Sozu

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[Sozu @Sozuposting]

Sozu is the polymarket intelligence layer, bringing you mispricing in every signal 🫡

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

Asia is having its worst session since the war began

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

Iran says the US threatened its commercial ships three days running, and calls the blockade an expansion of the war.

Meanwhile the pressure to end it is real: 6,000 mariners stranded on 400 ships, allies pushing, an internal Jul 31 deadline.

Our read: a climbdown announced days after public Iranian threats looks like a concession under pressure. That friction is worth more than the market is charging for it.

What kills the signal: a White House announcement, especially at the Jul 31 deadline.

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

@Kalshi didn't they decide it yesterday

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@AshCrypto they'd need money for it

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South Korea ex-president found guilty of election disinformation

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@WatcherGuru or some would say, market is up 1.61%

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Mr president is true businessman

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@DeItaone it's just down from peak of the second round of the war

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@WhaleInsider which token will pump?

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@FirstSquawk they need the strait open more than ever

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@FirstSquawk yes cutie, whatever you say

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

What (more) happens before GTA6?

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

iran and us are talking again

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

The US has struck Iran almost nightly since July 11, driving the rial to crisis levels. One dollar now buys about 1.92 million rials.

Two prediction markets track this pair:
→ Will the US and Iran reach a ceasefire by July 31? (14 straight strike-free days)
→ Will one dollar still cost over 1.9 million rials?

Our model links them. A ceasefire slows the war discount on the rial, and the dollar sits just 1% above that 1.9M threshold.

Fourteen quiet days would close a 1% gap easily.

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

@coinbureau Insider trading has it flaws

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

May: DeepSeek raises $7.4B, the biggest private AI round in Chinese history.

Jul 14: round two opens at a $71B valuation, up 37% in six weeks.

Jul 23: Liang Wenfeng's four-hour private investor talk leaks. WeChat scrubs it in hours.

Jul 25: DeepSeek tells investors the raise is frozen.

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@AJEnglish so saudi's did it?

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

Warplanes hit Houthi missile launch platforms and weapons depots in Marib and Al-Jawf on Saturday. Two Yemeni military officials say it was the Yemeni air force. No one has claimed it.

Yemen's 2022 truce held for four years. In the last twelve days, Sanaa and Abha airports were struck, two Saudi tankers burned, Saudi jets hit Hodeidah, and now the old front lines are being bombed again.

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

India's Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan says he has sent his resignation to PM Narendra Modi.

[Sozu @Sozuposting]

Austrian and ITA already cancelled Tel Aviv flights this weekend. That's step one of a chain the market hasn't priced.

Carriers pull out → regulators weigh a closure → broad suspension resolves the contract YES.