decide a Lok Sabha election.

Before 2014, UPA ruled more states than BJP.

We all know what happened next.

[SocioNarrative @SocioNarrative]

5/5

My view: 2029 will not be decided by who rules the most states. It will be decided by who wins the right states. UP. Maharashtra. Bihar. That's where the road to Delhi runs through.
#IndianPolitics
#LokSabha2029
#Election2029
#Modi
#RahulGandhi

[SocioNarrative @SocioNarrative]

4/5

NDA remains the favourite today. But unlike 2014 or 2019, the outcome is not predetermined. The next 3 years will be decided by jobs, aspirations, alliances and voter mood.