🔮 If you had bet $10 on a:
Jake McCarthy (+1000)
Brayan Rocchio (+950)
Denzer Guzman (+850)
Weston Wilson (+850)
4-leg HR parlay on Sunday, you'd be $104,228 richer
🚨 NEAR HOME RUN! 🚨
Isaac Paredes (Houston Astros)
vs MacKenzie Gore (Texas Rangers)
💨 98.7 mph
📐 43.0°
📏 345.0 ft
📍 Top 1 inning
🏟️ Globe Life Field
Would be a HR in 2/30 ballparks! Result: Flyout
🚨 NEAR HOME RUN! 🚨
Liam Hicks (Miami Marlins)
vs Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians)
💨 103.8 mph
📐 19.0°
📏 388.0 ft
📍 Bot 1 inning
🏟️ loanDepot park
Would be a HR in 17/30 ballparks! Result: Single
🚨 NEAR HOME RUN! 🚨
Michael Busch (Chicago Cubs)
vs Andrew Abbott (Cincinnati Reds)
💨 96.9 mph
📐 25.0°
📏 334.0 ft
📍 Top 1 inning
🏟️ Great American Ball Park
Would be a HR in 1/30 ballparks! Result: Double
🚨 NEAR HOME RUN! 🚨
Jake Bauers (Milwaukee Brewers)
vs Paul Skenes (Pittsburgh Pirates)
💨 99.5 mph
📐 32.0°
📏 363.0 ft
📍 Top 2 inning
🏟️ PNC Park
Would be a HR in 1/30 ballparks! Result: Flyout
Elly De La Cruz gets another lefty at home, and the splits are hard to ignore. 💣
Against left-handed pitching this season, Elly is slashing .326 with a .685 SLG.
At home, he's been just as dangerous, hitting .327 with a .593 SLG, and 10 of his 15 home runs have come at Great American Ball Park.
The matchup gets even better when you look at Matthew Boyd's pitch mix. He throws his fastball 52% of the time, and that's exactly what Elly crushes against lefties:
🔥 .357 BA
🔥 1.071 SLG
🔥 .714 ISO
🔥 6 HR
While Elly isn't nearly as dominant against the changeup, Boyd's heavy fastball usage is a strong indicator this matchup sets up well for him.
I like Elly De La Cruz for Fantasy Score and to leave the yard. 💣
Stream HR 3-man is here 💣
Write ups are out go check them out🫡
Had a lot of interesting looks today and wanted to bring you guys the stats/data I’d want to see on my TL. Read through them and let’s see if the research pays off. 🤞📊
@Playbook
I like Matt Olson to leave the yard against Dustin May. 💣
May relies heavily on his fastball/cutter combination, throwing those pitches 56% of the time. Both pitches are also carrying a 35%+ fly-ball rate, and fly balls are exactly what you want to see when you're targeting home runs. That sets up well for Olson, who owns elite SLG, ISO, and wOBA numbers against both pitch types.
Olson also owns a 20% barrel rate against May's three most-used pitches, along with a 50%+ hard-hit rate on each of them. On top of that, he has an excellent zone fit, grading well in 5 of May's 7 ISO zones.
May has also been much more vulnerable in day games, allowing opponents to hit .300 with a .500 SLG. Six of the seven home runs he's allowed this season have come during day games.
The Sunday splits are even more eye-opening, with hitters batting .418 and slugging .655 against him.
I like Matt Olson for both Fantasy Score and to leave the yard. 💣
📊 Data provided by @PropFinder.
I think James Wood has a great chance to go back-to-back-to-back. 💣
He's facing Will Warren, who has surrendered 8 of his 13 home runs this season to left-handed hitters.
James Wood matches up well with Warren's pitch mix, posting strong batting average, slugging, and wOBA numbers against the pitches he'll see most.
The pitch to focus on is the fastball.
Warren throws it 41% of the time, and it's also getting hit in the air at a 42% fly-ball rate. James Wood has already launched 9 home runs against right-handed fastballs this season.
If Wood gets a fastball he can lift, I like his chances to leave the yard once again. 💣
📊 Data provided by @PropFinder.
Ben Rice looks insane against Cade Cavalli's pitch mix. 💣
He's hitting .300+ against every pitch Cavalli throws, with a .600+ SLG against each offering.
The fastball is where it really stands out. Ben Rice is absolutely crushing heaters this season, posting a .755 ISO and 1.143 SLG against them.
Cavalli throws his fastball 36% of the time, and opponents are hitting .381 against it.
He's also 2-for-2 against Cavalli in their career meetings, and both hits came off the bat at 103+ mph exit velocity.
On top of that, Cavalli has allowed a .309 batting average to opposing hitters in Sunday starts.
I like Ben Rice for both Fantasy Score and to leave the yard. 💣
Michael Harris II looks like a phenomenal matchup against Dustin May. 💣
Harris has been crushing every pitch in May's arsenal, posting a .500+ SLG against all four pitches and a .400+ wOBA against 3 of the 4 offerings.
The biggest thing that stood out to me was Harris' matchup against May's putaway pitch — the sweeper.
Against the sweeper, Harris is showing elite contact quality:
🔥 40% barrel rate
🔥 90% hard-hit rate
🔥 60% fly-ball rate
May leans on the sweeper as a finishing pitch, but Harris has shown he can do serious damage against it. If he gets one in the zone, I could see that sweeper leaving the yard. 💣
May has also been much more vulnerable in day games, allowing opponents to hit .300 with a .500 SLG. Six of the seven home runs he's allowed this season have come during day games.
The Sunday splits are even more eye-opening, with hitters batting .418 and slugging .655 against him.
I like Michael Harris II for Fantasy Score and to leave the yard. 💣
📊 Data provided by @PropFinder.