Brown

Data Analysis 📊

[Brown @Spine100]

Success is what you define it to be. It's relative and doesn't have to conform with the societal perception of what it should be.

[Brown @Spine100]

Are we likely to see African countries creating incentives that would make birthing more than 2 children less appealing in the future? Something like the “Stop at Two” campaign Singapore did in the late 1960s and 70s.

[Toyyib Adewale Adelodun @taadelodun]

There is fire on the mountain!

#nigeria #economy #elections

[Brown @Spine100]

@omotourlar He doesn’t need it make candidate known. He is filling a gap by educating voters which can in turn influence voters decision.

[Brown @Spine100]

I need to see the full interview but before then, a quick look at his wikipedia shows he’s a brilliant mind. Great political career in front of him if he can navigate the political terrain we currently have. Ondo man

[Jesuferanmi @Jesuferanmmi]

“TINUBU IS AN ORGANISED, SCIENTIFIC DESTROYER OF THE SYSTEM. WE HAVE NEVER HAD A PRESIDENT AS DANGEROUS AS HIM.”

— Adewole Adebayo

Here are three reasons why he believes so. 🙄

Honestly, this video has got me thinking all day. 🤦

[Brown @Spine100]

@DamilohunA 😂😂😂😂

[Brown @Spine100]

The sage.

[Dr. Calafiori 🦇 @fimiletoks]

Chief Obafemi Awolowo’s prophetic warnings about Nigeria’s constitutional design are central to his political legacy.

Long before independence, he explicitly foresaw that a heavily centralized, unitary-style government in a multi-ethnic nation would inevitably plunge the country into economic stagnation and political and systemic instability.

In his foundational books, "Path to Nigerian Freedom" (1947) and "Thoughts on Nigerian Constitution" (1966), Chief Awolowo provided a comparative global analysis of multilingual and multi-ethnic states. He warned that enforcing a unitary system over deeply diverse populations would naturally breed systemic friction.

He famously observed that a centralized government wearing a federal mask would at its best "groan poignantly" and at its worst "suffer a nervous breakdown". He argued that centralizing resource control, forcing states to look to the center for monthly financial handouts, would destroy regional productivity.

He correctly anticipated that shifting from a system based on productivity and derivation to one based on population size and political leverage would paralyze local economies, breed mass corruption, and slow national development to a crawl.

Chief Awolowo viewed federalism not as an abstract political theory, but as an absolute requirement for survival. He firmly believed that national unity in Nigeria could never be coerced or built through slogans; it had to be structurally earned through a balanced division of power where no single group lived in fear of exclusion or domination.

Chief Awolowo advocated for a constitutional framework where boundaries were drawn logically around linguistic and cultural lines. He maintained that true stability could only be achieved if minority groups possessed their own autonomous, self-governing federal units rather than being swallowed up by an overbearing center.

Awolowo envisioned a secular constitutional framework where regional and cultural identities were preserved through decentralized governance. A highly decentralized, truly federalist Nigeria that actively protected ethnic minorities from regional domination. highly decentralized, truly federalist Nigeria that actively protected ethnic minorities from regional domination.

He was right 79 years ago; he is still right today.

[Brown @Spine100]

🤣🤣🤣

[🎤 Adébólá @Dumbgenius_ng]

That lady focus like say she dey listen to him truly, but she just dey wait make he talk him own finish, then remind him to vote Tinubu again, because dem don launch NELFUND 😂😂

[Brown @Spine100]

People would vote along tribal lines for any of the current opposition if they were the ones seeking re-election. You are myopic not to see that Tinubu's re-election would have more to do with a weak opposition than running on tribe or bigotry. It is tiring to keep hearing this.

[OLADIPUPO @OladipupoLIGHT]

I don't think you factored the mood of the nation, particularly in the northern region, into your permutations. The resentment towards Tinubu's reelection, justifiably, is second to none. Even in the Southwest where he hails from, people will only vote for him based on tribal sentiment and not by virtue of his performance in government.

And even if he (Tinubu) secures 25% in few northern states, Obi's balkanisation of the southern votes makes it extremely difficult for him to win the election ahead of Atiku.

In a nutshell, it's Atiku's unassailable winning projections in the Northern region versus Obi and Tinubu's tug of war in the south. The expected result is very easy to predict for any liberal political thinker.

[Brown @Spine100]

You can chatGPT your way to this long out of context epistle but the intentions are plain. You once pushed this narrative and dead it as it didn't fly, but Omojuwa as giving you a drop of fuel again. Why do you all from both sides hate this country so much.

[Dr. Calafiori 🦇 @fimiletoks]

Corruption remains a major challenge in Brazil, yet the country boasts a $2.65 trillion GDP economy.

The Brazilian economy grew from roughly $500 billion in the 1990s to $2.65 trillion today because policymakers made the right decisions to foster growth.

Local Government Autonomy: Brazil established local government financial, political, and administrative autonomy through a major constitutional overhaul in 1988. By contrast, Nigeria is still struggling to fully realize local government autonomy.

Constitutional and Tax Reforms: Brazil has executed comprehensive constitutional updates, including a landmark consumption tax reform in 2023. Meanwhile, Nigeria remains constrained by its 1999 Constitution, and political leaders have openly argued against rushing necessary tax overhauls.

Oil and Gas De-monopolization: In 1997, Brazil passed its Petroleum Act, breaking the 44-year-old monopoly of the state-owned oil giant, Petrobras. It took Nigeria over two decades to pass the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and several more years to implement it.

Power Sector Decentralization: Brazil decentralized its electricity sector in 1995 through concession laws that dismantled state monopolies, transitioning to mass privatization and free competition between 1996 and 1998. Nigeria has struggled with power privatization for decades, and only recently allowed states to generate electricity independently.

Monetary Policy: Brazil floated its currency in 1999 and adopted an inflation-targeting framework. Conversely, Nigeria maintained an unsustainable currency peg for decades, depleting its foreign reserves to defend the naira.

Fiscal Reforms: Brazil phased out direct petroleum subsidies in 2002 to deepen fiscal discipline, whereas fuel subsidies remain a recurring fiscal burden in Nigeria.

Educational Funding: Brazil codified its student loan program (FIES) into law in 2001 to expand higher education access. Nigeria only recently established the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), which continues to face public skepticism.

Telecom Liberalization: Brazil’s telecom liberalization began in 1995 when Constitutional Amendment No. 8 broke the monopoly of Telebras, triggering an infrastructure boom.

Brazil’s economic expansion was driven by deliberate macroeconomic design, market liberalization, and systemic unbundling not by anti-corruption crusades.

Structural reforms beat corruption. An honest society will inevitably stagnate if its economy is built on unsustainable, protectionist, and archaic ideologies.

[Brown @Spine100]

People actually think corruption is about cutting cost of governance and embezzlement? Jokes

[Brown @Spine100]

The knowledge gap is massive. I also wanted to say how is this not clear to this guys, but remembered that they know what they're doing. Cause it is insane to want to underplay corruption.

[Kalu Aja @FinPlanKaluAja1]

The PM of Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew, called his nation a "barren island"; I am quoting him.

The leadership of Singapore took citizens from that barren island from $516 in 1965 to $98,814 in 2025. The leadership of Nigeria took citizens from a nation endowed with immense God-given wealth from $117 in 1965 to $4,63 in 2014 to $835 in 2025 (IMF)

Singapore, with a smaller landmass, smaller population, and no fossil fuels, grew its budget and GDP per capita through the work of its leaders; they did not give excuses like "we are a poor nation"

Let's move to China, because someone will say, 'what's the population of Singapore'?

China in 1965 had a GDP per Capita of $65; in 2025, the GDP per capita of China was $13,862. Again, this was down to the work of the Chinese leadership

Let's go to Ethiopia; it's chosen because of its population. Its poverty rate has increased just as Nigeria's poverty rate has increased, but there is a critical distinction.

Between 2015 and 2025, Ethiopia’s average crude birth rate was approximately 32.4 births per 1,000 people, while its average real GDP per capita growth rate was around 4.5% to 5.5% annually. Nigeria, on the other hand, has maintained an exceptionally high average crude birth rate of roughly 36.8 births per 1,000 people, while its average real GDP per capita growth rate was marginally negative or stagnant, averaging approximately -0.1% to 0.2% annually.

Translation? Poverty is rising in both nations, but Ethiopia is growing its economy faster than Nigeria and creating more wealth for its citizens, as shown in GDP per capita.

The real danger in saying Nigeria is poor is that it insulates the Nigerian leadership from delivering the dividends of this blessed land to the people of Nigeria.

A big part of what ails Nigeria is also corruption. In 2013, a young man named Japhet Omojuwa (any relation?) said, and I quote, "corruption at its most chronic height has been responsible for the resource curse Nigeria suffers." T

Today, I am told that it's no longer corruption that ails Nigeria but income that's the problem. Income? The FGN got resources, N20t from subsidy removal and borrowing, and spent less than N300b on education. So are resources really the issue?

As you said, China was poor, but the leadership of China acted like the nation was poor, wearing austere Mao suits and riding bicycles to work (not Rolls-Royce); if Nigeria is poor, why is the leadership acting like the nation is rich? Why is poverty only a defense when it comes to health and education? I have not heard the Nigerian Senate say Because of poverty, they will now drive assembled Nord cars locally "

This then brings us to Nord; I fear you are reading this literally. If you go to China, India, or even Germany, you will struggle to see foreign cars. Do you know how many parts go into a single car?

If the president takes his pen and says, henceforth, only Nord and Innoson will be used by all Federal agencies, do you know how many jobs will be created directly and indirectly: the FDI, the training centers, the suppliers, the steel sector, the glass sector, the fabrics sector, the rubber sector, the finance sector? The advertisers, the technical schools, the insurance sector. trade? You are scoring 500 cars by calculating their sales price; that's like scooping water from the Atlantic with your hands to count the fish in the ocean.

I urge you to read up on the "Chicken tax" enacted in 1964 in America that subsequently allowed Detroit’s "Big Three" (Ford, General Motors, and Chrysler) to dominate the highly lucrative pickup truck and SUV till this day.

Nigeria is not poor; I casually asked ChatGPT the value of Nigeria's oil and gas in the ground; the number was $ 3.5 T, that's three and a half trillion USD. This same Nigeria has an oil company with no functional refinery. So it's not a poverty issue; it's a failure to create wealth.

This will not be my last post on this; my job on social media is to educate and inform and to hold the leadership to account factually. If you want to offer off-ramps to leadership that will not invest in wealth creation by all means, go ahead; keep insisting Nigeria is poor while the government spends millions on influencers (not you of course)

If a man has a yam field and refuses to plant yams, he can't complain that he is hungry

[Brown @Spine100]

Comparing Netflix global revenue to Nigeria's government revenue is peak economic illiteracy. Is this the new copypasta or are people just being disingenuous?

[Pastor Who @PastorMarvy]

Nigeria loses $18 billion annually to corruption.
Nigeria’s total annual revenue is $24 billion.
Even if corruption is reduced to 0%, total revenue only stands at $42 billion.

Netflix revenue is $45 billion.
Amazon Prime revenue is $49 billion.

Again, Nigeria is a poor country!

[Brown @Spine100]

It is widely argued that corruption and inefficiency are mutually reinforcing but as a Nigerian, u don't need to be Albert Einstein to disagree with this, you just have to look around.
While Nigeria is not a rich country as a lot claim, corruption still largely draws it back.

[Dr. Calafiori 🦇 @fimiletoks]

Brazil, right in front of us, became an industry titan in the aerospace arena. Embraer is the 3rd largest civil aircraft manufacturer in the world. Did Brazil eliminate corruption before becoming an aviation powerhouse?

Brazil manages a massive commercial herd of roughly 238 million head of cattle, and it has earned $14.8bn from beef exports this year. In fact, the cattle sector in Brazil is competing with our total GDP.

Is corruption the reason why we can't export beef? Do we need to eliminate corruption to know that a cow can't can trek from Sokoto to Lagos and produce beef fit for export?

[Brown @Spine100]

This is not what you refer to as skew

[African Patriot 🇳🇬✝️🇮🇱 @AfricanPatriot_]

South of Nigeria has the highest HDI in all of West Africa.

The problem is that the North of Nigeria skews our statistics so much that the rest of you think that you are our mates.

[Brown @Spine100]

@OSO_Tee I am as surprised as you

[Victor Agboga (PhD) @AgbogaVictor]

I am accepting applications from prospective students either via the 1+3.5 route (masters + PhD) or 3.5 route (PhD only) in comparative and/or environmental politics, to be funded through the North West Social Science Doctoral Training Partnership (NWSSDTP) competition.

Send me a strong proposal showing:
- your command of the literature
- gaps in the literature
- potential contributions to the literature
- proposed method (causal experiment, and mixed methods preferred as these are often in short supply and encouraged by NWSSDTP)

Send me your proposal and CV.

[Brown @Spine100]

Seeing this after reading that 11k people died from suicide in Germany this year has ruined my day. To make it worse, I confirmed my fear when I searched and found that more people have died from suicide than from war. Imagine those who are unaccounted for.

May we all find peace

[Oyedokun Ayodele @ComradeIbd]

Shock in Ondo as popular owner of Esther Estate, Akinbolusere Kayode Tolufe, reportedly committed suicide after recording a video explaining his frustration and willing his properties to his wife and children.

[Brown @Spine100]

Never happened.

[𝕋𝕙𝕖 𝔹𝕣𝕒𝕒𝕜 𝕊𝕙𝕠𝕨 @Hank_Braak]

My uncle did a mission trip to Africa to teach a village how to raise pigs for food.

They flew in with a bunch of pigs, built pens for them, Food and water troughs, and taught them how to breed them so they could always have meat. Two weeks of work and teaching.

They went back a year later to check on the village. They had thrown a giant party the night after my uncle left, slaughtered and ate all the pigs, sold the feeders and fencing, and were really pissed off that the mission didn't bring them more pigs.

[Brown @Spine100]

They were right.

A sane person would stop reading this cooked up stories when they read "Africa" without a specific location.

[Uncle Ruckus @Emarged]

They called me a madman.

[Brown @Spine100]

This is a likable person.

[Mide.O 🩷 @Midatlblog]

“I will be unveiling my manifesto in four days, titled The Lagos Promise. It will contain seven pillars, 31 chapters and 100 pledges. I am the first politician in Africa to make pledges in my manifesto. I have read a lot of manifestos. 87 of these pledges are things you can hold me accountable for directly. If I do them, you can see it. If I haven't done them, you can tell me I haven't. The remaining 13 will be subject to the courts and Federal Government approval.”

— Deputy Governor of Lagos State and 2027 APC governorship candidate, Dr. Hamzat, hints at his much anticipated soon-to-be-released manifesto on September 30.

Beautiful! This man speaks with courage, and I hear the big-megacity vision in his voice. Hopefully, he restores Lagos to its rightful position of Africa's Model Megacity if elected. Kudos to all contestants btw! 👏

[Brown @Spine100]

I have not watched them in a long time, but i suddenly noticed they all think they’re as good as Mbappe, hence they don’t try to find him with the ball.

[ayo dele @mowzayo]

Jude wtf naaaa.