A brand-new Polymarket trader just put $8.4K on Carlos Alcaraz NOT to win the US Open.
He created his account today, and this was his first big move against the tournament favorite.
His only closed trade:
Cristian Garin at 85¢ | $2,924 → $3,411 | +$486
After Jannik Sinner withdrew, Alcaraz’s chances jumped from ~17¢ to 30¢.
That’s when he bought:
Alcaraz NOT to win
→ No at 70¢ | $8,416 → potential payout $12,023
The price is already around 74¢.
With Alcaraz returning from a 4+ month injury layoff and losing both practice matches, the bet makes sense.
Bold first move. I’ll be watching this trader throughout the US Open.
Coincidence or did someone know the BTC pump was coming? 👀
A Polymarket trader put just $4.7K into bets on specific BTC price targets for August.
Just 3 days later, his portfolio is up $215K.
His positions on $80K, $82.5K, and $85K are now worth $46.5K combined.
A few days ago, those same positions were worth just $576.
Coincidence?
A Polymarket trader made +$83K on the Cincinnati Open in just one week.
He went from -$18K to +$65K all-time PnL, with a 10-4 record.
Biggest wins:
→ Anisimova: +$26.2K
→ Cobolli: +$20.4K
→ Tiafoe: +$15.5K
His last 3 days: +$76.6K
Aug 19: +$26.7K
Aug 20: +$10.4K
Aug 21: +$39.5K
His only open position:
→ Sara Bejlek @ 35.5¢ | $5.35K
I like this pick too.
Bejlek just beat the world No. 1, and Czech women’s tennis has been on a strong run lately.
He clearly believes she can keep it going against the 31-year-old American.
This trader buys weather contracts priced at just 0.1–3¢ per share — and almost never loses.
$27,139 all-time PnL. 876 predictions. Just $700 in active positions.
Contracts below 3¢ are usually considered almost impossible to hit, so most traders ignore them.
He doesn’t.
Instead, he stacks dozens of these tiny bets whenever his weather models disagree with the market’s odds.
The math is simple: hit enough 20:1 payouts, and a few losses barely matter.
This isn’t betting on weather being random.
It’s finding situations where the weather is actually predictable, but the market hasn’t priced it correctly.
Small positions. High volume. The same process, over and over.
That’s not luck. It’s a repeatable edge most people never notice. 👇
https://t.co/1z1wS3BTTv
$140 → $160,586. And almost every winning trade pays nearly the exact same amount.
Found another fascinating trader.
He trades nothing but 5-minute BTC and ETH markets — 23,779 trades in just 3 months.
No hype. No long-term holds. No chasing 100x.
Just betting up or down every five minutes.
His wins look like this:
+$646. +$645. +$643. +$642. +$642. +$641.
He adjusts his position size so each winning trade returns almost the same profit, no matter whether he enters at 37¢ or 70¢.
60% win rate. A small edge, repeated thousands of times until it becomes a machine. 👇
This Polymarket wallet is still one of the biggest mysteries I’ve seen.
It joined just a week ago with $21, turned it into $198, then everything changed.
The trader won 23 of 24 $BNB direction trades, growing the account to $917,893 in profit.
Shortly after I posted about the wallet, it disappeared.
Full story + wallet below.
His wallet: https://t.co/CwaxFnbqZc
Found a trader who used the World Cup to recover from a $3.3M drawdown.
Before the tournament, he lost $2.6M betting on U.S. sports, including a $2.88M loss fading Team USA.
Then everything changed:
+$1.33M Paraguay
+$1.02M France vs Morocco under
+$758K against Argentina
+$1.41M on Spain in the final
Cashed out and disappeared.
Right before the final, a brand-new wallet named yamal19 went all in on Spain.
The wallet has just one transaction in its history:
$1.6M on Spain to win the World Cup at 59¢. No hedge.
Whether it’s a die-hard fan or a hidden whale, this instantly turned up the hype before the final.
A new wallet. One massive position. Zero hedging. And the name yamal19.
One match. One decision. A $5M swing.
Wallet: gud.hl
The trader held 12.3M Argentina shares all the way to the final, refusing to take profits.
Argentina didn’t win. Every share went to $0.
The wallet dropped from +$3.8M all-time to -$1.2M in just two hours.
This Polymarket trader is betting everything on France😱
Over $341k is riding on a France win, with just $1.1k left in the wallet.
No hedge. One match decides it all.
A France win means a six-figure profit.
Anything else could wipe out almost the entire portfolio.
His profile: https://t.co/Ikdwka6zRh
This Polymarket trader went all in on France.
$341k+ on France to win. Just $1.1k left in his wallet.
No hedge. No backup.
If France wins, he scores a six-figure profit. If not, it’s game over.
More traders are making all-or-nothing bets every knockout round.
https://t.co/yRkDipKLLl
#1 trader on Polymarket isn’t backing either France or Spain tomorrow.
With $18.6M in lifetime profit, his semifinal bets are:
• No on France to win
• No on Spain to win
• Spain +1.5
Instead of chasing favorites, he’s betting against overpriced odds.
Most people buy the win. Few buy the draw.
That’s why the draw often offers the better value.
Would you follow his strategy?
This @Polymarket trader made over $1.6M in just one month.
Profile: https://t.co/Ikdwka6zRh
One thing caught my attention—almost every one of his current positions favors France:
→ France to win the World Cup
→ France to beat Morocco
→ Argentina not to beat Switzerland
→ France 2–1 Morocco (exact score)
→ Mbappé to win the Golden Boot
Either he’s extremely bullish on France… or maybe he’s actually French. 😄
We’ll find out soon.
A Polymarket whale with $876K in all-time profit is backing France with a $556K position.
France takes on Morocco in the World Cup quarterfinals, and a semifinal spot is on the line.
Trading since 2024:
https://t.co/zHIjC6M5ja
$556K riding on France
$718K return if they qualify
biggest win: $1.1M
lifetime profit: $876K
Will Mbappé score tonight?
This trader made $2.5M in just two weeks by betting almost exclusively on NO in World Cup markets.
One thing keeps standing out:
The biggest profits often come from strategies that almost nobody else is using.
Instead of chasing winners, this trader keeps finding value on the opposite side.
Curious to see where his PnL ends up when the tournament is over.
This @Polymarket trader has made over $470K on the World Cup.
Today he perfectly read Argentina vs Egypt, making over $40K by fading the draw and backing Egypt not to win.
His previous trades tell the same story:
→ $78K profit betting against Mexico.
→ $70K profit backing Morocco to advance over the Netherlands.
His trades were tracked with @betonstride, making it easy to follow top-performing Polymarket whales and analyze their strategies.
Profile: https://t.co/AeEPGh1nix
Spain won 1-0.
This anonymous @Polymarket trader made $600k+ on the match.
Every Portugal vs Spain position hit:
• Under 2.5 goals ✅
• Portugal not to win ✅
• Not 0-2 Spain ✅
• Not 2-2 ✅
Over $2M was spread across four positions.
Every single one won.
His all-time PnL is now well above $5.4M.
https://t.co/vYVe6hUrlZ
Today this @Polymarket market finally resolves.
Spain is favored to win, advance, and score first.
If Portugal lose, this could be Cristiano Ronaldo’s final World Cup match at 41.
The market resolves YES only if Ronaldo cries on the pitch or in the bench area before, during, or after the match.
What’s your prediction? Yes or No?
https://t.co/t6JgVZFjoU