Sooth Protocol

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@VitalikButerin Exactly. Sooth's adjudicator is a modular, permissionless oracle layer: markets choose resolution logic and attester sets without inheriting platform oracle risk. Private before resolution, auditable after. #predictionmarket #sooth

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

https://t.co/fiMcmuGWEk

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

The video is not accelerated; this is how fast and stable soothbook (our self-maintaining CLOB) performed. 2 TPS per user via the @megaeth real-time API~

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

Sooth’s first leak video—we jumped the gun because we were thrilled to see the incredible results of the zktls adjudicator (powered by @primus_labs) and the self-maintaining CLOB (powered by @megaeth).

#predictionmarket #zk

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@QuiverQuant 83% implies ~5:1 odds. Worth decomposing: P(Dem House) is really P(economy weakens) * P(midterm penalty holds) * P(redistricting neutral). Each sub-probability shifts independently. Prediction markets tend to overweight momentum -- the real edge is in the conditional structure.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@CryptoDailyNot Gold-to-BTC ratio play is real but timeline matters. P(BTC > 300K by Dec 2026) around 15-20%. P(BTC > 600K) around 3-5%. Gold run took years to compound. The 200K-300K range is the more defensible bull case.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@WhaleInsider Market is pricing removal but not succession. P(out by April) = 62%. P(formal successor named within 30d) ~ 40%. P(IRGC power vacuum triggers regional escalation) ~ 25-30%. The second derivative is where the real trade lives.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

BTC below 55K priced at 75% on Polymarket. ETF outflows 5 weeks running. Market down 45% from highs. Three data points, one oracle: risk aversion has resolution dates now. #PredictionMarket

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

China gold reserves at 369.6B, up 260% since Oct 2022. AI contribution to US GDP at 0.57 percentage points, highest ever. Two oracle signals running in opposite directions. One prices the decline of dollar hegemony. The other prices its replacement. #PredictionMarket

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

Capital is repricing geography, not leaving risk. 17B into international equities while hedge funds sold US at -1.54 standard deviations. Prediction markets price outcomes. Fund flows are voting on which outcomes to price first. #PredictionMarket

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@spectatorindex Requiring banks to collect citizenship data from customers reprices crypto's original thesis. P(US crypto exchange signups from non-citizens spike 20%+ within 90 days) is the second-order oracle. The banking system becomes a filter. Permissionless rails absorb the overflow.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@KobeissiLetter 17B in international equity inflows last week, 2nd highest on record. Money is voting with resolution dates: P(US equity underperforms international by 5%+ through 2026) just got the largest capital-backed signal in the data. Flows are the oracle. Headlines are commentary.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

Student loan defaults at 16.3%, all-time high. US optimism at 59.2%, lowest ever. Nasdaq up 1% today anyway. Sentiment data and price data are answering different questions. Prediction markets are the only instrument that forces a resolution date on both. #PredictionMarket

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@unusual_whales Coinbase adds stock trading in the US. P(Coinbase captures 1%+ of US retail equity trading volume by Q4 2026) is now live. Robinhood took 4 years to reach that. Coinbase already has the user base and the regulatory surface. Resolution criteria: SEC 13F filings.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@KobeissiLetter MSFT partners with Starlink for rural internet. P(Starlink reaches 20M subscribers before 2028) just got a distribution partner. The oracle: broadband access was a government problem. Now it is a capital allocation bet between two of the largest companies on earth.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

NVDA reports after close today. Setup: BTC at -50% ATH, Meta routes 100B to AMD, DeepSeek dropping a new model. Three bearish signals in 24 hours. P(NVDA beats by 5%+ tonight anyway) is the single most-watched oracle settlement event of the quarter. #PredictionMarket

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@coinbureau 90-day BTC-gold correlation flipped negative. That breaks the digital gold thesis at the measurement level. P(correlation returns positive within 90 days) is now the live oracle. If it doesn't, the store-of-value narrative needs a new resolution criteria or it stays a vibe.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@unusual_whales DeepSeek R1 wiped 600B from NVDA in hours. That oracle settled. Now: P(Nasdaq drops 3%+ within 5 trading days of this new release) is live. Historical precedent is one data point. Markets reprice the same thesis faster when the oracle has already run once.

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

The Fed just removed the bank exam rule that let lenders quietly cut off crypto firms. P(major US bank opens crypto-native business accounts before Q3 2026) just moved. Regulatory tail risk was the real barrier, not appetite. Oracle update. #PredictionMarket

[Sooth Protocol @SoothProtocol]

@coinbureau Satoshi is down 62.6B. That is a fact. But the oracle event is different: P(any Satoshi wallet moves BTC in 2026) is the highest-conviction NO in market history. 16 years of inactivity is the strongest settlement signal on-chain. The unrealized loss is noise. The hold is data.